Football Stats Hub

Serbia crestSerbia
v
Netherlands crestNetherlands

UEFA Nations League | Sun 27 Sep, 17:00

Serbia v Netherlands Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Serbia hosts Netherlands in a UEFA Nations League clash where both sides have shown contrasting recent form and styles. Serbia has struggled to secure points but consistently participates in high-scoring matches, while Netherlands has been more solid defensively but maintains a potent attack. The tactical setup suggests an open game with Serbia pushing forward to break their winless streak and Netherlands aiming to capitalize on quick transitions. Both teams have key attacking players in form, setting the stage for a contest likely to see goals at both ends, though defensive lapses could influence the final outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Serbia has a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, scoring and conceding regularly.
  • Netherlands also shows a 100% BTTS rate, indicating both teams consistently find the net.
  • Serbia averages 9 shots per game with 4 on target, showing offensive intent.
  • Netherlands averages 22 shots with 10 on target, reflecting strong attacking pressure.
  • No previous head-to-head data, making form and style key indicators for BTTS.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by Serbia's and Netherlands' perfect recent BTTS rates. Serbia's offensive pressure combined with defensive vulnerabilities and Netherlands' high shot volume and goal threat underpin this . The at 1.8 offer positive value given the 55.6% implied chance, making BTTS a compelling selection. Both sides' attacking talents and tactical openness suggest goals at both ends are highly probable in this fixture.

Recent BTTS RateSerbia 100%, Netherlands 100%
Strong positive
Shot Volume and QualitySerbia 9 shots (4 on target), Netherlands 22 shots (10 on target) per game
Strong positive
Model Probability vs Implied Odds76% model chance vs 55.6% implied chance
Strong positive
No Head-to-Head DataNo prior meetings to contradict BTTS likelihood
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess attacking quality and have shown a consistent pattern of scoring and conceding in recent matches. Serbia's need to break their winless run and Netherlands' offensive firepower suggest an open game where both sides find the net. This BTTS pick aligns well with tactical dynamics and recent output, making it a logical choice for this Nations League fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The attacking roles of Serbia and Netherlands, combined with their recent scoring patterns, make both teams to score a natural expectation in this match. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further enhance the likelihood of goals at each end.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Serbia has a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, scoring and conceding regularly.

Netherlands also shows a 100% BTTS rate, indicating both teams consistently find the net.

Serbia averages 9 shots per game with 4 on target, showing offensive intent.

Netherlands averages 22 shots with 10 on target, reflecting strong attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Serbia has a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring encounters.
  • Netherlands' recent matches show a more balanced goal output but combined with Serbia's attacking style, this trend suggests a lively match with multiple goals, supporting the BTTS selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Serbia2
Avg corners for
Netherlands12
Serbia8
Avg total corners
Netherlands13
Serbia2
Avg yellow cards
Netherlands3
Serbia9
Avg shots
Netherlands22
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Netherlands dominates corner statistics with an average of 12 per game compared to Serbia's 2, reflecting territorial control and sustained pressure. Both teams have moderate yellow card averages, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match. Shot volumes favor Netherlands heavily, indicating their offensive control and likelihood to create scoring chances.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League hubfull betting preview for Serbia v Netherlandscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Serbia1
Avg goals scored
Netherlands1
Serbia2
Avg goals conceded
Netherlands1
Serbia100%
BTTS rate
Netherlands100%
Serbia100%
Over 2.5 goals
Netherlands0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both Serbia and Netherlands have maintained a 100% BTTS rate recently, with Serbia involved in high-scoring games and Netherlands showing strong attacking output. This fixture's goal profile is supported by Serbia's offensive pressure and Netherlands' high shot accuracy, indicating a match likely to feature goals from both teams.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Serbia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 39%
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Netherlands to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Netherlands Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Serbia to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.8, reflecting a positive with the model estimating a 76% chance against a 55.6% implied probability. This pricing suggests the market may be underestimating the likelihood of goals from both sides, making the selection a value bet rather than a price-sensitive watch.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Serbia

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
24 Sep 2026H Greece1-2

Netherlands

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
24 Sep 2026H Germany1-1
Best odds for this sectionSerbia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Netherlands to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Netherlands Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Serbia to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form data shows Serbia has yet to earn points but participates in matches with goals at both ends, while Netherlands has secured a point and also maintains a perfect BTTS record. Serbia's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Netherlands' more conservative recent scoring, highlighting a clash of styles that favors open play and mutual scoring.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Serbia wins
0Draws
0Netherlands wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Netherlands to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Serbia to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Serbia and Netherlands, removing historical bias and placing greater emphasis on current form and tactical approaches. This lack of direct data means recent performance and team styles are the primary guides for predicting both teams to score.
Season team stats

UEFA Nations League

Serbia1
Played
Netherlands1
Serbia1
Avg goals for
Netherlands1
Serbia2
Avg goals against
Netherlands1
Serbia0
Clean sheets
Netherlands0
Best odds for this sectionSerbia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Load more odds for this section
Netherlands to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Netherlands Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Serbia to WinBet365 guide price · model 16%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Season-long statistics reinforce the BTTS outlook, with Serbia scoring 1 and conceding 2 goals in recent matches, and Netherlands scoring and conceding 1 each. Both teams' offensive and defensive profiles suggest vulnerability at the back and capability going forward, supporting the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Netherlands110100
4Serbia01001-1
In the UEFA Nations League standings, Netherlands sits just above Serbia, with 1 point to Serbia's zero. While the table is early and tight, the pressure on Serbia to respond and the Netherlands' need to consolidate position add competitive tension that may encourage attacking play and goal-scoring opportunities from both teams.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Serbia Over 2.5
0%Netherlands Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Serbia has a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring encounters. Netherlands' recent matches show a more balanced goal output but combined with Serbia's attacking style, this trend suggests a lively match with multiple goals, supporting the BTTS selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Serbia v Netherlands prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Slovenia v ScotlandUEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sep 14:00Iceland v EstoniaUEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sep 17:00Faroe Islands v KazakhstanUEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sep 17:00Bulgaria v LuxembourgUEFA Nations League · Sat 26 Sep 17:00

Competition and hubs

UEFA Nations League hubUEFA Nations League hubfull betting preview for Serbia v Netherlandscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre