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Bolognav
AS RomaSerie A | Sat 25 Apr, 17:00
Bologna v AS Roma Stats
BT4Y best bet
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 4.75, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 21% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 55%, so the current line is showing a +34.2-point value edge.
- Bologna are at 20% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, AS Roma are at 60%, and the H2H goal average is 2.6.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Bologna have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: AS Roma have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 4.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +31.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Bologna Over 2.5
60%AS Roma Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Bologna
LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 106W 0D 4L
19 Apr 2026A Juventus0-2
12 Apr 2026H Lecce2-0
05 Apr 2026A Cremonese2-1
22 Mar 2026H Lazio0-2
15 Mar 2026A Sassuolo1-0
AS Roma
DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 3D 3L
18 Apr 2026H Atalanta1-1
10 Apr 2026H Pisa3-0
05 Apr 2026A Inter2-5
22 Mar 2026H Lecce1-0
15 Mar 2026A Como1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 29% · edge +20.5 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Bologna1
Avg goals scoredAS Roma1.6
Bologna1
Avg goals concededAS Roma1.6
Bologna20%
BTTS rateAS Roma60%
Bologna20%
Over 2.5 goalsAS Roma60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 21% · edge +34.2 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
4Bologna wins
4Draws
2AS Roma wins
19 Mar 2026AS Roma v Bologna3-4
12 Mar 2026Bologna v AS Roma1-1
23 Aug 2025AS Roma v Bologna1-0
12 Jan 2025Bologna v AS Roma2-2
10 Nov 2024AS Roma v Bologna2-3
22 Apr 2024AS Roma v Bologna1-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +31.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Bologna3.8
Avg corners forAS Roma4.6
Bologna8.2
Avg total cornersAS Roma9.6
Bologna1.2
Avg yellow cardsAS Roma1.6
Bologna12.8
Avg shotsAS Roma10.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.7 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
D. MalenAS Roma · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /902.95
SOT /901.77
R. OrsoliniBologna · Midfielder
Goal threat71/100
Shots /902.81
SOT /901.29
E. FergusonAS Roma · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /902.9
SOT /901.74
I. SulemanaBologna · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
C. ImmobileBologna · Attacker
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900.47
SOT /900
N. El AynaouiAS Roma · Midfielder
Goal threat21/100
Shots /900.54
SOT /900.43
Season team stats
Serie A
Bologna35
PlayedAS Roma35
Bologna1.2
Avg goals forAS Roma1.5
Bologna1.2
Avg goals againstAS Roma0.8
Bologna11
Clean sheetsAS Roma16
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 29% · edge +20.5 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AS Roma | 64 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
| 9 | Bologna | 49 | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
