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Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Fulham crestFulham

Premier League | Sun 30 Aug, 14:00

Sunderland v Fulham Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 22:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland face Fulham in Premier League on Sun 30 Aug, 14:00. Sunderland lost only four of 19 Premier League home matches last season, reinforcing how important the Stadium of Light has been to their strongest results. Fulham’s early scoring form and Sunderland’s defensive struggles support a close, competitive match with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/11, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Unlike BTTS YES, this covers lopsided scores like 3-0 or 0-3 where one team fails to score.
  • Sunderland show a 100% BTTS rate and Fulham show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Sunderland average 1 goals scored and Fulham average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Sunderland show a 100% BTTS rate and Fulham show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Unlike BTTS YES, this covers lopsided scores like 3-0 or 0-3 where one team fails to score.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Sunderland show a 100% BTTS rate and Fulham show a.Visible data support
Positive
Sunderland average 1 goals scored and Fulham average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Unlike BTTS YES, this covers lopsided scores like 3-0.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because unlike BTTS YES, this covers lopsided scores like 3-0 or 0-3 where one team fails to score. Sunderland show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Fulham show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The concern is what happens without the ball.

Main risk

The concern is what happens without the ball.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Unlike BTTS YES, this covers lopsided scores like 3-0 or 0-3 where one team fails to score.

Sunderland show a 100% BTTS rate and Fulham show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Sunderland average 1 goals scored and Fulham average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sunderland1
Avg goals scored
Fulham2
Sunderland2
Avg goals conceded
Fulham3
Sunderland100%
BTTS rate
Fulham100%
Sunderland100%
Over 2.5 goals
Fulham100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sunderland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sunderland to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sunderland5
Avg corners for
Fulham6
Sunderland8
Avg total corners
Fulham10
Sunderland3
Avg yellow cards
Fulham2
Sunderland11
Avg shots
Fulham14
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 62% · edge +8.8 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sunderland

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Ipswich1-2

Fulham

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
24 Aug 2026H Chelsea2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 74% · edge -5.9 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Sunderland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sunderland to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Fulham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Sunderland wins
2Draws
5Fulham wins
22 Feb 2026Sunderland v Fulham1-3
22 Nov 2025Fulham v Sunderland1-0
08 Feb 2023Sunderland v Fulham2-3
28 Jan 2023Fulham v Sunderland1-1
27 Apr 2018Fulham v Sunderland2-1
16 Dec 2017Sunderland v Fulham1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sunderland to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Sunderland4
Played
Fulham4
Sunderland0.8
Avg goals for
Fulham1
Sunderland1.3
Avg goals against
Fulham1.8
Sunderland1
Clean sheets
Fulham1
Best odds for this sectionSunderland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 48% · edge +1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Fulham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sunderland to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Fulham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season data supports Sunderland Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Sunderland45113-4
19Fulham25023-3
Sunderland sit in position 14, while Fulham sit in position 19, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Sunderland Over 2.5
100%Fulham Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sunderland sit at 100% and Fulham sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Sunderland v Fulham prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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