São Bernardo
LondrinaSerie B | Thu 10 Sep, 23:30
São Bernardo v Londrina Stats
Data last updated: Wed 09 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
São Bernardo hosts Londrina in a Serie B clash where both teams are fighting to improve their league standing. São Bernardo sits 14th with 35 points, showing a more stable form compared to 18th-placed Londrina, who have 22 points. São Bernardo's recent performances have been more productive offensively and defensively, while Londrina struggles with consistency and defensive solidity. This match presents a chance for São Bernardo to capitalize on home advantage and extend their positive momentum, although Londrina's resilience and attacking threats could pose challenges in a competitive fixture.
São Bernardo to Win
- São Bernardo holds a higher league position and points tally than Londrina.
- São Bernardo averages 13.75 shots per game with 3.75 on target, indicating offensive activity.
- Londrina concedes more goals on average (1.2) compared to São Bernardo (1.0).
- São Bernardo's recent form yields 5 points versus Londrina's 2 points in the last matches.
- São Bernardo's corner count (7.75) significantly exceeds Londrina's (2), suggesting territorial control.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors São Bernardo to win with a 59.6% chance, reflecting their stronger recent form, superior league standing, and home advantage. São Bernardo's higher shot volume and better defensive record underpin this . The at 1.8 offer a small positive , reinforcing the pick as a solid choice. No data limitations affect this assessment, and the model's level at 59% supports a standard stake recommendation.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
São Bernardo's home advantage and superior recent form make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Londrina's struggles, providing a tactical and statistical basis for backing São Bernardo to win this Serie B encounter.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“São Bernardo's balanced attack and defense, combined with their home form, give them a clear edge over Londrina, who have yet to find consistency this season.”
Key Data Signals
São Bernardo to Win evidence
São Bernardo holds a higher league position and points tally than Londrina.
São Bernardo averages 13.75 shots per game with 3.75 on target, indicating offensive activity.
Londrina concedes more goals on average (1.2) compared to São Bernardo (1.0).
São Bernardo's recent form yields 5 points versus Londrina's 2 points in the last matches.
What To Watch In The Data
São Bernardo to Win notes
- In the last five matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.4, suggesting moderate scoring games.
- São Bernardo's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) compared to Londrina's 60% indicates a tendency for São Bernardo to play more cautiously, which may limit the total goals but still allow for a decisive home win.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Useful next reads
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
São Bernardo
Londrina
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Serie B
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | São Bernardo | 35 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 22 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -8 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
