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Tampere United crestTampere United
v
SalPa crestSalPa

Ykkönen | Fri 10 Jul, 16:30

Tampere United v SalPa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 09:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tampere United face SalPa in Ykkönen on Fri 10 Jul, 16:30. Tampere United come in with 15 recent points and 2.2 goals per match, while SalPa have 8 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Tampere United to Win

  • At 1.73, Tampere United to Win implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Tampere United have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for SalPa.
  • Tampere United have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Tampere United to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Tampere United sit 1 in the table, while SalPa sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Tampere United to Win sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Tampere United have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for SalPa.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Tampere United have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Tampere United have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tampere United Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tampere United have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for SalPa. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Tampere United to Win evidence

Tampere United have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for SalPa.

Tampere United have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Tampere United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Tampere United sit 1 in the table, while SalPa sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Tampere United to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Tampere United2.2
    Avg goals scored
    SalPa2
    Tampere United0.4
    Avg goals conceded
    SalPa2.6
    Tampere United20%
    BTTS rate
    SalPa80%
    Tampere United60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    SalPa100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 88% vs implied 86% · edge +2.5 pts
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 31%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Tampere United and 100% for SalPa, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickTampere United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Tampere United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Tampere United to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Tampere United

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 1D 1L
    04 Jul 2026A KuPS Akatemia3-2
    25 Jun 2026A FC jazz1-0
    11 Jun 2026H OLS3-0
    06 Jun 2026A Rops1-0
    29 May 2026A TPV3-0

    SalPa

    DDWLW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    04 Jul 2026H VJS2-2
    27 Jun 2026A Rops2-2
    12 Jun 2026H KuPS Akatemia4-3
    06 Jun 2026A OLS0-5
    28 May 2026A FC jazz2-1
    Market aligned with main pickTampere United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Tampere United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Tampere United wins
    0Draws
    7SalPa wins
    11 Apr 2026SalPa v Tampere United2-0
    01 Apr 2023SalPa v Tampere United3-0
    23 Jul 2022SalPa v Tampere United3-0
    30 Apr 2022Tampere United v SalPa4-1
    17 Aug 2019Tampere United v SalPa0-2
    02 Jun 2019SalPa v Tampere United5-1
    Market aligned with main pickTampere United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Tampere United to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Ykkönen

    Tampere United16
    Played
    SalPa16
    Tampere United1.9
    Avg goals for
    SalPa1.9
    Tampere United0.7
    Avg goals against
    SalPa1.6
    Tampere United11
    Clean sheets
    SalPa3
    Market aligned with main pickTampere United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Tampere United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Season data supports Tampere United to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Tampere United3516112320
    4SalPa26167545
    Tampere United sit in position 1, while SalPa sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Tampere United to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Tampere United Over 2.5
    100%SalPa Over 2.5
    3.13H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tampere United sit at 60% and SalPa sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.13 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.