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Lille crestLille
v
Auxerre crestAuxerre

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Lille v Auxerre Stats

Data last updated: Wed 17 Jun 2026, 05:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lille face Auxerre in Ligue 1 on Sun 17 May, 20:00. Lille come in with 11 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Auxerre have 8 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.95, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Lille show a 20% BTTS rate and Auxerre show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Lille average 1.4 goals scored and Auxerre average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Lille show a 20% BTTS rate and Auxerre show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Positive
Lille show a 20% BTTS rate and Auxerre show a.Visible data support
Positive
Lille average 1.4 goals scored and Auxerre average 1.8, so.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Lille show a 20% BTTS rate and Auxerre show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Lille show a 20% BTTS rate and Auxerre show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Lille average 1.4 goals scored and Auxerre average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lille1.4
Avg goals scored
Auxerre1.8
Lille0.2
Avg goals conceded
Auxerre1.4
Lille20%
BTTS rate
Auxerre80%
Lille20%
Over 2.5 goals
Auxerre80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +8.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +8.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Auxerre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Auxerre to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Lille Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lille5.2
Avg corners for
Auxerre4.6
Lille10
Avg total corners
Auxerre9.8
Lille2.2
Avg yellow cards
Auxerre1.6
Lille12.6
Avg shots
Auxerre11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 54% · edge +4.6 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lille

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 3D 0L
10 May 2026A Monaco1-0
03 May 2026H Le Havre1-1
26 Apr 2026A Paris FC1-0
18 Apr 2026H Nice0-0
12 Apr 2026A Toulouse4-0

Auxerre

WWLDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
10 May 2026H Nice2-1
03 May 2026H Angers3-1
25 Apr 2026A Lyon2-3
19 Apr 2026A Monaco2-2
11 Apr 2026H Nantes0-0
Best odds for this sectionAuxerre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Auxerre to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Lille Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Lille to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Lille wins
4Draws
1Auxerre wins
14 Dec 2025Auxerre v Lille3-4
20 Apr 2025Lille v Auxerre3-1
10 Jan 2025Auxerre v Lille0-0
22 Apr 2023Auxerre v Lille1-1
07 Aug 2022Lille v Auxerre4-1
18 Dec 2021Lille v Auxerre3-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +8.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Auxerre to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Lille to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 1

Lille34
Played
Auxerre34
Lille1.5
Avg goals for
Auxerre1
Lille1.1
Avg goals against
Auxerre1.3
Lille13
Clean sheets
Auxerre9
Best odds for this sectionAuxerre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Auxerre to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
8
Check odds @ 8
Lille Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Lille to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season data supports Auxerre Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Lille6134187915
15Auxerre343481016-10
Lille sit in position 3, while Auxerre sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Lille Over 2.5
80%Auxerre Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lille sit at 20% and Auxerre sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Next step

Betting context

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