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Rodez crestRodez
v
Grenoble crestGrenoble

Ligue 2 | Fri 11 Sep, 19:00

Rodez v Grenoble Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rodez and Grenoble meet in a Ligue 2 clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. Rodez, positioned 8th, have scored and conceded heavily, reflecting open play and tactical openness. Grenoble, lower in the table, also show defensive frailties but have less firepower upfront. Both sides have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches recently, with Rodez averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceded per game and Grenoble similarly conceding 2 per match. This fixture promises an open contest with goal-scoring opportunities on both ends, influenced by Rodez's aggressive style and Grenoble's defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Rodez averages 14.6 shots and 5.6 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, suggesting frequent high-scoring outcomes.
  • Grenoble concedes 2 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Rodez's top attacker Ibrahima Baldé has 5 goals and 2.09 shots on target per 90 minutes, underlining goal threat.
  • Midfielder Nsingi from Rodez contributes heavily to shot volume with 6.92 shots per 90, supporting offensive depth.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 70.5% chance, well above the market's implied 54.1%. Both teams demonstrate attacking tendencies and defensive weaknesses, with Rodez particularly prolific in shots and goals. The high Over 2.5 rate of 80% for both sides in recent games supports the likelihood of multiple goals. Player data, including Baldé's goal threat and Nsingi's shot volume, further reinforce the expectation of an open, goal-rich match. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Model Chance70.5%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.1%
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate80% both teams
Strong positive
Rodez Attacking Output14.6 shots, 2.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Grenoble Defensive Weakness2 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Rodez's attacking firepower and Grenoble's defensive struggles setting the stage for multiple goals. Rodez's offensive players have been consistently threatening, while Grenoble's concession rate suggests they may struggle to keep the scoreline tight. This combination makes Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive vulnerabilities

“Rodez's aggressive attacking style combined with Grenoble's defensive lapses creates a fertile environment for goals. The data clearly points to a match where both sides will find scoring chances, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Rodez averages 14.6 shots and 5.6 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, suggesting frequent high-scoring outcomes.

Grenoble concedes 2 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Rodez's top attacker Ibrahima Baldé has 5 goals and 2.09 shots on target per 90 minutes, underlining goal threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating a moderate scoring trend historically.
  • Recent matches for both teams show an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals.
  • This trend panel supports the likelihood of a lively, goal-filled encounter driven by open play and defensive vulnerabilities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rodez6.6
Avg corners for
Grenoble2
Rodez11.8
Avg total corners
Grenoble9
Rodez1.4
Avg yellow cards
Grenoble2.4
Rodez14.6
Avg shots
Grenoble7.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Rodez dominates in attacking metrics with 14.6 shots and 6.6 corners per game, indicating sustained pressure and territorial advantage. Grenoble's lower averages (7.2 shots, 2 corners) suggest a more reactive approach. Card data shows Grenoble averages 2.4 yellows per game, hinting at a potentially physical contest that could disrupt rhythm and create set-piece chances, further fueling goal opportunities.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rodez2.2
Avg goals scored
Grenoble1.2
Rodez2.2
Avg goals conceded
Grenoble2
Rodez80%
BTTS rate
Grenoble40%
Rodez80%
Over 2.5 goals
Grenoble80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown a strong propensity for high-scoring games, with Rodez and Grenoble each hitting an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently. Rodez's 2.2 goals scored and conceded per game highlight an open style, while Grenoble's 40% BTTS rate suggests less consistent scoring but still a vulnerability at the back. This mix supports a match with multiple goals but less certainty on both teams scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Rodez to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Rodez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Grenoble Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Grenoble to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The Over 2.5 Goals market offers clear value with the model's 70.5% probability exceeding the market's implied 54.1%, reflecting a 16.4% . This pricing suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals, likely due to Grenoble's lower profile. The current of 1.85 provide an attractive entry point without warning flags, making this a positive value bet to consider.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rodez

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
05 Sep 2026A Metz1-4
28 Aug 2026H PAU2-2
22 Aug 2026A Nantes5-2
14 Aug 2026A Annecy0-2
08 Aug 2026H Laval3-1

Grenoble

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
04 Sep 2026H Annecy1-2
28 Aug 2026A Laval3-0
22 Aug 2026A Saint Etienne0-4
14 Aug 2026H Metz0-0
08 Aug 2026A Dunkerque2-4
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 85% · edge +1.3 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Rodez to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Rodez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Grenoble Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
Grenoble to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form data shows Rodez with 7 points and an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, reflecting consistent high-scoring matches. Grenoble, with 4 points and also an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicates both teams have been involved in open games recently. Rodez's goals for and against averages of 2.2 reinforce their attacking and defensive openness, while Grenoble's similar defensive numbers suggest a match prone to multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Rodez wins
2Draws
4Grenoble wins
06 Mar 2026Rodez v Grenoble1-0
07 Nov 2025Grenoble v Rodez2-1
25 Jul 2025Grenoble v Rodez1-0
31 Jan 2025Grenoble v Rodez2-1
04 Oct 2024Rodez v Grenoble2-1
19 Jul 2024Rodez v Grenoble0-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Rodez to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Grenoble to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The ten previous encounters between Rodez and Grenoble have averaged 2.2 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate that provides a historical baseline. While not overwhelmingly high, this average combined with recent attacking form and defensive issues suggests the fixture could see more goals than the historical norm, especially given Rodez's offensive strength and Grenoble's defensive challenges.
Season team stats

Ligue 2

Rodez5
Played
Grenoble5
Rodez2.2
Avg goals for
Grenoble1.2
Rodez2.2
Avg goals against
Grenoble2
Rodez0
Clean sheets
Grenoble2
Best odds for this sectionRodez to WinBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 59% · edge +3.4 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Rodez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Grenoble Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Grenoble to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Season-long statistics reveal Rodez as a high-volume shooting team with 14.6 shots and 5.6 shots on target per game, translating into 2.2 goals scored and conceded. Grenoble's lower shooting numbers but 2 goals conceded per game highlight defensive fragility. These season trends align with an expectation of a goal-rich match, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Rodez752120
16Grenoble45113-4
Rodez sits 8th with 7 points, reflecting a competitive mid-table position with attacking ambition. Grenoble, 16th with 4 points, face pressure to improve results, potentially encouraging an open game as they seek goals. While standings provide background, the attacking and defensive profiles of both teams offer stronger clues for goal expectations in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Rodez Over 2.5
80%Grenoble Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating a moderate scoring trend historically. Recent matches for both teams show an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals. This trend panel supports the likelihood of a lively, goal-filled encounter driven by open play and defensive vulnerabilities.

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Fixture links

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