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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
v
St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division | Fri 21 Aug, 19:45

Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl. Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Drogheda United face St Patrick's Athl. in a Premier Division clash where both sides have shown contrasting attacking and defensive tendencies. Drogheda United have struggled offensively, averaging under one goal per game, while St Patrick's Athl. boast a more potent attack and sit comfortably in second place. The match is likely to feature territorial battles and set-piece opportunities given Drogheda's defensive vulnerabilities and St Patrick's Athl.'s attacking pressure. Both teams have a moderate rate of over 2.5 goals games, suggesting a balanced but open contest under Friday night lights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong corner volume
  • Drogheda United average 4 corners per game; St Patrick's Athl. average 5, combining for 9 on average
  • St Patrick's Athl. generate higher shot volume, increasing corner likelihood from attacking pressure
  • Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals games, supporting attacking intent
  • Player data shows multiple attackers with high shot and key pass rates, implying sustained offensive phases

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability, reflecting both teams' attacking styles and defensive setups. Drogheda United's tendency to concede pressure and St Patrick's Athl.'s higher shot and key pass rates contribute to frequent corner situations. The combined average of 9 corners per game and the match tempo suggest sustained wide play and set-piece chances. No price warnings apply, making this a solid value bet with standard staking recommended.

Model Probability69%
Strong positive
Combined Average Corners9 per game
Positive
Shot Volume and PressureHigh for St Patrick's Athl.
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate40% both teams
Neutral
Price vs ModelPositive value edge of 7.3%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained attacking phases and territorial battles leading to numerous corner kicks. St Patrick's Athl.'s offensive threat combined with Drogheda United's defensive approach suggests a high likelihood of crossing and set-piece situations, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners selection.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture's corner count is driven by St Patrick's Athl.'s aggressive wing play and Drogheda United's defensive resilience being tested repeatedly, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong corner volume

Drogheda United average 4 corners per game; St Patrick's Athl. Average 5, combining for 9 on average

St Patrick's Athl. Generate higher shot volume, increasing corner likelihood from attacking pressure

Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals games, supporting attacking intent

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating moderately open games.
  • Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting a tempo that supports attacking phases and set-piece situations, which can lead to a higher corner count in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Drogheda United5
Avg corners for
St Patrick's Athl.5.6
Drogheda United10.8
Avg total corners
St Patrick's Athl.10.6
Drogheda United1.8
Avg yellow cards
St Patrick's Athl.2.4
Drogheda United12.8
Avg shots
St Patrick's Athl.17.2
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Drogheda United average 4 corners and 1.75 yellow cards per game, while St Patrick's Athl. average 5 corners and 2.67 yellows. The higher fouling rate and shot volume from St Patrick's Athl. create sustained pressure and frequent wide attacks, generating corner opportunities and disciplinary actions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Drogheda United0.8
Avg goals scored
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Drogheda United1
Avg goals conceded
St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Drogheda United40%
BTTS rate
St Patrick's Athl.80%
Drogheda United40%
Over 2.5 goals
St Patrick's Athl.40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals matches, with St Patrick's Athl. showing a higher BTTS rate at 80%. This indicates open play and attacking intent, which often correlates with increased corner counts as teams push forward and defenses are stretched.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with a 1.62 reflecting a 61.7% implied chance, while the model estimates a 69% probability. This positive suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners, likely due to the attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Drogheda United

DDDWL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
07 Aug 2026A Galway United0-0
31 Jul 2026H Shamrock Rovers0-0
25 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-2
10 Jul 2026A Dundalk2-1
03 Jul 2026H Bohemians0-2

St Patrick's Athl.

WDDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
09 Aug 2026A Shelbourne2-1
02 Aug 2026H Derry City1-1
24 Jul 2026H Dundalk1-1
10 Jul 2026A Waterford1-1
03 Jul 2026H Galway United3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 88% · edge -3.7 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Load more odds for this section
Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form data shows both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals matches, reflecting moderate attacking output. The corner averages align with this tempo, as matches with more attacking intent typically produce more corners, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners bet in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Drogheda United wins
4Draws
6St Patrick's Athl. wins
12 Jun 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United2-0
17 Apr 2026Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.1-3
13 Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United4-1
22 Aug 2025Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.0-1
13 Jun 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United0-0
21 Apr 2025Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The ten previous meetings between Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. have averaged 1.8 goals per game, showing moderately open contests. While the sample size is limited, the historical data suggests balanced matches where attacking opportunities arise, indirectly supporting a higher corner count scenario.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Drogheda United27
Played
St Patrick's Athl.27
Drogheda United1.1
Avg goals for
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Drogheda United1.6
Avg goals against
St Patrick's Athl.0.9
Drogheda United8
Clean sheets
St Patrick's Athl.9
Best odds for this sectionDrogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Drogheda United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season-long stats reveal Drogheda United average 4 corners per game and St Patrick's Athl. 5, combining for a solid base near the 9.5 corner threshold. St Patrick's Athl.'s higher shot and key pass rates suggest they generate more attacking pressure, which often translates into more corners conceded by the opposition.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2St Patrick's Athl.4727138620
9Drogheda United282761011-12
St Patrick's Athl. sit second in the Premier Division, reflecting their strong attacking form and control in matches. Drogheda United's lower ranking and points tally suggest a defensive posture that may invite pressure, increasing corner opportunities as St Patrick's Athl. push to assert control.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Drogheda United Over 2.5
40%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating moderately open games. Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting a tempo that supports attacking phases and set-piece situations, which can lead to a higher corner count in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.