Football Stats Hub

Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Shelbourne crestShelbourne

Premier Division | Fri 21 Aug, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier Division clash at Tolka Park features Shelbourne hosting Shamrock Rovers in a high-stakes derby atmosphere. Shelbourne have drawn four of their last six league matches, showing resilience but also a struggle to convert control into wins. They average 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game, reflecting a balanced but fragile defensive setup, especially vulnerable to set-piece situations. Shamrock Rovers arrive as league leaders with a strong 62.1% possession average over their last 10 games, relying on midfield control and creative outlets like Graham Burke. Despite recent away inconsistencies, Rovers' attacking quality and Shelbourne's defensive lapses set the stage for a competitive match where both teams are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Shelbourne scored in 5 of their last 6 home games, averaging 1.4 goals per match.
  • Shamrock Rovers average 1.5 goals per game with strong central attacking play led by Graham Burke.
  • Shelbourne have conceded 9 league goals from set pieces, a notable defensive weakness.
  • Rovers maintain 62.1% possession over their last 10 league matches, controlling tempo and territory.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Both teams have demonstrated consistent attacking output and vulnerabilities that make a clean sheet unlikely. Shelbourne's home scoring record combined with their set-piece defensive issues aligns with Shamrock Rovers' efficient attack and possession control. The model assigns a 76% chance to both teams scoring, significantly above the market's implied 53.5%, indicating strong value. This pick reflects the tactical battle between Shelbourne's offensive volume and Rovers' ability to exploit defensive lapses, supported by recent form and player contributions. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Shelbourne home scoring consistency5 of last 6 games scored
Strong positive
Shamrock Rovers possession control62.1% average possession
Strong positive
Shelbourne set-piece defensive weakness9 goals conceded from set pieces
Positive
Model chance vs market implied chance76% vs 53.5%
Strong positive
Main risk

That symmetry looks neat on paper, but on the pitch it is maddening.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The interplay of Shelbourne's home attacking intent and Shamrock Rovers' possession-led offense creates a scenario where both sides are likely to breach each other's defenses, especially given Shelbourne's set-piece fragility.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Shelbourne scored in 5 of their last 6 home games, averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Shamrock Rovers average 1.5 goals per game with strong central attacking play led by Graham Burke.

Shelbourne have conceded 9 league goals from set pieces, a notable defensive weakness.

Rovers maintain 62.1% possession over their last 10 league matches, controlling tempo and territory.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams have contributed to this scoring rate, suggesting an open tempo and attacking opportunities.
  • Recent matches have shown both sides capable of scoring, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and reinforcing the BTTS selection as a reflection of the fixture's attacking tendencies.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shamrock Rovers1.8
Avg goals scored
Shelbourne1
Shamrock Rovers1
Avg goals conceded
Shelbourne1.8
Shamrock Rovers80%
BTTS rate
Shelbourne60%
Shamrock Rovers60%
Over 2.5 goals
Shelbourne80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have consistently scored in recent matches, with Shelbourne netting in 5 of 6 home games and Shamrock Rovers maintaining a 1.5 goals per game average. Shelbourne's 1.4 goals conceded per game and Rovers' attacking efficiency suggest a match where both sides find the net. The tactical emphasis on possession and set-piece exploitation supports the likelihood of goals at both ends.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Shamrock Rovers v Shelbournecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.87 (20/23), implying a 53.5% chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. This discrepancy arises from the tactical setup where both sides have shown scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, particularly Shelbourne's set-piece issues. The price is attractive given the football context and recent form, making this a value-positive market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shamrock Rovers3.6
Avg corners for
Shelbourne6
Shamrock Rovers7.2
Avg total corners
Shelbourne10.6
Shamrock Rovers2
Avg yellow cards
Shelbourne3.2
Shamrock Rovers14.2
Avg shots
Shelbourne12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 56% · edge +0.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Shelbourne average 6 corners per game, indicating sustained pressure and attacking intent at home, while Shamrock Rovers average 3.6 corners, reflecting their possession-based approach. Yellow card averages (Shelbourne 3.2, Rovers 2) suggest a moderately physical contest. Shot data shows Rovers with 14.2 attempts and 6 on target per game, and Shelbourne with 12.6 attempts and 3 on target, supporting an open game with multiple attacking opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shamrock Rovers

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
07 Aug 2026H Dundalk3-2
31 Jul 2026A Drogheda United0-0
03 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-1
26 Jun 2026H Galway United3-1
22 Jun 2026H Derry City1-1

Shelbourne

LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
09 Aug 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-2
02 Aug 2026A Waterford0-1
03 Jul 2026H Dundalk2-1
27 Jun 2026A Sligo Rovers2-2
22 Jun 2026H Bohemians0-3
Best odds for this sectionShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form data shows Shamrock Rovers with 11 points from their last matches, scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 1 per game, with an 80% BTTS rate. Shelbourne have 4 points, scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.8 per game, with a 60% BTTS rate. These figures reflect Rovers' stronger offensive output and Shelbourne's defensive fragility, reinforcing the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Shamrock Rovers wins
4Draws
3Shelbourne wins
12 Jun 2026Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers2-1
06 Apr 2026Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne3-2
09 Mar 2026Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers2-2
10 Oct 2025Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne0-1
13 Jun 2025Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers1-2
25 Apr 2025Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne2-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head record includes 10 matches with an average of 2.6 goals per game, showing a history of open contests with goals from both sides. Previous meetings this season featured a 2-2 draw and a 3-2 Shamrock Rovers win, indicating both teams have found ways to score against each other. This historical data moderately supports the Both Teams to Score pick, highlighting a pattern of mutual offensive success.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers27
Played
Shelbourne26
Shamrock Rovers1.6
Avg goals for
Shelbourne1.4
Shamrock Rovers0.9
Avg goals against
Shelbourne1.5
Shamrock Rovers10
Clean sheets
Shelbourne5
Best odds for this sectionShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over the season, Shamrock Rovers average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, highlighting a strong defense and efficient attack. Shelbourne average 1.4 goals scored and conceded, indicating balanced but vulnerable defensive performance. The season-long data supports a scenario where both teams can score, especially given Shelbourne's susceptibility to set-piece goals and Rovers' possession control.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Shamrock Rovers5427166519
5Shelbourne34268108-2
Shamrock Rovers lead the Premier Division with 54 points, reflecting consistent performance and title contention. Shelbourne sit fifth with 34 points, competitive but with a tendency for draws. The standings underline Rovers' quality and Shelbourne's resilience, setting up a contest where both teams have motivation to attack and score, consistent with the Both Teams to Score market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
80%Shelbourne Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams have contributed to this scoring rate, suggesting an open tempo and attacking opportunities. Recent matches have shown both sides capable of scoring, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and reinforcing the BTTS selection as a reflection of the fixture's attacking tendencies.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Dundalk v Galway UnitedPremier Division · Fri 21 Aug 19:45Bohemians v Derry CityPremier Division · Fri 21 Aug 19:45Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division · Fri 21 Aug 19:45Sligo Rovers v WaterfordPremier Division · Fri 21 Aug 20:00

Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Shamrock Rovers v Shelbournecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre