Football Stats Hub

Türkiye crestTürkiye
v
USA crestUSA

World Cup | Fri 26 Jun, 03:00

Türkiye v USA Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 21:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Türkiye faces the United States in a Group D clash where stakes differ sharply: the USA has already secured top spot with two wins, while Türkiye is eliminated after two defeats and no goals scored. Despite the contrasting table positions, Türkiye's strong attacking metrics over recent matches and the USA's likely rotation of key players set the stage for an open, competitive encounter. Türkiye will seek to restore pride and break their scoring drought, while the USA aims to maintain momentum without risking key personnel, creating a dynamic tactical battle with potential for goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Türkiye has averaged 12 shots per game and scored 39 goals in their last 20 matches, despite failing to score in this tournament so far.
  • The USA have conceded goals in 16 of their last 20 international matches, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Managerial rotation for the USA is expected, which can disrupt defensive cohesion and increase scoring chances.
  • Türkiye's previous 2-1 win over the USA adds psychological motivation for a strong attacking performance.
  • Both teams have shown consistent attacking output historically, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The selection is football-led rather than value-driven, as the current imply a 60% chance while the model estimates a 50% probability, indicating a short price. Türkiye's high shot volume and scoring history contrast with their recent tournament drought, while the USA's defensive rotation and historical concession rate suggest both teams are likely to score. The tactical openness and motivation for Türkiye to avoid finishing scoreless support this pick. Reduced staking is advised due to the price sensitivity, with improvements needed in or line-up clarity for stronger value.

Türkiye's attacking volumeHigh (12 shots/game, 39 goals in 20 matches)
Strong positive
USA's defensive rotation impactLikely to reduce defensive fluency
Positive
Historical USA defensive recordConceded in 16 of last 20 matches
Positive
Current odds vs model chanceOdds imply 60%, model chance 50%
Negative
Tournament scoring drought for TürkiyeNo goals in current group matches
Neutral
Main risk

The main risk is that defensive rotation by the USA could lead to a conservative approach that limits scoring chances, or Türkiye's finishing struggles continue, reducing goal opportunities for both sides.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and statistical rationale for BTTS

“Türkiye’s attacking intent combined with the USA’s rotation-induced defensive looseness creates a fertile ground for goals from both sides, making BTTS a tactically sound selection in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Türkiye has averaged 12 shots per game and scored 39 goals in their last 20 matches, despite failing to score in this tournament so far.

The USA have conceded goals in 16 of their last 20 international matches, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Managerial rotation for the USA is expected, which can disrupt defensive cohesion and increase scoring chances.

Türkiye's previous 2-1 win over the USA adds psychological motivation for a strong attacking performance.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the single recent head-to-head meeting, the teams combined for three goals in a 2-1 Türkiye victory.
  • Over the last 20 matches, both teams have shown a tendency for open games with frequent goals, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend and reinforcing the BTTS selection’s rationale.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Türkiye10
Avg corners for
USA5
Türkiye12.5
Avg total corners
USA7.5
Türkiye1
Avg yellow cards
USA2
Türkiye31
Avg shots
USA13
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +16.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Türkiye averages 10 corners and 31 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and wide play that can create set-piece chances. The USA’s 5 corners and 13 shots per game indicate a more measured approach but with enough offensive threat. Card averages (1 for Türkiye, 2 for USA) suggest moderate fouling, likely from tactical battles on the flanks.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

World Cup fixtures and predictionsTürkiye v USA predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Türkiye0
Avg goals scored
USA3
Türkiye1.5
Avg goals conceded
USA0.5
Türkiye0%
BTTS rate
USA50%
Türkiye0%
Over 2.5 goals
USA50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 36% · edge +13.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Türkiye’s average of 12 shots per game and 39 goals in 20 matches contrasts with their current tournament scoreless run, indicating attacking potential. The USA’s tendency to concede in 16 of 20 matches and expected defensive rotation suggest both teams will find scoring opportunities, supporting a BTTS outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 36% · edge +13.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
USA to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Türkiye Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Türkiye to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 4/6, implying a 60% chance, which is higher than the model's 50% estimate. This discrepancy signals a price-sensitive market where the football read is strong but the are short. A better price or clearer team news on line-ups would enhance value, so cautious staking is recommended.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Türkiye

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
20 Jun 2026H Paraguay0-1
14 Jun 2026A Australia0-2

USA

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
19 Jun 2026H Australia2-0
13 Jun 2026H Paraguay4-1
Best odds for this sectionUSA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Türkiye Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Türkiye to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Türkiye’s recent form shows zero points and no goals scored in the group, contrasting with the USA’s six points and three goals. However, Türkiye’s broader scoring record and the USA’s defensive concessions in recent matches suggest an open game with scoring chances for both sides despite current form disparities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Türkiye wins
0Draws
0USA wins
07 Jun 2025USA v Türkiye1-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 36% · edge +13.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
USA to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Türkiye to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The only recent meeting ended 2-1 in favor of Türkiye, indicating a competitive fixture with goals from both sides. While the sample is limited, this result aligns with the current tactical and form context, suggesting that both teams have the capacity to score again in this encounter.
Season team stats

World Cup

Türkiye3
Played
USA3
Türkiye1
Avg goals for
USA2.7
Türkiye1.7
Avg goals against
USA1.3
Türkiye0
Clean sheets
USA1
Best odds for this sectionUSA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Türkiye Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Türkiye to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over the last 20 matches, Türkiye has scored 39 goals and kept seven clean sheets, indicating a balanced but attack-oriented profile. The USA scored 32 goals but conceded 31, with only four clean sheets, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that increase the likelihood of goals at both ends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1USA632014
4Türkiye33102-2
The USA leads Group D with six points and a strong goal difference, having secured qualification. Türkiye sits bottom with zero points and no goals, eliminated from contention. This dynamic reduces pressure on the USA but increases Türkiye’s motivation to salvage pride, influencing attacking intent and match tempo.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Türkiye Over 2.5
50%USA Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the single recent head-to-head meeting, the teams combined for three goals in a 2-1 Türkiye victory. Over the last 20 matches, both teams have shown a tendency for open games with frequent goals, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend and reinforcing the BTTS selection’s rationale.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Türkiye v USA prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Senegal v IraqWorld Cup · Fri 26 Jun 20:00Norway v FranceWorld Cup · Fri 26 Jun 20:00Uruguay v SpainWorld Cup · Sat 27 Jun 01:00Cape Verde Islands v Saudi ArabiaWorld Cup · Sat 27 Jun 01:00

Competition and hubs

World Cup hubWorld Cup fixtures and predictionsTürkiye v USA predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre