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USA crestUSA
v
Senegal crestSenegal

Friendlies | Sun 31 May, 20:30

USA v Senegal Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 17:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

USA face Senegal in Friendlies on Sun 31 May, 20:30. USA come in with 0 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Senegal have 6 points and 2.5 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Senegal to Win

  • At 2.7, Senegal Win implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for USA.
  • Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Senegal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Senegal Win sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for USA.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Strong positive
Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Senegal Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for USA. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Senegal Win evidence

Senegal have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for USA.

Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Senegal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Senegal Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    USA3.5
    Avg corners for
    Senegal7
    USA8
    Avg total corners
    Senegal13
    USA1
    Avg yellow cards
    Senegal1
    USA9.5
    Avg shots
    Senegal12
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 58% · edge +16.5 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Friendlies hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    USA1
    Avg goals scored
    Senegal2.5
    USA3.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Senegal0.5
    USA50%
    BTTS rate
    Senegal50%
    USA50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Senegal50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Senegal Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Senegal to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    USA

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    01 Apr 2026H Portugal0-2
    28 Mar 2026H Belgium2-5

    Senegal

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Gambia3-1
    28 Mar 2026H Peru2-0
    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Senegal Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0USA wins
    0Draws
    0Senegal wins
    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Senegal to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    USA4
    Played
    Senegal4
    USA1.5
    Avg goals for
    Senegal1.8
    USA2.8
    Avg goals against
    Senegal1
    USA0
    Clean sheets
    Senegal2
    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Senegal Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Season data supports Senegal to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%USA Over 2.5
    50%Senegal Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: USA sit at 50% and Senegal sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    USA v Senegal prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre