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Salford City crestSalford City
v
Gillingham crestGillingham

League Two | Sat 28 Nov, 15:00

Salford City v Gillingham Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 02:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Salford City face Gillingham in League Two on Sat 28 Nov, 15:00. Salford City are in formidable home form, winning their last five matches at The Peninsula Stadium. Can Salford City maintain their imperious home form against a Gillingham side struggling on the road?

BT4Y best bet

Salford City Win

  • At 1/2, Salford City Win implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • While Salford are strong, their defensive absences and vulnerability to set pieces suggest Gillingham can find the net.
  • Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Gillingham.
  • Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Salford City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Salford City sit 1 in the table, while Gillingham sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Salford City Win sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Gillingham. While Salford are strong, their defensive absences and vulnerability to set pieces suggest Gillingham can find the net.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Positive
Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
While Salford are strong, their defensive absences and vulnerability.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Salford City Win is the preferred angle because while Salford are strong, their defensive absences and vulnerability to set pieces suggest Gillingham can find the net. Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Gillingham. The mood around the teams is different, but the tension is genuine.

Main risk

The mood around the teams is different, but the tension is genuine.

Key Data Signals

Salford City Win evidence

While Salford are strong, their defensive absences and vulnerability to set pieces suggest Gillingham can find the net.

Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Gillingham.

Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Salford City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Salford City sit 1 in the table, while Gillingham sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Salford City Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Salford City2
    Avg goals scored
    Gillingham1.6
    Salford City0.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Gillingham1.4
    Salford City40%
    BTTS rate
    Gillingham40%
    Salford City40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Gillingham80%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Salford City

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    17 Oct 2026H Crawley Town2-1
    10 Oct 2026A Cheltenham2-0
    03 Oct 2026H Fleetwood Town1-0
    26 Sep 2026A Oldham4-1
    19 Sep 2026H Swindon Town1-0

    Gillingham

    LWDLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    17 Oct 2026A Accrington ST1-3
    10 Oct 2026A Rotherham4-1
    03 Oct 2026H Newport County0-0
    26 Sep 2026A York0-3
    19 Sep 2026H Bristol Rovers3-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Salford City Over 2.5
    80%Gillingham Over 2.5
    2.25H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Salford City sit at 40% and Gillingham sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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