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Rosenborg crestRosenborg

Eliteserien | Sun 09 Aug, 13:30

Lillestrom v Rosenborg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lillestrom and Rosenborg meet in an Eliteserien clash where attacking intent is expected to shape the game. Lillestrom sits fourth in the league with a solid home record, while Rosenborg, tenth, have shown resilience and a potent offense on the road. Both teams have recent form indicating goal-scoring potential, with Rosenborg averaging nearly three goals per game and Lillestrom maintaining a competitive attacking edge. This fixture promises open play and tactical battles, with both sides eager to capitalize on scoring opportunities to improve their league standing.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Rosenborg averages 2.8 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 rate this season.
  • Lillestrom has a 60% Over 2.5 rate, showing decent goal involvement.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, indicating a history of open games.
  • Rosenborg averages 15.75 shots and 7.75 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.
  • Lehne Olsen and Rosenborg’s Amin Chiakha are key attacking threats with strong shot profiles.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 71.9% chance, supported by Rosenborg's prolific scoring and Lillestrom's willingness to engage offensively. Rosenborg's perfect Over 2.5 record and high shot volume underline their attacking control, while Lillestrom's moderate goal concession suggests vulnerabilities. The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals further confirms the likelihood of multiple goals. No price warnings apply, making this a solid selection based on attacking metrics and historical trends.

Rosenborg Over 2.5 Rate100% this season
Strong positive
Lillestrom Over 2.5 Rate60% this season
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.2 goals per match
Positive
Rosenborg Shots per Game15.75 shots, 7.75 on target
Strong positive
Lillestrom Goals Against1.8 goals conceded per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Over 2.5 Goals is a fitting choice given Rosenborg’s attacking firepower and Lillestrom’s openness in defense. Rosenborg’s high shot volume and clinical finishing, combined with Lillestrom’s tendency to concede, suggest a lively match with multiple goals. The historical goal average between these teams supports an expectation of an open, goal-rich encounter.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics and goal potential

“Rosenborg’s offensive efficiency and Lillestrom’s defensive frailties set the stage for a high-scoring match. Their contrasting styles and recent goal trends make Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Rosenborg averages 2.8 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 rate this season.

Lillestrom has a 60% Over 2.5 rate, showing decent goal involvement.

Head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, indicating a history of open games.

Rosenborg averages 15.75 shots and 7.75 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, indicating a historical trend toward open, goal-filled encounters.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams’ attacking tendencies in recent matches.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lillestrom4.4
Avg corners for
Rosenborg6.6
Lillestrom11.4
Avg total corners
Rosenborg11.8
Lillestrom1
Avg yellow cards
Rosenborg1.6
Lillestrom9.8
Avg shots
Rosenborg14.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Rosenborg’s offensive pressure is evident in their 8.25 corners and 15.75 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking phases. Lillestrom’s 4.4 corners and 9.8 shots show a willingness to contest possession. Card averages are moderate, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lillestrom1
Avg goals scored
Rosenborg2.8
Lillestrom1.8
Avg goals conceded
Rosenborg1
Lillestrom40%
BTTS rate
Rosenborg40%
Lillestrom60%
Over 2.5 goals
Rosenborg100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 63% · edge +9.4 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Both teams have shown goal-scoring capabilities, with Rosenborg averaging 2.8 goals per game and Lillestrom contributing to matches with a 60% Over 2.5 rate. BTTS rates are moderate at 40% for both, suggesting goals may come unevenly but with enough frequency to surpass 2.5 total goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 63% · edge +9.4 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Rosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Lillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model’s 71.9% probability, reflecting Rosenborg’s perfect record in this market and Lillestrom’s decent contribution. Current pricing appears fair with no warning flags, indicating a balanced risk-reward scenario for bettors.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lillestrom

LLWWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 6L
31 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-4
22 Jul 2026H Viking1-2
18 Jul 2026H KFUM Oslo2-1
11 Jul 2026A Fredrikstad2-0
25 May 2026A Ham-Kam0-2

Rosenborg

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
02 Aug 2026A Brann2-3
27 Jul 2026H Fredrikstad4-0
18 Jul 2026A Start3-0
12 Jul 2026H Kristiansund BK3-0
29 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 64% · edge +15 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Rosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Rosenborg’s recent form shows a strong offensive output with 10 points and an average of 2.8 goals per game, maintaining a 100% Over 2.5 rate. Lillestrom’s 6 points and 60% Over 2.5 rate reflect a competitive but less prolific scoring trend. This contrast supports expectations for a match with multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Lillestrom wins
1Draws
4Rosenborg wins
10 May 2026Rosenborg v Lillestrom2-0
15 Sep 2024Lillestrom v Rosenborg1-1
21 Aug 2024Rosenborg v Lillestrom4-0
24 Sep 2023Lillestrom v Rosenborg3-0
09 Jul 2023Rosenborg v Lillestrom1-2
18 Sep 2022Rosenborg v Lillestrom3-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 63% · edge +9.4 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Rosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Lillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 3.2 goals, confirming a pattern of open games between Lillestrom and Rosenborg. This historical data supports the expectation of multiple goals, reflecting tactical openness and offensive strengths on both sides.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Lillestrom15
Played
Rosenborg15
Lillestrom1.5
Avg goals for
Rosenborg1.4
Lillestrom1.2
Avg goals against
Rosenborg1.4
Lillestrom5
Clean sheets
Rosenborg5
Best odds for this sectionRosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Rosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Lillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season-long data highlights Rosenborg’s attacking control with high goal and shot metrics, while Lillestrom’s defense concedes nearly two goals per game, creating opportunities for a high-scoring game. Both teams’ Over 2.5 rates reinforce the likelihood of surpassing this threshold.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Lillestrom25158164
11Rosenborg18155370
Lillestrom’s fourth-place position and Rosenborg’s tenth place add competitive stakes to the fixture, with both sides motivated to secure points. While standings do not directly dictate goals, the desire to climb the table may encourage open, attacking play.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Lillestrom Over 2.5
100%Rosenborg Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, indicating a historical trend toward open, goal-filled encounters. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams’ attacking tendencies in recent matches.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.