Football Stats Hub

Sport Recife crestSport Recife
v
Botafogo SP crestBotafogo SP

Serie B | Sat 11 Jul, 00:00

Sport Recife v Botafogo SP Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 23:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sport Recife face Botafogo SP in Serie B on Sat 11 Jul, 00:00. Sport's recent home matches have finished under 2.5 goals in consecutive weeks, whilst Botafogo-SP have stayed under this line in seven straight matches away from home, managing a minimal away goal average of just 0.50 per fixture.

BT4Y best bet

A team means you secure a win if they triumph, while a final score draw returning your stake completely as a void selection

  • At 13/20, A team means you secure a win if they triumph, while a final score draw returning your stake completely as a void selection implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Total shot frequency numbers showcase the structural intent and capability to create final-third openings during competitive play.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Sport Recife and 40% for Botafogo SP, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Botafogo SP are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Sport Recife at 0.6.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Sport Recife and 40% for Botafogo SP show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for A team means you secure a win if they triumph, while a final score draw returning your stake completely as a void selection sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Sport Recife and 40% for Botafogo SP, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Total shot frequency numbers showcase the structural intent and capability to create final-third openings during competitive play.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Sport Recife.Visible data support
Positive
Botafogo SP are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Total shot frequency numbers showcase the structural intent.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because the Under 2.5 goals market requires the total goals scored during regular time to be two or fewer. Botafogo SP are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Sport Recife at 0.6. Sport, however, have the stronger underlying profile in several areas.

Main risk

Sport, however, have the stronger underlying profile in several areas.

Key Data Signals

A team means you secure a win if they triumph, while a final score draw returning your stake completely as a void selection evidence

The Under that scoring level market requires the total goals scored during regular time to be two or fewer.

Botafogo SP are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Sport Recife at 0.6.

BTTS rates of 60% for Sport Recife and 40% for Botafogo SP show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

A team means you secure a win if they triumph, while a final score draw returning your stake completely as a void selection notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sport Recife0.6
Avg goals scored
Botafogo SP1.2
Sport Recife1
Avg goals conceded
Botafogo SP0.8
Sport Recife60%
BTTS rate
Botafogo SP40%
Sport Recife20%
Over 2.5 goals
Botafogo SP40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 61% · edge +4.8 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 20% for Sport Recife and 40% for Botafogo SP, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sport Recife

LLDDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
04 Jul 2026A Criciuma0-1
28 Jun 2026A Fortaleza EC1-2
19 Jun 2026H Atletico Goianiense1-1
14 Jun 2026A São Bernardo0-0
11 Jun 2026H Athletic Club1-1

Botafogo SP

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
06 Jul 2026H Avai3-1
01 Jul 2026H CRB0-1
20 Jun 2026A Ceara1-0
14 Jun 2026H Operario-PR2-1
09 Jun 2026A Vila Nova0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Botafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Sport Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Sport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Sport Recife292061136
15Botafogo SP24206683
Sport Recife sit in position 10, while Botafogo SP sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the A team means you secure a win if they triumph, while a final score draw returning your stake completely as a void selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Botafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Sport Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Sport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sport Recife6.75
Avg corners for
Botafogo SP7
Sport Recife9.5
Avg total corners
Botafogo SP12
Sport Recife2.5
Avg yellow cards
Botafogo SP2.25
Sport Recife15.75
Avg shots
Botafogo SP12.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Sport Recife wins
2Draws
0Botafogo SP wins
21 Oct 2024Sport Recife v Botafogo SP3-1
29 Jun 2024Botafogo SP v Sport Recife1-1
03 Sep 2023Botafogo SP v Sport Recife1-1
20 May 2023Sport Recife v Botafogo SP3-0
14 Nov 2019Botafogo SP v Sport Recife0-2
17 Aug 2019Sport Recife v Botafogo SP3-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Sport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie B

Sport Recife20
Played
Botafogo SP20
Sport Recife1.3
Avg goals for
Botafogo SP1.2
Sport Recife1
Avg goals against
Botafogo SP1.1
Sport Recife7
Clean sheets
Botafogo SP4
Best odds for this sectionBotafogo SP Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Botafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Sport Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Sport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Season data supports Botafogo SP Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Sport Recife Over 2.5
40%Botafogo SP Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sport Recife sit at 20% and Botafogo SP sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.