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SK Beveren crestSK Beveren
v
St. Truiden crestSt. Truiden

Jupiler Pro League | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

SK Beveren v St. Truiden Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SK Beveren hosts St. Truiden in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. SK Beveren has scored just once in recent matches but concedes frequently, while St. Truiden averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, indicating open play. Both sides have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter with tactical openness and offensive pressure expected from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
  • Truiden averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
  • SK Beveren concedes 2 goals per match on average, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 77.1% chance, well above the implied 62.5% from current , indicating strong value. Both teams display attacking tendencies with high shot volumes, especially St. Truiden's 18.6 shots per game and SK Beveren's defensive concessions. The 3.2 average goals in their last 10 meetings and mutual 80% Over 2.5 match rate reinforce the likelihood of a goal-laden game. No data limitations or price warnings reduce , supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance77.1%
Strong positive
Implied Chance62.5%
Positive
Over 2.5 Rate Both Teams80% each
Strong positive
Average Goals in H2H3.2 goals
Positive
Shots per Game (St. Truiden)18.6 shots
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with both sides pushing forward, especially St. Truiden who have a potent attack averaging over two goals per game. SK Beveren's defensive struggles and the high-scoring history between these teams suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible call. The data supports a game where offensive chances and goals are likely to feature prominently.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match openness

“This fixture offers a strong chance for multiple goals given St. Truiden's attacking firepower and SK Beveren's defensive vulnerabilities. The consistent high Over 2.5 rates and shot volumes underline the potential for an open, goal-filled contest.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Truiden averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

SK Beveren concedes 2 goals per match on average, indicating defensive frailty.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.2 goals, a clear indicator of open and attacking encounters.
  • Both sides' 80% Over 2.5 Goals rates in recent matches reinforce this trend, suggesting a continuation of goal-rich games driven by offensive tempo and defensive gaps.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

SK Beveren5.2
Avg corners for
St. Truiden5
SK Beveren10.4
Avg total corners
St. Truiden9.8
SK Beveren2
Avg yellow cards
St. Truiden2.2
SK Beveren11.6
Avg shots
St. Truiden18.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Shot data reveals St. Truiden averages 18.6 shots with 5.4 on target per game, while SK Beveren produces 11.6 shots and 3.6 on target, indicating sustained attacking pressure from both sides. Corner averages are balanced around five per team, suggesting active wide play and set-piece opportunities. Discipline is moderate with around two yellow cards each, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SK Beveren1
Avg goals scored
St. Truiden2.4
SK Beveren2
Avg goals conceded
St. Truiden1.6
SK Beveren20%
BTTS rate
St. Truiden60%
SK Beveren80%
Over 2.5 goals
St. Truiden80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 63% · edge +14.6 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Both teams show strong tendencies for high-scoring matches, with SK Beveren and St. Truiden each hitting Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of their games. Truiden's 2.4 goals per game and SK Beveren's defensive concessions create fertile ground for multiple goals. The 3.2 average goals in their last 10 meetings further confirm the expectation of a goal-rich encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 63% · edge +14.6 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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St. Truiden to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
St. Truiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
SK Beveren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
SK Beveren to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a 1.6 reflecting a 62.5% implied chance, while the model estimates a 77.1% probability. This positive of 14.6% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the bet a strong candidate for standard staking without price caution.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SK Beveren

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 3L
06 Sep 2026H OH Leuven3-0
28 Aug 2026A Genk0-4
22 Aug 2026A Zulte Waregem0-4
16 Aug 2026H Anderlecht1-0
09 Aug 2026A Antwerp1-2

St. Truiden

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
05 Sep 2026H RAAL La Louvière4-0
02 Sep 2026H Union St. Gilloise0-3
30 Aug 2026A Antwerp4-1
14 Aug 2026A Cercle Brugge3-3
08 Aug 2026H Lommel United1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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St. Truiden to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
St. Truiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
SK Beveren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
SK Beveren to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data shows SK Beveren with 6 points and only 1 goal scored in recent matches, contrasting with St. Truiden's 8 points and 2.4 goals scored. Both teams maintain an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, highlighting consistent goal-scoring trends. SK Beveren concedes 2 goals per game, reinforcing defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to more goals in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3SK Beveren wins
3Draws
4St. Truiden wins
06 Apr 2021SK Beveren v St. Truiden2-4
28 Nov 2020St. Truiden v SK Beveren1-1
30 Jul 2020St. Truiden v SK Beveren4-1
26 Dec 2019SK Beveren v St. Truiden1-0
14 Sep 2019St. Truiden v SK Beveren1-1
09 Feb 2019St. Truiden v SK Beveren2-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 63% · edge +14.6 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
St. Truiden to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
SK Beveren to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The 10 previous meetings between SK Beveren and St. Truiden have produced an average of 3.2 goals per game, demonstrating a historical pattern of high-scoring affairs. This sample supports the Over 2.5 Goals pick, as past encounters have consistently featured multiple goals, making it a relevant factor for this fixture.
Season team stats

Jupiler Pro League

SK Beveren5
Played
St. Truiden5
SK Beveren1
Avg goals for
St. Truiden2.4
SK Beveren2
Avg goals against
St. Truiden1.6
SK Beveren2
Clean sheets
St. Truiden1
Best odds for this sectionSt. Truiden to WinBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
St. Truiden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
SK Beveren Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
SK Beveren to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Season-long statistics underline a strong attacking profile for St. Truiden, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while SK Beveren's defense concedes 2 goals per match. Both teams' high Over 2.5 Goals rates (80%) reflect open play and defensive lapses, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8St. Truiden852214
12SK Beveren65203-5
SK Beveren sits 12th with 6 points, while St. Truiden is 8th with 8 points, indicating a slight edge in form and league position for St. Although the standings provide background context, the primary focus remains on attacking and defensive trends that suggest a high-scoring game rather than table pressure influencing tactics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%SK Beveren Over 2.5
80%St. Truiden Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.2 goals, a clear indicator of open and attacking encounters. Both sides' 80% Over 2.5 Goals rates in recent matches reinforce this trend, suggesting a continuation of goal-rich games driven by offensive tempo and defensive gaps.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.