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St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.
v
Derry City crestDerry City

Premier Division | Sun 02 Aug, 17:00

St Patrick's Athl. v Derry City Stats

Data last updated: Sat 01 Aug 2026, 06:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

St Patrick's Athl. and Derry City meet in a Premier Division clash where both sides show contrasting attacking and defensive tendencies. ranks second with a solid defensive record, while Derry City sits sixth, known for a more open style and higher goal involvement. The match promises territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, with both teams eager to assert control and secure vital points in a competitive league phase. Tactical approaches suggest sustained pressure and wing play, setting the stage for numerous corner situations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • St Patrick's Athl. averages 6.5 corners per match, Derry City 4.75, combining for over 11 on average.
  • Recent form shows St Patrick's Athl. with 8 points and Derry City 7 points, indicating competitive intensity.
  • Derry City concedes more goals (1.6 per game) and plays a more open style, increasing corner potential.
  • Player data highlights attacking threats like A. Mata who generate frequent shots and pressure.
  • for Over 8.5 Corners is strong at 75%, reflecting the expected match tempo and pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 75% chance for Over 8.5 Corners based on both teams' attacking styles and corner averages. St Patrick's Athl. generates significant wing pressure leading to corners, while Derry City's openness and defensive vulnerabilities increase set-piece opportunities. Player-level data shows key attackers like A. Mata actively creating shooting chances, often resulting in corners. The match tempo and tactical emphasis on wide play support a high corner count. No data limitations or price warnings affect this selection, making it a solid standard stake choice.

St Patrick's Athl. average corners6.5 per game
Strong positive
Derry City average corners4.75 per game
Positive
Model corner chance75%
Strong positive
Player attacking pressureHigh from key attackers
Positive
Recent form corner trendsConsistent pressure from both sides
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic match with St Patrick's Athl. pushing wide and Derry City responding with quick transitions, creating multiple corner situations. The statistical corner averages and attacking tendencies of both teams strongly suggest the Over 8.5 Corners market is well supported by form and style.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count is likely to be high given St Patrick's Athl.'s wing control and Derry City's open defensive approach, which often leads to set-piece chances. This match should see sustained pressure and frequent corner deliveries.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

St Patrick's Athl. Averages 6.5 corners per match, Derry City 4.75, combining for over 11 on average.

Recent form shows St Patrick's Athl. With 8 points and Derry City 7 points, indicating competitive intensity.

Derry City concedes more goals (1.6 per game) and plays a more open style, increasing corner potential.

Player data highlights attacking threats like A. Mata who generate frequent shots and pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Analysis of the last ten meetings shows an average of 1.7 goals per game, suggesting moderate scoring tempo.
  • While this is a goals trend panel, it implies open phases and transitional play that often generate corners.
  • The tempo and attacking intent from both sides in recent matches support a higher corner count scenario for this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

St Patrick's Athl.6.5
Avg corners for
Derry City4.75
St Patrick's Athl.10.75
Avg total corners
Derry City10.75
St Patrick's Athl.1.25
Avg yellow cards
Derry City2.5
St Patrick's Athl.19
Avg shots
Derry City14
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams exhibit moderate fouling rates and card counts, with Derry City averaging 2.5 yellows per game and St Patrick's Athl. The corner averages (6.5 and 4.75) combined with shot volumes (19 and 14) reflect sustained attacking pressure and territorial battles, increasing corner likelihood through repeated wide attacks and defensive clearances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St Patrick's Athl.1.4
Avg goals scored
Derry City2
St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Avg goals conceded
Derry City1.6
St Patrick's Athl.40%
BTTS rate
Derry City80%
St Patrick's Athl.20%
Over 2.5 goals
Derry City60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Goal scoring trends show Derry City averaging 2 goals per game and St Patrick's Athl. 1.4, with BTTS rates of 80% and 40% respectively. This mix suggests open play from Derry City and more cautious defense from St Patrick's Athl., contributing to varied attacking phases that often generate corners through transitions and set-piece situations.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Derry City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Derry City to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced with a strong 75% , indicating a favorable probability for bettors. The absence of price warnings suggests this is a standard stake opportunity rather than a value or price-sensitive play, reflecting in the corner volume based on team styles and recent data.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St Patrick's Athl.

DDWLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
24 Jul 2026H Dundalk1-1
10 Jul 2026A Waterford1-1
03 Jul 2026H Galway United3-0
26 Jun 2026A Bohemians0-2
19 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers2-0

Derry City

LWDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
03 Jul 2026H Waterford2-4
26 Jun 2026H Drogheda United2-0
22 Jun 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-1
19 Jun 2026A Galway United1-2
12 Jun 2026H Bohemians4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Derry City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Derry City to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Recent form data indicates both teams are competitive, with St Patrick's Athl. earning 8 points and Derry City 7 in their last matches. The corner rates align with this form, showing consistent pressure and attacking intent that supports the Over 8.5 Corners market as both sides seek to leverage set-piece opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2St Patrick's Athl. wins
3Draws
5Derry City wins
22 May 2026Derry City v St Patrick's Athl.0-0
16 Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Derry City0-0
29 Aug 2025Derry City v St Patrick's Athl.2-2
23 Jun 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Derry City0-1
05 May 2025Derry City v St Patrick's Athl.1-0
03 Mar 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Derry City2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Derry City to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 1.7 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While goal numbers are not high, the matches often feature tactical battles with set-piece opportunities. This background supports the likelihood of multiple corners as both teams engage in territorial and attacking duels.
Season team stats

Premier Division

St Patrick's Athl.26
Played
Derry City26
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Avg goals for
Derry City1.3
St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Avg goals against
Derry City1.2
St Patrick's Athl.9
Clean sheets
Derry City6
Best odds for this sectionDerry City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Derry City to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Season-long corner statistics reveal St Patrick's Athl. averaging 6.5 corners per game and Derry City 4.75, reflecting their attacking patterns and defensive vulnerabilities. These figures underpin the expectation of a high corner count, especially given the tactical emphasis on wing play and set-piece delivery in this league phase.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2St Patrick's Athl.4426128619
6Derry City302661281
St Patrick's Athl. sits second in the Premier Division, indicating strong overall performance and likely control in matches, which often leads to more attacking pressure and corners. Derry City, placed sixth, tends to play more openly, which can increase corner opportunities through defensive transitions and counterattacks.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
60%Derry City Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
Analysis of the last ten meetings shows an average of 1.7 goals per game, suggesting moderate scoring tempo. While this is a goals trend panel, it implies open phases and transitional play that often generate corners. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides in recent matches support a higher corner count scenario for this fixture.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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