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Yeovil Town crestYeovil Town
v
Solihull Moors crestSolihull Moors

National League | Fri 18 Sep, 19:45

Yeovil Town v Solihull Moors Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Yeovil Town hosts Solihull Moors in a National League clash where Yeovil's mid-table position contrasts sharply with Solihull's struggle near the bottom. Yeovil has shown more attacking intent recently, averaging 1.8 goals per game and boasting an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play. Solihull Moors, while defensively tighter, have struggled to convert chances, averaging just one goal per game. The fixture carries importance for Yeovil to consolidate their position, while Solihull seeks to escape the relegation zone, setting up a contest with tactical urgency and contrasting styles.

BT4Y best bet

Yeovil Town to Win

  • Yeovil Town holds a strong home advantage with a 59.6% to win.
  • Recent form shows Yeovil averaging 1.8 goals per game versus Solihull's 1.0, highlighting attacking edge.
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Yeovil 100%, Solihull 80%, suggesting open games.
  • Yeovil's matches have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, higher than Solihull's 60%.
  • Yeovil ranks 10th in the league, significantly above Solihull's 24th position, indicating quality gap.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Yeovil Town to win based on their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and stronger league standing. Yeovil's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals and feature both teams scoring, reflecting an attacking style that contrasts with Solihull's lower offensive output. The 7.2% positive at of 1.91 supports this pick as a solid choice without price warning. The data quality is good, allowing in the statistical signals underpinning this selection.

Model Chance59.6%
Strong positive
Value Edge7.2%
Strong positive
Recent Goals ForYeovil 1.8, Solihull 1.0
Positive
BTTS RateYeovil 100%, Solihull 80%
Positive
League Position GapYeovil 10th vs Solihull 24th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Yeovil Town's stronger league position and attacking momentum make them the likely winners in this matchup. Their ability to score consistently and control games contrasts with Solihull Moors' struggles, providing a tactical and statistical foundation for backing Yeovil to secure victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Yeovil Town's offensive consistency and higher league standing give them a clear edge, especially at home where they can impose their game. Solihull's defensive challenges and lower scoring form make Yeovil the natural favorite in this contest.”

Key Data Signals

Yeovil Town to Win evidence

Yeovil Town holds a strong home advantage with a 59.6% to win.

Recent form shows Yeovil averaging 1.8 goals per game versus Solihull's 1.0, highlighting attacking edge.

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Yeovil 100%, Solihull 80%, suggesting open games.

Yeovil's matches have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, higher than Solihull's 60%.

What To Watch In The Data

Yeovil Town to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4, supporting a moderate scoring trend.
  • Yeovil's recent matches have an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a faster tempo and more open play, which could lead to a goal-rich fixture consistent with these trends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Yeovil Town1.8
Avg goals scored
Solihull Moors1
Yeovil Town2.2
Avg goals conceded
Solihull Moors1.8
Yeovil Town100%
BTTS rate
Solihull Moors80%
Yeovil Town80%
Over 2.5 goals
Solihull Moors60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Yeovil at 100% and Solihull at 80%, indicating frequent goal exchanges. Yeovil's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate suggests matches involving them tend to be open and high scoring, while Solihull's 60% rate supports a moderately attacking game, pointing to a likely goal-rich encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickYeovil Town to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The current of 1.91 for Yeovil Town to win reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model estimating a 59.6% chance compared to the implied 52.4%. This gap suggests the market underestimates Yeovil's likelihood of victory, making the price attractive without being overly short.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Yeovil Town

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 2L
15 Sep 2026A Aldershot Town1-1
12 Sep 2026H AFC Fylde1-4
05 Sep 2026A Southend2-3
31 Aug 2026H Tamworth3-2
28 Aug 2026A Barrow2-1

Solihull Moors

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 6L
15 Sep 2026H Barrow1-0
12 Sep 2026H Aldershot Town1-2
05 Sep 2026A Gateshead1-1
31 Aug 2026H AFC Fylde1-3
28 Aug 2026A Scunthorpe1-3
Market aligned with main pickYeovil Town to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Yeovil Town's recent form shows a stronger points return and higher goal output compared to Solihull Moors, who have struggled to find the net consistently. This momentum favors Yeovil's and ability to control the match tempo, increasing their chances of securing a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Yeovil Town wins
3Draws
3Solihull Moors wins
25 Apr 2026Yeovil Town v Solihull Moors1-4
02 Sep 2025Solihull Moors v Yeovil Town0-1
22 Mar 2025Solihull Moors v Yeovil Town0-3
10 Sep 2024Yeovil Town v Solihull Moors0-1
15 Apr 2023Solihull Moors v Yeovil Town2-2
08 Oct 2022Yeovil Town v Solihull Moors1-0
Market aligned with main pickYeovil Town to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, suggesting moderately open encounters historically. While this supports the potential for goals, the data is balanced and should be considered alongside current form and tactical setups rather than as a decisive factor.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

National League

Yeovil Town8
Played
Solihull Moors8
Yeovil Town1.8
Avg goals for
Solihull Moors1
Yeovil Town1.6
Avg goals against
Solihull Moors2.4
Yeovil Town1
Clean sheets
Solihull Moors1
Market aligned with main pickYeovil Town to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Season-long statistics reveal Yeovil Town's more potent attack and slightly weaker defense, aligning with their high-scoring matches. Solihull's lower goal tally and better defensive numbers suggest a more cautious approach, but their offensive limitations could hinder their ability to challenge Yeovil effectively.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Yeovil Town1283321
24Solihull Moors48116-11
Yeovil Town's 10th place standing contrasts with Solihull Moors' 24th, highlighting a quality and consistency gap. This league position difference reflects Yeovil's stronger overall performance and adds pressure on Solihull to avoid defeat, influencing tactical decisions and match intensity.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Yeovil Town Over 2.5
60%Solihull Moors Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4, supporting a moderate scoring trend. Yeovil's recent matches have an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a faster tempo and more open play, which could lead to a goal-rich fixture consistent with these trends.

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