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Start crestStart
v
Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad

Eliteserien | Sat 08 Aug, 17:00

Start v Fredrikstad Stats

Data last updated: Fri 07 Aug 2026, 05:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad hosts Start in a crucial Eliteserien clash marked by defensive frailties and urgent need for points. Fredrikstad, under new coach Casper Rojkjaer, have shown attacking promise but continue to concede in every match this season. Start, struggling near the bottom, have finally secured a win but remain the division's leakiest defense, conceding 26 goals in 11 games. Both teams' inability to maintain defensive solidity and Start's counter-attacking threat set the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter with goals likely at both ends. The fixture carries significant pressure as both sides seek momentum to avoid relegation battles.

BT4Y best bet

Fredrikstad to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last five matches but conceded in every game this season.
  • Start have conceded 26 goals in 11 league matches, the worst defensive record in the division.
  • Start have scored in nine of their previous ten matches, showing attacking threat despite defensive issues.
  • The last six meetings between these teams averaged 3.67 goals per game, indicating a high-scoring history.
  • Fredrikstad’s new tactical approach under Casper Rojkjaer emphasizes possession and wing-back attacks, increasing goal opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Fredrikstad to win with both teams scoring due to their consistent scoring streak combined with defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Fredrikstad’s fresh tactical energy and home advantage slightly edge them over Start, who possess the worst defensive record but maintain offensive threat. The of 31.4% aligns well with the 3.25 , indicating a small positive value. Defensive instability and recent form trends support a match with goals at both ends and a narrow home victory. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Fredrikstad scoring consistencyScored in last 5 matches
Strong positive
Start defensive weakness26 goals conceded in 11 games
Strong positive
Start attacking threatScored in 9 of last 10 matches
Positive
Model chance vs odds31.4% chance vs 30.8% implied odds
Positive
Recent tactical shiftFredrikstad’s proactive style under new coach
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Fredrikstad’s recent tactical adjustments and home advantage give them a slight edge over Start, whose defensive frailties are offset by their ability to score regularly. This match is likely to be open and competitive, with both teams finding the net and Fredrikstad narrowly prevailing. The combination bet captures the dynamic well, reflecting the tactical and form realities of both sides.

Main risk

The result itself was not spectacular, but the performance late in the match suggested a side beginning to absorb new ideas.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and defensive dynamics

“Fredrikstad’s new attacking approach combined with Start’s porous defense sets up a fixture ripe for goals at both ends and a home win. The tactical shift and player roles suggest an open game where defensive weaknesses will be exploited.”

Key Data Signals

Fredrikstad to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last five matches but conceded in every game this season.

Start have conceded 26 goals in 11 league matches, the worst defensive record in the division.

Start have scored in nine of their previous ten matches, showing attacking threat despite defensive issues.

The last six meetings between these teams averaged 3.67 goals per game, indicating a high-scoring history.

What To Watch In The Data

Fredrikstad to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last six head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad and Start have produced an average of 3.67 goals per game, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent history suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps exploited by both sides, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Start0.8
Avg goals scored
Fredrikstad0.6
Start2.2
Avg goals conceded
Fredrikstad1.6
Start60%
BTTS rate
Fredrikstad20%
Start100%
Over 2.5 goals
Fredrikstad40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.6 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability alongside defensive vulnerabilities, with Fredrikstad conceding in every game and Start allowing 26 goals in 11 matches. Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per game, supporting a high probability of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The current of 3.25 for Fredrikstad to Win & Both Teams to Score offer a slight over the model's 31.4% chance, reflecting market in an open game with a home victory. The price is well aligned with the tactical and form data, making it a reasonable selection without significant price risk.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Start v Fredrikstad predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Start4.2
Avg corners for
Fredrikstad4
Start7.6
Avg total corners
Fredrikstad9.25
Start2
Avg yellow cards
Fredrikstad2.25
Start16.8
Avg shots
Fredrikstad11.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Start averages 16.8 shots per game with 3.4 on target, indicating offensive activity despite defensive issues. Fredrikstad’s 10.4 shots with 3 on target reflect a proactive attack. Both teams average around 4 corners and 2 yellow cards per game, suggesting a competitive match with sustained pressure and moderate fouling.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Start

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
01 Aug 2026H Viking0-3
25 Jul 2026A Kristiansund BK2-1
18 Jul 2026H Rosenborg0-3
12 Jul 2026A Brann1-2
29 May 2026A Fredrikstad1-2

Fredrikstad

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
01 Aug 2026H Sandefjord1-0
27 Jul 2026A Rosenborg0-4
17 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-1
11 Jul 2026H Lillestrom0-2
29 May 2026H Start2-1
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Fredrikstad have earned 6 points from their last matches, scoring consistently but conceding as well, reflecting their attacking focus and defensive fragility. Start’s recent 3 points came with a 2-0 win, ending a winless streak, but their defensive record remains poor, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Both teams’ recent form trends indicate a match with goals at both ends and a slight edge to Fredrikstad’s momentum.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Start wins
3Draws
5Fredrikstad wins
29 May 2026Fredrikstad v Start2-1
03 Sep 2023Start v Fredrikstad2-2
11 Jun 2023Fredrikstad v Start3-1
31 Jul 2022Start v Fredrikstad1-0
18 Apr 2022Fredrikstad v Start1-0
26 Sep 2021Start v Fredrikstad2-6
Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The nine recent meetings between Fredrikstad and Start show a consistent pattern of high-scoring games with an average of 3.56 goals per match. This historical data supports the expectation of an open game with goals from both teams, though it should be balanced with current form and tactical changes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Start16
Played
Fredrikstad16
Start1
Avg goals for
Fredrikstad1.1
Start2.3
Avg goals against
Fredrikstad1.7
Start1
Clean sheets
Fredrikstad2
Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Fredrikstad’s season-long pattern of scoring in every match but conceding heavily underlines their attacking capability and defensive issues. Start’s 26 goals conceded in 11 games is the worst in the league, while scoring in 9 of 10 recent matches shows offensive resilience. These season stats reinforce the expectation of an open game with goals from both sides and a narrow home win.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Fredrikstad2016628-10
16Start10172411-22
Fredrikstad sit 11th with 17 points, slightly above the relegation zone, while Start languishes 16th with 10 points, intensifying pressure on both teams. The standings highlight the high stakes and urgency for points, likely fueling an aggressive approach from Fredrikstad and a desperate counter-attacking Start, contributing to an open, goal-filled match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Start Over 2.5
40%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
3.56H2H avg goals
The last six head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad and Start have produced an average of 3.67 goals per game, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring encounters. This recent history suggests a fast tempo and defensive gaps exploited by both sides, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Start v Fredrikstad prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Start v Fredrikstad predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

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