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USA crestUSA
v
Senegal crestSenegal

Friendlies | Sun 31 May, 20:30

USA v Senegal Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 00:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

USA face Senegal in Friendlies on Sun 31 May, 20:30. USA come in with 0 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Senegal have 6 points and 2.5 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.73, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Senegal lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with USA lower at 3.5.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: USA average 9.5 and Senegal average 12.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Senegal lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with USA lower at 3.5.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Senegal lead the corner sample at 7 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Senegal lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with USA lower at 3.5. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Senegal lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with USA lower at 3.5.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: USA average 9.5 and Senegal average 12.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

USA3.5
Avg corners for
Senegal7
USA8
Avg total corners
Senegal13
USA1
Avg yellow cards
Senegal1
USA9.5
Avg shots
Senegal12
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

Friendlies hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

USA1
Avg goals scored
Senegal2.5
USA3.5
Avg goals conceded
Senegal0.5
USA50%
BTTS rate
Senegal50%
USA50%
Over 2.5 goals
Senegal50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Senegal Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Senegal to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
USA Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
USA to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

USA

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
01 Apr 2026H Portugal0-2
28 Mar 2026H Belgium2-5

Senegal

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
31 Mar 2026H Gambia3-1
28 Mar 2026H Peru2-0
Best odds for this sectionSenegal Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Senegal to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
USA Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
USA to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0USA wins
0Draws
0Senegal wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Senegal to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
USA to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Season team stats

Friendlies

USA4
Played
Senegal4
USA1.5
Avg goals for
Senegal1.8
USA2.8
Avg goals against
Senegal1
USA0
Clean sheets
Senegal2
Best odds for this sectionSenegal Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Senegal to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
USA Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
USA to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Season data supports Senegal Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%USA Over 2.5
50%Senegal Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: USA sit at 50% and Senegal sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

USA v Senegal prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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