Trabzonspor

Başakşehir

Süper Lig | Sun 23 Aug, 17:00

Trabzonspor v Başakşehir Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Trabzonspor hosts Başakşehir in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown contrasting recent form and tactical approaches. Başakşehir sits third in the table with a solid defensive record, while Trabzonspor is positioned lower and seeking to improve after a modest start. Both sides favor attacking play, with Başakşehir generating more shots and Trabzonspor relying on wide play to create chances. The match promises territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a contest with frequent corner kicks and dynamic wing play.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

Trabzonspor averages 10 corners per match, Başakşehir 8, indicating a high corner count potential.
Recent matches show both teams engaging in wide attacks and sustained pressure leading to set-piece chances.
Başakşehir's defensive discipline contrasts with Trabzonspor's aggressive wing play, likely increasing corner frequency.
Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with a positive of 14.4%.
Both teams have players with high shot volumes, suggesting active offensive phases contributing to corner opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong likelihood of Over 9.5 Corners based on both teams' attacking styles and corner averages. Trabzonspor's 10 corners per game and Başakşehir's 8 create a combined base well above the threshold. The match tempo and wing play intensity support frequent corner situations. is high at 85%, and the price offers positive value with a 14.4% edge. No data limitations affect this analysis, reinforcing the reliability of the corner count projection.

Trabzonspor average corners10 per match

Strong positive

Başakşehir average corners8 per match

Strong positive

Model confidence85%

Strong positive

Value edge14.4% positive

Strong positive

Implied chance vs model chancePrice reflects 54.6%, model 69%

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing pressure and multiple attacking phases from both Trabzonspor and Başakşehir, leading to numerous corner kicks. The teams' recent corner averages and offensive tendencies suggest Over 9.5 Corners is a solid choice, supported by a strong model and positive value indication.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“The corner count is set to be high given Trabzonspor's aggressive wide play and Başakşehir's steady offensive pressure, creating frequent set-piece situations.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Trabzonspor averages 10 corners per match, Başakşehir 8, indicating a high corner count potential.

Recent matches show both teams engaging in wide attacks and sustained pressure leading to set-piece chances.

Başakşehir's defensive discipline contrasts with Trabzonspor's aggressive wing play, likely increasing corner frequency.

Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with a positive of 14.4%.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

Over the last ten matches, the average goals stand at 2.8, indicating moderate scoring.
This tempo suggests open play phases conducive to corner situations, as both teams seek to create chances from wide areas and set pieces, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners expectation.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Trabzonspor1

Avg goals scored

Başakşehir2

Trabzonspor1

Avg goals conceded

Başakşehir0

Trabzonspor100%

BTTS rate

Başakşehir0%

Trabzonspor0%

Over 2.5 goals

Başakşehir0%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

While both teams have low recent Over 2.5 Goals rates, the attacking patterns still generate set-piece opportunities. Trabzonspor's 100% BTTS rate contrasts with Başakşehir's 0%, highlighting differing defensive vulnerabilities but not detracting from corner potential, which often arises from attacking pressure regardless of goal outcomes.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Trabzonspor

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

15 Aug 2026A Kasımpaşa1-1

Başakşehir

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

16 Aug 2026H Kocaelispor2-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Başakşehir Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Başakşehir to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Trabzonspor Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 51%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Trabzonspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Recent form shows Trabzonspor with a corner-rich style, averaging 10 corners per match, while Başakşehir maintains a solid defensive shape but still concedes corners through active wing play. The combined recent corner data supports the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.

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Useful next reads

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5	Başakşehir	3	1	1	0	0	2
13	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	1	0	0

Başakşehir's higher league position reflects a more controlled style, yet their corner numbers remain robust, indicating tactical use of wide areas. Trabzonspor's lower rank corresponds with more open play and corner opportunities. The standings context suggests both teams have incentives to attack, supporting a high corner count.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBaşakşehir Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Başakşehir to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Trabzonspor Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Trabzonspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with implying a 54.6% chance, while the model estimates a 69% probability, indicating clear value. This positive suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners based on team styles and recent data, making it a compelling bet without price sensitivity concerns.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Trabzonspor10

Avg corners for

Başakşehir8

Trabzonspor13

Avg total corners

Başakşehir10

Trabzonspor0

Avg yellow cards

Başakşehir2

Trabzonspor13

Avg shots

Başakşehir17

Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

The teams' combined average of 18 corners per game, alongside high shot volumes (Trabzonspor 13, Başakşehir 17) and moderate fouling, supports a dynamic match with frequent wide attacks and set-piece chances. Başakşehir's higher yellow card average indicates a physical contest, potentially leading to more stoppages and corners.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Trabzonspor wins

2Draws

1Başakşehir wins

19 Apr 2026Trabzonspor v Başakşehir1-1

03 Mar 2026Başakşehir v Trabzonspor2-4

24 Nov 2025Başakşehir v Trabzonspor3-4

15 Mar 2025Başakşehir v Trabzonspor0-3

19 Oct 2024Trabzonspor v Başakşehir1-0

18 May 2024Başakşehir v Trabzonspor0-1

Best odds for this sectionBaşakşehir to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Trabzonspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

The ten previous meetings average 2.8 goals per game, reflecting open contests. While direct corner data is limited, the attacking nature of these fixtures and balanced territorial exchanges imply a steady flow of corners, supporting the current corner market outlook.

Season team stats

Süper Lig

Trabzonspor1

Played

Başakşehir1

Trabzonspor1

Avg goals for

Başakşehir2

Trabzonspor1

Avg goals against

Başakşehir0

Trabzonspor0

Clean sheets

Başakşehir1

Best odds for this sectionBaşakşehir Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Load more odds for this section

Başakşehir to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Trabzonspor Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Trabzonspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Season-long data confirms Trabzonspor's tendency to win corners through wide attacks and Başakşehir's balanced approach yielding a steady corner count. Their combined averages significantly exceed the 9.5 corners threshold, reinforcing the bet's foundation on consistent seasonal patterns.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Trabzonspor Over 2.5

0%Başakşehir Over 2.5

2.8H2H avg goals

Over the last ten matches, the average goals stand at 2.8, indicating moderate scoring. This tempo suggests open play phases conducive to corner situations, as both teams seek to create chances from wide areas and set pieces, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners expectation.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Trabzonspor v Başakşehir Stats

Match Report

Over 9.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Trabzonspor

Başakşehir

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Football Stats Hub

Trabzonspor v Başakşehir Stats

Match Report

Over 9.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Trabzonspor

Başakşehir

Continue the research

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