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ST Mirrenv
KilmarnockPremiership | Sat 09 May, 15:00
ST Mirren v Kilmarnock Stats
BT4Y best bet
Kilmarnock to Win
- At 3.7, Kilmarnock to Win is priced at roughly 27% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 49%, so the current line is showing a +21.7-point value edge.
- ST Mirren have a recent record of 2W-0D-3L, while Kilmarnock come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Kilmarnock to Win angle: ST Mirren have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Kilmarnock to Win angle: Kilmarnock have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 3.7, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 49% vs implied 27% · edge +21.7 pts
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%ST Mirren Over 2.5
60%Kilmarnock Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
ST Mirren
LLLWW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 1D 7L
02 May 2026A Dundee0-1
25 Apr 2026H Livingston0-2
11 Apr 2026A Celtic0-1
04 Apr 2026H Aberdeen2-0
21 Mar 2026A Falkirk2-1
Kilmarnock
WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 2D 4L
02 May 2026H Dundee Utd3-0
25 Apr 2026A Aberdeen0-1
11 Apr 2026H Dundee2-2
04 Apr 2026A Hibernian0-3
21 Mar 2026H Livingston2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 49% vs implied 27% · edge +21.7 pts
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
ST Mirren0.8
Avg goals scoredKilmarnock1.4
ST Mirren1
Avg goals concededKilmarnock1.2
ST Mirren20%
BTTS rateKilmarnock20%
ST Mirren20%
Over 2.5 goalsKilmarnock60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +8.5 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
1ST Mirren wins
3Draws
6Kilmarnock wins
11 Feb 2026Kilmarnock v ST Mirren4-3
27 Dec 2025ST Mirren v Kilmarnock0-0
04 Oct 2025Kilmarnock v ST Mirren2-0
19 Sep 2025Kilmarnock v ST Mirren2-2
29 Mar 2025ST Mirren v Kilmarnock5-1
02 Jan 2025Kilmarnock v ST Mirren2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 49% vs implied 27% · edge +21.7 pts
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
ST Mirren6.6
Avg corners forKilmarnock5
ST Mirren12
Avg total cornersKilmarnock9.6
ST Mirren1.8
Avg yellow cardsKilmarnock2.2
ST Mirren11
Avg shotsKilmarnock12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.9 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Best player angleT. John-Jules Anytime GoalscorerT. John-Jules · 8 goals · 1.56 SOT/90
83/100
Bet HERELoad more player angles
T. John-JulesKilmarnock · Attacker
Goal threat84/100
Shots /902.5
SOT /901.56
J. AyungaST Mirren · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /900.98
J. HugillKilmarnock · Attacker
Goal threat48/100
Shots /901.51
SOT /900.87
M. WatkinsKilmarnock · Attacker
Goal threat34/100
Shots /901.11
SOT /901.11
Findlay CurtisKilmarnock · Midfielder
Goal threat47/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /900.89
D. DanielsKilmarnock · Attacker
Goal threat44/100
Shots /901.92
SOT /900.82
K. MagennisKilmarnock · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
J. ThomsonKilmarnock · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900.22
SOT /900
Season team stats
Premiership
ST Mirren35
PlayedKilmarnock35
ST Mirren0.8
Avg goals forKilmarnock1.1
ST Mirren1.5
Avg goals againstKilmarnock1.9
ST Mirren8
Clean sheetsKilmarnock8
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 49% vs implied 27% · edge +21.7 pts
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ST Mirren | 30 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -21 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 28 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -28 |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 31 | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -26 |
| 5 | ST Mirren | 30 | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -24 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
