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Millonarios crestMillonarios
v
Deportivo Cali crestDeportivo Cali

Primera A | Tue 18 Aug, 00:10

Millonarios v Deportivo Cali Stats

Data last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026, 07:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Millonarios face Deportivo Cali in Primera A on Tue 18 Aug, 00:10. Millonarios come in with 10 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Deportivo Cali have 10 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Deportivo Cali to Win

  • At 5.25, Deportivo Cali to Win implies roughly 19%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 34%.
  • Deportivo Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Deportivo Cali to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Millonarios sit 8 in the table, while Deportivo Cali sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 34% for Deportivo Cali to Win sits against roughly 19% implied by the current price. Deportivo Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Deportivo Cali to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Model chance vs price34% model chance against roughly 19% implied
Strong positive
Deportivo Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Millonarios sit 8 in the table, while Deportivo Cali sit.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Deportivo Cali Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Deportivo Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Deportivo Cali Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Deportivo Cali to Win evidence

Deportivo Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Deportivo Cali Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Millonarios sit 8 in the table, while Deportivo Cali sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Deportivo Cali to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Millonarios1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Deportivo Cali1.2
    Millonarios0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Deportivo Cali0.4
    Millonarios20%
    BTTS rate
    Deportivo Cali20%
    Millonarios20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Deportivo Cali0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 61% · edge +5.4 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 20% for Millonarios and 0% for Deportivo Cali, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Millonarios

    WWLDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    05 Aug 2026H Deportivo Pasto2-0
    02 Aug 2026A Junior1-0
    26 Jul 2026H Bucaramanga0-1
    03 May 2026A Alianza Valledupar2-2
    24 Apr 2026H Deportes Tolima2-0

    Deportivo Cali

    WLWDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    09 Aug 2026A Deportivo Pasto2-0
    02 Aug 2026A Independiente Medellin0-1
    25 Jul 2026H Jaguares2-0
    03 May 2026A Deportes Tolima1-1
    26 Apr 2026H America de Cali1-0
    Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Deportivo Cali27197664
    10Millonarios26197578
    6Deportivo Cali632013
    8Millonarios632012
    Millonarios sit in position 8, while Deportivo Cali sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Deportivo Cali to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Deportivo Cali to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Millonarios7.2
    Avg corners for
    Deportivo Cali3.8
    Millonarios10.2
    Avg total corners
    Deportivo Cali7.4
    Millonarios3
    Avg yellow cards
    Deportivo Cali2.6
    Millonarios15.2
    Avg shots
    Deportivo Cali13.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 58% · edge -3 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Millonarios wins
    5Draws
    1Deportivo Cali wins
    08 Feb 2026Deportivo Cali v Millonarios0-0
    09 Aug 2025Millonarios v Deportivo Cali3-3
    23 Feb 2025Deportivo Cali v Millonarios3-1
    05 Oct 2024Deportivo Cali v Millonarios0-1
    23 Mar 2024Millonarios v Deportivo Cali1-1
    25 Aug 2023Deportivo Cali v Millonarios0-0
    Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Deportivo Cali to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Primera A

    Millonarios22
    Played
    Deportivo Cali22
    Millonarios1.5
    Avg goals for
    Deportivo Cali1.1
    Millonarios1.1
    Avg goals against
    Deportivo Cali0.8
    Millonarios8
    Clean sheets
    Deportivo Cali9
    Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Season data supports Deportivo Cali to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Millonarios Over 2.5
    0%Deportivo Cali Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Millonarios sit at 20% and Deportivo Cali sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    More stats pages

    Bucaramanga v Deportivo PastoPrimera A · Mon 17 Aug 22:05

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    Betting context

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