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Millonarios crestMillonarios
v
Deportivo Cali crestDeportivo Cali

Primera A | Fri 11 Sep, 02:00

Millonarios v Deportivo Cali Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 16:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali meet in a Primera A clash where both sides have shown a willingness to attack but also concede goals. Millonarios currently sit 5th with a solid recent run, while Deportivo Cali are 12th but have been competitive, securing points and scoring regularly. Both teams average around 1.2 goals per game and have a 60% BTTS rate, indicating open play and goal-scoring opportunities at both ends. This fixture promises tactical battles with offensive intent balanced by defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for goals from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent mutual scoring.
  • Millonarios average 14.8 shots per game with 7 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Deportivo Cali also create chances with 11.8 shots and 4 on target per match.
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting BTTS likelihood.
  • H2H matches average 2.7 goals, suggesting open games with goals from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, reflecting consistent scoring and concession patterns from Millonarios and Deportivo Cali. Both sides average over one goal per game and maintain a 60% BTTS rate, supported by strong shot volumes and attacking roles from key players like R. The at 2.0 offer positive value with a 20% edge, making this a compelling bet based on attacking intent and defensive openness. No data limitations reduce in this assessment.

BTTS Rate60% for both teams
Strong positive
Average Goals per GameApprox. 1.2 goals scored and conceded each
Positive
Shot VolumeMillonarios 14.8, Deportivo Cali 11.8 shots per game
Strong positive
Model Confidence88% confidence in BTTS outcome
Strong positive
Value Edge20% positive value at odds 2.0
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking quality and defensive vulnerabilities, making a Both Teams to Score bet tactically and statistically sound. Millonarios' home attacking pressure combined with Deportivo Cali's ability to create chances suggests goals at both ends. The data supports this with consistent scoring and conceding patterns from both sides.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two teams with clear offensive intent but defensive lapses, creating a fertile ground for goals at both ends. The balance of attacking roles and shot volumes underlines the likelihood of both teams finding the net.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent mutual scoring.

Millonarios average 14.8 shots per game with 7 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Deportivo Cali also create chances with 11.8 shots and 4 on target per match.

Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting BTTS likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.7, indicating a trend towards open games with multiple goals.
  • This suggests a tempo and style conducive to over 2.5 goals, aligning with the BTTS expectation and reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Millonarios5.2
Avg corners for
Deportivo Cali2.6
Millonarios9.6
Avg total corners
Deportivo Cali6
Millonarios3.2
Avg yellow cards
Deportivo Cali2.6
Millonarios14.8
Avg shots
Deportivo Cali11.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 44% · edge +1.9 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Millonarios generate more corners (5.2) and shots (14.8) than Deportivo Cali, who average 2.6 corners and 11.8 shots. Both teams commit a moderate number of fouls and receive around 3 yellow cards per game, suggesting a competitive match with sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities influencing attacking rhythms.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Millonarios1.2
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Cali1.2
Millonarios1
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Cali1.2
Millonarios60%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Cali60%
Millonarios20%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cali40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both Millonarios and Deportivo Cali average around 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, with a 60% BTTS rate each. Their attacking styles and defensive openness contribute to frequent mutual scoring, supported by an average of 2.7 goals in their last 10 head-to-head matches, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Millonarios to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Millonarios Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.0, reflecting a 50% implied chance against the model's 70% probability. This 20% indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making it a positive value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Millonarios

DLDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
07 Sep 2026A Deportivo Pereira1-1
03 Sep 2026A Santa Fe2-3
31 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota0-0
28 Aug 2026A Llaneros2-0
22 Aug 2026A Águilas Doradas1-1

Deportivo Cali

DLDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
31 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga1-1
27 Aug 2026A Atletico Nacional1-2
24 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-2
09 Aug 2026A Deportivo Pasto2-0
02 Aug 2026A Independiente Medellin0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Millonarios to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Millonarios Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Recent form data shows Millonarios have scored 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1, and Deportivo Cali mirror this with 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Both teams have earned points consistently, reflecting balanced performances that often involve goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS market appeal.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Millonarios wins
5Draws
1Deportivo Cali wins
08 Feb 2026Deportivo Cali v Millonarios0-0
09 Aug 2025Millonarios v Deportivo Cali3-3
23 Feb 2025Deportivo Cali v Millonarios3-1
05 Oct 2024Deportivo Cali v Millonarios0-1
23 Mar 2024Millonarios v Deportivo Cali1-1
25 Aug 2023Deportivo Cali v Millonarios0-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Millonarios to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The last 10 meetings between Millonarios and Deportivo Cali have averaged 2.7 goals per game, showing a history of open contests with goals at both ends. This sample supports the BTTS pick by highlighting a pattern of mutual scoring in their encounters.
Season team stats

Primera A

Millonarios27
Played
Deportivo Cali25
Millonarios1.5
Avg goals for
Deportivo Cali1.1
Millonarios1.1
Avg goals against
Deportivo Cali0.9
Millonarios10
Clean sheets
Deportivo Cali9
Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 32% · edge +13.4 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Millonarios to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Millonarios Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Season-long statistics reveal both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate, with similar goals for and against averages around 1.2 per game. This balance of attacking output and defensive vulnerability supports the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Deportivo Cali27197664
10Millonarios26197578
5Millonarios1283323
12Deportivo Cali862222
Millonarios sit 5th with 12 points, showing competitive form, while Deportivo Cali are 12th with 8 points. Although the table positions differ, both teams have similar scoring and conceding patterns, indicating that league rank does not strongly separate their offensive and defensive capabilities for this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Millonarios Over 2.5
40%Deportivo Cali Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.7, indicating a trend towards open games with multiple goals. This suggests a tempo and style conducive to over 2.5 goals, aligning with the BTTS expectation and reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.