Football Stats Hub

Aberdeen crestAberdeen
v
Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd

Premiership | Sat 09 May, 15:00

Aberdeen v Dundee Utd Stats

Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 20:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aberdeen face Dundee Utd in Premiership on Sat 09 May, 15:00. The Scottish Premiership spotlight falls on Tannadice Park this Tuesday, 24 February 2026, as Dundee United host Aberdeen in a high-stakes Gameweek 26 encounter. Teams Key Stats: Possession and Defensive Solidity Aberdeen come in with 7 recent points and 1.

BT4Y best bet

Dundee Utd Win

  • At 3.2, Dundee Utd Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Teams Key Stats: Possession and Defensive Solidity
  • Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Aberdeen.
  • Aberdeen have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee Utd Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Aberdeen sit 3 in the table, while Dundee Utd sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Dundee Utd Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Aberdeen. Teams Key Stats: Possession and Defensive Solidity

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Aberdeen have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Teams Key Stats: Possession and Defensive SolidityArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Dundee Utd Win is the preferred angle because teams Key Stats: Possession and Defensive Solidity Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Aberdeen. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Dundee Utd Win evidence

Teams Key Stats: Possession and Defensive Solidity

Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Aberdeen.

Aberdeen have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee Utd Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Aberdeen sit 3 in the table, while Dundee Utd sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Dundee Utd Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Aberdeen5
    Avg corners for
    Dundee Utd4.33
    Aberdeen10
    Avg total corners
    Dundee Utd10
    Aberdeen2.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Dundee Utd1
    Aberdeen7.67
    Avg shots
    Dundee Utd16
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +2 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more Premiership analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Aberdeen1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Dundee Utd2
    Aberdeen1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundee Utd1.8
    Aberdeen40%
    BTTS rate
    Dundee Utd40%
    Aberdeen40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundee Utd80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 60% · edge +0.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Aberdeen and 40% for Dundee Utd, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Dundee Utd to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Aberdeen

    DWWLL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    01 May 2026A Livingston2-2
    25 Apr 2026H Kilmarnock1-0
    11 Apr 2026H Hibernian2-0
    04 Apr 2026A ST Mirren0-2
    21 Mar 2026A Rangers1-4

    Dundee Utd

    LWWLW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    02 May 2026A Kilmarnock0-3
    26 Apr 2026H Dundee3-0
    11 Apr 2026H Livingston3-2
    04 Apr 2026A Rangers2-4
    22 Mar 2026H Celtic2-0
    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 80%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Aberdeen wins
    3Draws
    4Dundee Utd wins
    24 Feb 2026Dundee Utd v Aberdeen0-0
    27 Dec 2025Aberdeen v Dundee Utd1-1
    23 Sep 2025Dundee Utd v Aberdeen2-0
    17 May 2025Dundee Utd v Aberdeen2-1
    02 Mar 2025Aberdeen v Dundee Utd2-2
    29 Dec 2024Dundee Utd v Aberdeen1-0
    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Dundee Utd to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Aberdeen38
    Played
    Dundee Utd38
    Aberdeen1.1
    Avg goals for
    Dundee Utd1.3
    Aberdeen1.4
    Avg goals against
    Dundee Utd1.6
    Aberdeen10
    Clean sheets
    Dundee Utd7
    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Season data supports Dundee Utd to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Dundee Utd403391311-9
    8Aberdeen33339618-15
    1Dundee Utd4538101513-11
    3Aberdeen403811720-15
    Aberdeen sit in position 3, while Dundee Utd sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Dundee Utd Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Aberdeen Over 2.5
    80%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aberdeen sit at 40% and Dundee Utd sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Aberdeen v Dundee Utd prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Aberdeen v Queen's ParkLeague Cup · Sat 18 Jul 17:00Dundee Utd v ArbroathLeague Cup · Sat 18 Jul 19:00

    Competition and hubs

    Premiership hubmore Premiership analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre