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Tenerife crestTenerife
v
Leganes crestLeganes

Segunda División | Sun 13 Sep, 20:00

Tenerife v Leganes Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tenerife face Leganes in Segunda División on Sun 13 Sep, 20:00. Tenerife come in with 7 recent points and 1.25 goals per match, while Leganes have 8 points and 0.75 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Leganes to Win

  • At 2.88, Leganes to Win implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • Leganes have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Tenerife.
  • Leganes have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Leganes to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Tenerife sit 9 in the table, while Leganes sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Leganes to Win sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Leganes have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Tenerife.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Positive
Leganes have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Leganes have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Leganes Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Leganes have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Tenerife. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Leganes to Win evidence

Leganes have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Tenerife.

Leganes have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Leganes Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Tenerife sit 9 in the table, while Leganes sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Leganes to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Tenerife1.25
    Avg goals scored
    Leganes0.75
    Tenerife0.75
    Avg goals conceded
    Leganes0.25
    Tenerife50%
    BTTS rate
    Leganes25%
    Tenerife25%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Leganes0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 50% for Tenerife and 25% for Leganes, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.2 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Leganes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Leganes to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Tenerife3.75
    Avg corners for
    Leganes2
    Tenerife8
    Avg total corners
    Leganes8.67
    Tenerife2
    Avg yellow cards
    Leganes1
    Tenerife9.5
    Avg shots
    Leganes8.67
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 56% · edge -11.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Tenerife

    DLWW
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    05 Sep 2026A Real Sociedad II1-1
    28 Aug 2026H Sporting Gijon0-1
    23 Aug 2026H Almeria1-0
    16 Aug 2026A Eibar3-1

    Leganes

    DWWD
    Last 52W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 0L
    04 Sep 2026A Las Palmas0-0
    29 Aug 2026H Eldense1-0
    22 Aug 2026A Oviedo1-0
    16 Aug 2026A Girona1-1
    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.2 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Leganes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Tenerife wins
    5Draws
    2Leganes wins
    08 Aug 2026Leganes v Tenerife0-0
    19 Apr 2024Tenerife v Leganes0-0
    20 Dec 2023Leganes v Tenerife1-1
    29 Apr 2023Tenerife v Leganes1-0
    23 Oct 2022Leganes v Tenerife2-1
    06 Feb 2022Tenerife v Leganes0-0
    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.2 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Leganes to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Segunda División

    Tenerife4
    Played
    Leganes4
    Tenerife1.3
    Avg goals for
    Leganes0.8
    Tenerife0.8
    Avg goals against
    Leganes0.3
    Tenerife1
    Clean sheets
    Leganes3
    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.2 pts
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Leganes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Leganes to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Leganes842202
    9Tenerife742112
    Tenerife sit in position 9, while Leganes sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Leganes to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    25%Tenerife Over 2.5
    0%Leganes Over 2.5
    1.11H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tenerife sit at 25% and Leganes sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.11 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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