Stockport County

Peterborough

League One | Sat 26 Sep, 15:00

Stockport County v Peterborough Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stockport County host Peterborough in a League One clash where defensive solidity and recent scoring patterns suggest a cautious encounter. Stockport County have shown a moderate attacking output but also a tendency to keep games tight, while Peterborough struggle for goals and have conceded regularly. Both teams have mixed recent form, with Stockport slightly stronger in points and goal control. The tactical setup points to a match where scoring chances may be limited and defensive discipline prioritized, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Stockport County average 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing moderate scoring and defensive balance.
Peterborough have a low scoring rate of 0.4 goals per game and concede 1.8, indicating offensive struggles.
Both teams have a BTTS rate of 40%, suggesting less frequent mutual scoring.
Stockport County's recent matches go over 2.5 goals 60% of the time, but Peterborough only 40%, hinting at a cautious overall tempo.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals with a 46.8% chance, significantly higher than the 34.7% implied by current , indicating positive value. Statistical trends show Peterborough's low scoring output and Stockport's balanced defense as key factors. The match context suggests a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances, supporting a low-scoring outcome. No data limitations affect , and the stake guidance is standard given the clear .

Model chance vs Implied chance46.8% vs 34.7%

Strong positive

Peterborough low scoring rate0.4 goals per game

Strong positive

Stockport defensive solidity1.4 goals conceded per game

Positive

BTTS rates moderate (40%)Suggests fewer mutual goals

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Under 2.5 Goals pick fits the tactical and statistical profile of this League One fixture, where Peterborough's offensive struggles and Stockport's balanced defense point to a low-scoring match. Recent form data and goal averages reinforce the expectation of limited scoring opportunities and a controlled tempo.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring analysis

“Peterborough's difficulty in scoring combined with Stockport's disciplined defensive approach makes a low-scoring game the most plausible outcome in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Stockport County average 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing moderate scoring and defensive balance.

Peterborough have a low scoring rate of 0.4 goals per game and concede 1.8, indicating offensive struggles.

Both teams have a BTTS rate of 40%, suggesting less frequent mutual scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating some openness historically.
However, recent form and season stats suggest a slower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite past encounters.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Stockport County6.4

Avg corners for

Peterborough5.8

Stockport County10

Avg total corners

Peterborough10.6

Stockport County1

Avg yellow cards

Peterborough1

Stockport County16

Avg shots

Peterborough15

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Both teams generate a similar number of shots per game (Stockport 16, Peterborough 15) but Stockport has a higher shots on target average (4.8 vs 2.4), suggesting better finishing chances. Corner counts are balanced, and card averages are low, indicating a match likely to be controlled with moderate pressure and few disciplinary disruptions.

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Useful next reads

League One hub full betting preview for Stockport County v Peterborough corners trends hub player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stockport County2.4

Avg goals scored

Peterborough0.4

Stockport County1.4

Avg goals conceded

Peterborough1.8

Stockport County40%

BTTS rate

Peterborough40%

Stockport County60%

Over 2.5 goals

Peterborough40%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 35% · edge +12.1 pts

2.88

Check odds @ 2.88

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 51%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.11

Check odds @ 1.11

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Goal and BTTS trends reveal Peterborough's scoring struggles with only 0.4 goals per game and a 40% BTTS rate, while Stockport's moderate scoring and conceding rates support a cautious match. These patterns indicate a higher probability of fewer goals and less frequent both teams scoring outcomes.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPeterborough Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 4

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Stockport County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Stockport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Peterborough to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

The Under 2.5 Goals market shows clear value as the model's 46.8% chance exceeds the implied 34.7% chance from of 2.88. This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a low-scoring game, making this a price-sensitive but positive value selection.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stockport County

DLWLW

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 1D 3L

19 Sep 2026A Sheffield Wednesday0-0

12 Sep 2026H Leicester3-4

05 Sep 2026A Wigan4-0

02 Sep 2026A Luton0-2

29 Aug 2026H Wycombe5-1

Peterborough

LDLDL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 2D 4L

19 Sep 2026H Doncaster0-2

12 Sep 2026A Milton Keynes Dons1-1

05 Sep 2026H Sheffield Wednesday1-2

01 Sep 2026H Stevenage0-0

29 Aug 2026A Blackpool0-4

Best odds for this sectionPeterborough Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 4

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Stockport County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%

Check odds @ 3

Stockport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Peterborough to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

Recent form data shows Stockport County with 7 points and 2.4 goals scored per game, indicating a balanced attack and defense. Peterborough's 2 points and 0.4 goals scored highlight offensive difficulties. These trends support a match with fewer goals and a controlled tempo favoring Under 2.5 Goals.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Stockport County wins

1Draws

1Peterborough wins

25 Apr 2026Stockport County v Peterborough3-1

20 Nov 2025Peterborough v Stockport County3-0

18 Apr 2025Peterborough v Stockport County1-1

20 Dec 2024Stockport County v Peterborough2-1

Best odds for this sectionStockport County to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Load more odds for this section

Peterborough to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

The four previous meetings between these teams averaged 3 goals per game, showing a history of relatively open matches. Nevertheless, current form and scoring difficulties, especially for Peterborough, weaken the relevance of this trend for predicting a high-scoring outcome in this fixture.

Season team stats

League One

Stockport County7

Played

Peterborough7

Stockport County2.3

Avg goals for

Peterborough0.6

Stockport County1.4

Avg goals against

Peterborough1.7

Stockport County2

Clean sheets

Peterborough1

Best odds for this sectionPeterborough Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 4

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Stockport County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Stockport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Peterborough to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

Season-long statistics reveal Stockport County's moderate scoring and defensive numbers, conceding 1.4 goals per game, while Peterborough's low scoring and higher conceding rate (1.8) suggest defensive vulnerabilities but limited offensive threat, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring contest.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9	Stockport County	10	7	3	1	3	6
23	Peterborough	5	7	1	2	4	-8

Stockport County's mid-table position with 10 points contrasts with Peterborough's lower rank and 5 points, reflecting differing form and quality. However, standings alone do not dictate scoring patterns here, as tactical caution and recent scoring trends are more decisive for the Under 2.5 Goals market.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Stockport County Over 2.5

40%Peterborough Over 2.5

3H2H avg goals

In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating some openness historically. However, recent form and season stats suggest a slower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite past encounters.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Stockport County v Peterborough Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Stockport County

Peterborough

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Football Stats Hub

Stockport County v Peterborough Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Stockport County

Peterborough

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