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Aberdeen crestAberdeen
v
Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd

Premiership | Sat 09 May, 15:00

Aberdeen v Dundee Utd Stats

BT4Y best bet

Dundee Utd to Win

  • At 3.2, Dundee Utd to Win is priced at roughly 31% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 54%, so the current line is showing a +23.1-point value edge.
  • Aberdeen have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while Dundee Utd come in at 3W-0D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Dundee Utd to Win angle: Aberdeen have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Dundee Utd to Win angle: Dundee Utd have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Aberdeen Over 2.5
80%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Aberdeen

DWWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
01 May 2026A Livingston2-2
25 Apr 2026H Kilmarnock1-0
11 Apr 2026H Hibernian2-0
04 Apr 2026A ST Mirren0-2
21 Mar 2026A Rangers1-4

Dundee Utd

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
02 May 2026A Kilmarnock0-3
26 Apr 2026H Dundee3-0
11 Apr 2026H Livingston3-2
04 Apr 2026A Rangers2-4
22 Mar 2026H Celtic2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 80%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Aberdeen1.2
Avg goals scored
Dundee Utd2
Aberdeen1.6
Avg goals conceded
Dundee Utd1.8
Aberdeen40%
BTTS rate
Dundee Utd40%
Aberdeen40%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee Utd80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 59% · edge +1.2 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Aberdeen wins
3Draws
4Dundee Utd wins
24 Feb 2026Dundee Utd v Aberdeen0-0
27 Dec 2025Aberdeen v Dundee Utd1-1
23 Sep 2025Dundee Utd v Aberdeen2-0
17 May 2025Dundee Utd v Aberdeen2-1
02 Mar 2025Aberdeen v Dundee Utd2-2
29 Dec 2024Dundee Utd v Aberdeen1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Aberdeen4.2
Avg corners for
Dundee Utd4.4
Aberdeen9
Avg total corners
Dundee Utd9.8
Aberdeen2.2
Avg yellow cards
Dundee Utd1.2
Aberdeen9.4
Avg shots
Dundee Utd17
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 60% · edge +0.2 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.92
Bet HERE @ 1.92
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleI. Dolček Anytime GoalscorerI. Dolček · 5 goals · 1.23 SOT/90
77/100
Bet HERE
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I. Dolček 1+ Shot On TargetI. Dolček · 1.23 shots on target/90
75/100
Bet HERE
I. Dolček 2+ ShotsI. Dolček · 2.17 shots/90
72/100
Bet HERE
S. Armstrong To Assist / Key Pass AngleS. Armstrong · 5 assists · 1.93 key passes/90
67/100
Bet HERE
T. Olusanya To Be FouledT. Olusanya · 2.33 fouls won/90
73/100
Bet HERE
M. Lazetić Card RiskM. Lazetić · 6 yellows · 2.82 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
I. Dolček
I. DolčekDundee Utd · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /902.17
SOT /901.23
J. Karlsson
J. KarlssonAberdeen · Midfielder
Goal threat61/100
Shots /902.16
SOT /901.12
K. Nisbet
K. NisbetAberdeen · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.79
SOT /900.9
Z. Sapsford
Z. SapsfordDundee Utd · Attacker
Goal threat57/100
Shots /901.99
SOT /901
O. Stirton
O. StirtonDundee Utd · Defender
Goal threat21/100
Shots /902.16
SOT /900.62
M. Lazetić
M. LazetićAberdeen · Attacker
Goal threat39/100
Shots /901.2
SOT /900.51
A. Palaversa
A. PalaversaAberdeen · Midfielder
Goal threat12/100
Shots /900.58
SOT /900.19
K. Tobers
K. TobersAberdeen · Defender
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

Premiership

Aberdeen35
Played
Dundee Utd35
Aberdeen1
Avg goals for
Dundee Utd1.4
Aberdeen1.4
Avg goals against
Dundee Utd1.6
Aberdeen9
Clean sheets
Dundee Utd6
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 31% · edge +23.1 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Dundee Utd403391311-9
8Aberdeen33339618-15
1Dundee Utd4335101312-9
2Aberdeen373510718-14

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.