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SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07
v
VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga | Mon 25 May, 19:30

SC Paderborn 07 v VfL Wolfsburg Stats

Data last updated: Sun 21 Jun 2026, 12:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Paderborn 07 face VfL Wolfsburg in Bundesliga on Mon 25 May, 19:30. SC Paderborn 07 come in with 1 recent points and 0 goals per match, while VfL Wolfsburg have 6 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

VfL Wolfsburg to Win

  • At 2.15, VfL Wolfsburg Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • VfL Wolfsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for SC Paderborn 07.
  • SC Paderborn 07 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the VfL Wolfsburg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for VfL Wolfsburg Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. VfL Wolfsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for SC Paderborn 07.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Strong positive
VfL Wolfsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
SC Paderborn 07 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: VfL Wolfsburg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers VfL Wolfsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for SC Paderborn 07. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

VfL Wolfsburg Win evidence

VfL Wolfsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for SC Paderborn 07.

SC Paderborn 07 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the VfL Wolfsburg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

VfL Wolfsburg Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    SC Paderborn 071
    Avg corners for
    VfL Wolfsburg6.8
    SC Paderborn 075
    Avg total corners
    VfL Wolfsburg10.4
    SC Paderborn 074
    Avg yellow cards
    VfL Wolfsburg1.4
    SC Paderborn 072
    Avg shots
    VfL Wolfsburg15.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    SC Paderborn 070
    Avg goals scored
    VfL Wolfsburg0.8
    SC Paderborn 070
    Avg goals conceded
    VfL Wolfsburg0.6
    SC Paderborn 070%
    BTTS rate
    VfL Wolfsburg40%
    SC Paderborn 070%
    Over 2.5 goals
    VfL Wolfsburg20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 49% · edge +19.2 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 32%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickVfL Wolfsburg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 47% · edge +18.5 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 32%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    VfL Wolfsburg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    SC Paderborn 07

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    21 May 2026A VfL Wolfsburg0-0

    VfL Wolfsburg

    DWLDD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 4L
    21 May 2026H SC Paderborn 070-0
    16 May 2026A FC St. Pauli3-1
    09 May 2026H Bayern München0-1
    03 May 2026A SC Freiburg1-1
    25 Apr 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach0-0
    Market aligned with main pickVfL Wolfsburg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 47% · edge +18.5 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0SC Paderborn 07 wins
    3Draws
    3VfL Wolfsburg wins
    21 May 2026VfL Wolfsburg v SC Paderborn 070-0
    04 Jan 2022VfL Wolfsburg v SC Paderborn 075-4
    02 Feb 2020SC Paderborn 07 v VfL Wolfsburg2-4
    31 Aug 2019VfL Wolfsburg v SC Paderborn 071-1
    10 May 2015SC Paderborn 07 v VfL Wolfsburg1-3
    14 Dec 2014VfL Wolfsburg v SC Paderborn 071-1
    Market aligned with main pickVfL Wolfsburg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 47% · edge +18.5 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 32%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    The head-to-head sample gives context for VfL Wolfsburg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    SC Paderborn 072
    Played
    VfL Wolfsburg36
    SC Paderborn 071
    Avg goals for
    VfL Wolfsburg1.3
    SC Paderborn 070.5
    Avg goals against
    VfL Wolfsburg2
    SC Paderborn 071
    Clean sheets
    VfL Wolfsburg3
    Market aligned with main pickVfL Wolfsburg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 47% · edge +18.5 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Season data supports VfL Wolfsburg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    16VfL Wolfsburg29347819-24
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%SC Paderborn 07 Over 2.5
    20%VfL Wolfsburg Over 2.5
    3.83H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: SC Paderborn 07 sit at 0% and VfL Wolfsburg sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.83 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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