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Sunderland

AZ Alkmaar

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 15:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland face AZ Alkmaar in UEFA Europa League on Wed 16 Sep, 20:00. Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar: Home Strength Meets Dutch Momentum in Europa League Opener. AZ's high-scoring domestic form makes a clean sheet unlikely, though exact score predictions carry inherent risk.

BT4Y match pick

Sunderland to win and both teams to score

At 11/5, Sunderland to win and both teams to score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for Sunderland to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 31% implied

Neutral

Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge -2 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sunderland Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Sunderland to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

What To Watch In The Data

Sunderland to win and both teams to score notes

Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sunderland

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sunderland yet.

AZ Alkmaar

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for AZ Alkmaar yet.

Market aligned with main pickSunderland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 57% · edge +8 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Sunderland to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSunderland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 57% · edge +8 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Sunderland to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Sunderland Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sunderland-

Avg goals scored

AZ Alkmaar-

Sunderland-

Avg goals conceded

AZ Alkmaar-

Sunderland-

BTTS rate

AZ Alkmaar-

Sunderland-

Over 2.5 goals

AZ Alkmaar-

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.4 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Sunderland Over 2.5

-AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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🔥 Our Acca Selection 23.77 odds • Starts in 125h 20m • 5 legs Our Selection

5-Leg Auto Acca Total odds: 23.77

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⏳ Previous Acca Result Pending 8.63 odds • Settlement pending • 5 legs Pending

5-Leg Auto Acca Total odds: 8.63

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