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Solihull Moors crestSolihull Moors
v
Boreham Wood crestBoreham Wood

National League | Sat 26 Sep, 15:00

Solihull Moors v Boreham Wood Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This National League fixture features Solihull Moors hosting Boreham Wood, who currently top the table with a strong points tally. Solihull Moors have struggled for form and goals this season, sitting near the relegation zone with only four points. Boreham Wood have been prolific offensively and solid defensively, but Solihull Moors will be motivated to defend their home turf and avoid defeat. The match presents a tactical contrast between Boreham Wood's attacking prowess and Solihull Moors' need to stabilize results, making the outcome uncertain and competitive.

BT4Y best bet

Solihull Moors Draw No Bet

  • Solihull Moors have earned 4 points this season, showing limited recent success.
  • Boreham Wood lead the league with 23 points and a strong goal difference.
  • Solihull Moors have an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Boreham Wood have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open, high-scoring matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Solihull Moors Draw No Bet at of 3.00, reflecting a 45% chance of avoiding defeat, which is notably higher than the implied 33.3% chance from the . This of nearly 12% indicates the market underestimates Solihull Moors' resilience at home despite their low league position. The team's high BTTS rate and Boreham Wood's attacking strength suggest a competitive match where Solihull Moors can at least secure a draw. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance45%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance33.3%
Strong positive
Value Edge11.7%
Strong positive
Confidence Level58
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Solihull Moors Draw No Bet is a solid tactical choice given Solihull's home resilience and Boreham Wood's attacking style. The data shows Solihull Moors can avoid defeat in a match likely to feature goals, making this a balanced pick combining form and matchup insights.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and value

“Solihull Moors' ability to keep matches competitive at home against a top-scoring Boreham Wood side makes the Draw No Bet option a compelling selection with clear value.”

Key Data Signals

Solihull Moors Draw No Bet evidence

Solihull Moors have earned 4 points this season, showing limited recent success.

Boreham Wood lead the league with 23 points and a strong goal difference.

Solihull Moors have an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Boreham Wood have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open, high-scoring matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Solihull Moors Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters.
  • Both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rates support this trend, suggesting a fast-paced match with multiple scoring opportunities and a high likelihood of goals from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Solihull Moors1
Avg goals scored
Boreham Wood2.4
Solihull Moors2
Avg goals conceded
Boreham Wood1.2
Solihull Moors80%
BTTS rate
Boreham Wood100%
Solihull Moors60%
Over 2.5 goals
Boreham Wood80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams show strong tendencies for goals with Solihull Moors having an 80% BTTS rate and Boreham Wood an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate. This indicates a match likely to feature multiple goals and both sides scoring, driven by Boreham Wood's attacking strength and Solihull Moors' defensive vulnerabilities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSolihull Moors Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Solihull Moors to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The Solihull Moors Draw No Bet market is priced attractively at 3.00, offering a significant over the model's 45% chance estimate. This suggests the market underestimates Solihull Moors' ability to avoid defeat, likely due to their low league standing. The reflect a cautious market stance, making this a positive value bet with standard staking recommended.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Solihull Moors

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 7L
18 Sep 2026A Yeovil Town1-4
15 Sep 2026H Barrow1-0
12 Sep 2026H Aldershot Town1-2
05 Sep 2026A Gateshead1-1
31 Aug 2026H AFC Fylde1-3

Boreham Wood

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 0L
19 Sep 2026H Harrogate Town4-1
16 Sep 2026A Scunthorpe2-1
12 Sep 2026A Eastleigh1-1
05 Sep 2026H Carlisle2-1
31 Aug 2026A Worthing3-2
Market aligned with main pickSolihull Moors Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Solihull Moors to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form heavily favors Boreham Wood, who have accumulated 13 points compared to Solihull Moors' 4. Boreham Wood's superior goal scoring and defensive record underline their control, but Solihull Moors' home matches have shown resilience, making the Draw No Bet a cautious approach to their current form disparity.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Solihull Moors wins
2Draws
1Boreham Wood wins
06 Apr 2026Solihull Moors v Boreham Wood4-1
30 Dec 2025Boreham Wood v Solihull Moors2-1
12 Mar 2024Solihull Moors v Boreham Wood2-0
16 Aug 2023Boreham Wood v Solihull Moors1-2
18 Mar 2023Solihull Moors v Boreham Wood2-0
14 Feb 2023Boreham Wood v Solihull Moors1-1
Market aligned with main pickSolihull Moors to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.9 goals per game, indicating historically open contests. While past results provide context, current form and tactical setups are more influential here, with the H2H data offering moderate support for a competitive, goal-involved fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

National League

Solihull Moors9
Played
Boreham Wood9
Solihull Moors1
Avg goals for
Boreham Wood2.6
Solihull Moors2.6
Avg goals against
Boreham Wood1.2
Solihull Moors1
Clean sheets
Boreham Wood1
Market aligned with main pickSolihull Moors Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Solihull Moors to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season-long stats reveal Solihull Moors struggle offensively with just 1 goal per game and concede 2, while Boreham Wood average 2.4 goals scored and concede only 1.2. This contrast highlights Solihull Moors' defensive challenges and Boreham Wood's attacking efficiency, supporting a bet that protects against a Solihull loss.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Boreham Wood23972012
23Solihull Moors49117-14
The league table shows a stark contrast with Boreham Wood leading and Solihull Moors near the bottom. While standings reflect overall season performance, the home advantage and tactical adjustments could mitigate this gap, making the Draw No Bet market a sensible choice to balance league position with match-day variables.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Solihull Moors Over 2.5
80%Boreham Wood Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters. Both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rates support this trend, suggesting a fast-paced match with multiple scoring opportunities and a high likelihood of goals from both sides.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.