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Türkiye crestTürkiye
v
USA crestUSA

World Cup | Fri 26 Jun, 03:00

Türkiye v USA Stats

Data last updated: Tue 11 Aug 2026, 02:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Türkiye face USA in World Cup on Fri 26 Jun, 03:00. Türkiye come in with 0 recent points and 0 goals per match, while USA have 6 points and 3 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

USA to Win

  • At 1.75, USA to Win implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • USA have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Türkiye.
  • USA have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the USA to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for USA to Win sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. USA have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Türkiye.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Positive
USA have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
USA have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: USA Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers USA have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Türkiye. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

USA to Win evidence

USA have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Türkiye.

USA have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the USA Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

USA to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Türkiye10
    Avg corners for
    USA5
    Türkiye12.5
    Avg total corners
    USA7.5
    Türkiye1
    Avg yellow cards
    USA2
    Türkiye31
    Avg shots
    USA13
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    World Cup fixtures and predictionsTürkiye v USA predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Türkiye0
    Avg goals scored
    USA3
    Türkiye1.5
    Avg goals conceded
    USA0.5
    Türkiye0%
    BTTS rate
    USA50%
    Türkiye0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    USA50%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickUSA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    USA to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Türkiye

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    20 Jun 2026H Paraguay0-1
    14 Jun 2026A Australia0-2

    USA

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    19 Jun 2026H Australia2-0
    13 Jun 2026H Paraguay4-1
    Market aligned with main pickUSA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Türkiye wins
    0Draws
    0USA wins
    07 Jun 2025USA v Türkiye1-2
    Market aligned with main pickUSA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for USA to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Türkiye3
    Played
    USA5
    Türkiye1
    Avg goals for
    USA2.2
    Türkiye1.7
    Avg goals against
    USA1.6
    Türkiye0
    Clean sheets
    USA2
    Market aligned with main pickUSA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    USA Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports USA to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1USA632014
    4Türkiye33102-2
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Türkiye Over 2.5
    50%USA Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Türkiye sit at 0% and USA sit at 50% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Türkiye v USA prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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