Football Stats Hub

Tamworth crestTamworth
v
Wealdstone crestWealdstone

National League | Sat 19 Sep, 12:30

Tamworth v Wealdstone Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tamworth face Wealdstone in National League on Sat 19 Sep, 12:30.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +14 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tamworth

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Tamworth yet.

Wealdstone

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Wealdstone yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 77% · edge -5.3 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Wealdstone Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Tamworth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Tamworth to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Wealdstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tamworth-
Avg goals scored
Wealdstone-
Tamworth-
Avg goals conceded
Wealdstone-
Tamworth-
BTTS rate
Wealdstone-
Tamworth-
Over 2.5 goals
Wealdstone-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 40% · edge +14 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionWealdstone Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 43% · edge -0.6 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Tamworth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Tamworth to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Wealdstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Wealdstone Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Tamworth wins
0Draws
0Wealdstone wins
Best odds for this sectionTamworth to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 53% · edge -5.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Wealdstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Tamworth to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Tamworth Over 2.5
-Wealdstone Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Yeovil Town v Solihull MoorsNational League · Fri 18 Sep 19:45Hartlepool v WorthingNational League · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Forest Green v Boston UnitedNational League · Sat 19 Sep 15:00Barrow v Aldershot TownNational League · Sat 19 Sep 15:00

Competition and hubs

player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre