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Aberdeen crestAberdeen
v
Dundee crestDundee

Premiership | Sat 28 Nov, 15:00

Aberdeen v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 11:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aberdeen face Dundee in Premiership on Sat 28 Nov, 15:00. Dundee United's early-season struggles threatened to leave them playing catch-up in the Premiership after collecting just one victory from their opening six league fixtures. Despite Dundee United’s improved defence, Aberdeen’s attacking momentum and both teams’ scoring form support a match with over 2.5 goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 3/4, Over 2 implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 72%.
  • Aberdeen’s recent surge to eight goals in four matches and Dundee United’s earlier defensive frailty suggest a high-scoring game.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Aberdeen and 100% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Aberdeen at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Aberdeen and 100% for Dundee show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 72% for Over 2 sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Aberdeen and 100% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Aberdeen’s recent surge to eight goals in four matches and Dundee United’s earlier defensive frailty suggest a high-scoring game.

Model chance vs price72% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Aberdeen and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8.Visible data support
Positive
Aberdeen’s recent surge to eight goals in four matches.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because aberdeen’s recent surge to eight goals in four matches and Dundee United’s earlier defensive frailty suggest a high-scoring game. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Aberdeen and 100% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Aberdeen’s recent surge to eight goals in four matches and Dundee United’s earlier defensive frailty suggest a high-scoring.

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Aberdeen and 100% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Aberdeen at 1.

BTTS rates of 40% for Aberdeen and 100% for Dundee show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aberdeen1
Avg goals scored
Dundee1.8
Aberdeen2
Avg goals conceded
Dundee1.6
Aberdeen40%
BTTS rate
Dundee100%
Aberdeen60%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee100%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aberdeen

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
07 Nov 2026H Hibernian0-4
28 Oct 2026H Falkirk0-1
24 Oct 2026A Dundee Utd2-3
17 Oct 2026H ST Mirren3-1
11 Oct 2026H ST Johnstone0-1

Dundee

LWLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
07 Nov 2026A ST Johnstone1-2
28 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-1
24 Oct 2026A ST Mirren1-2
17 Oct 2026H Rangers2-2
10 Oct 2026A Falkirk2-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Aberdeen Over 2.5
100%Dundee Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aberdeen sit at 60% and Dundee sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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