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Nancy crestNancy
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Reims crestReims

Ligue 2 | Fri 11 Sep, 19:00

Nancy v Reims Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nancy and Reims meet in this Ligue 2 fixture with contrasting offensive profiles. Nancy has struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game and failing to reach over 2.5 goals in any recent matches. Reims, while more prolific with 2.4 goals per game, has a strong defensive record conceding 1.4 per game and has shown a tendency for tighter matches. Both teams have solid defensive setups, and recent form data suggests a cautious encounter with limited goal-scoring opportunities expected. The match poses tactical intrigue as Nancy aims to contain Reims' attacking threats while seeking rare chances on the break.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Nancy has not scored more than one goal per game recently, with a 0% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • Reims averages 2.4 goals per game but concedes only 1.4, indicating balanced matches.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.17 goals, supporting a lower-scoring trend.
  • Nancy's defensive solidity is reflected in conceding just 0.4 goals per game.
  • Reims' attacking players like Y. Fofana and Quentin Paris provide goal threats but matches often remain under 3 goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 61.7% chance, reflecting Nancy's low scoring and strong defense combined with Reims' balanced attack and defense. Despite Reims' higher goal average, their matches often do not exceed two goals due to defensive discipline. The 9.1% at 1.9 indicates a good price for a low-scoring game. No data limitations affect , and the model's assessment aligns with tactical expectations of a cautious, tightly contested Ligue 2 match.

Nancy's low scoring rate0.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Reims' balanced attack and defense2.4 goals for, 1.4 against per game
Positive
Head-to-head average goals2.17 goals per match
Positive
Model value edge9.1%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring chances as Nancy's defensive approach meets Reims' measured attack. The data supports a low-scoring outcome, with both teams showing discipline and a tendency to keep matches tight. Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible selection given the teams' recent form and scoring patterns.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring analysis

“Nancy's defensive resilience combined with Reims' controlled attacking style suggests this match will stay under 2.5 goals, making the low-scoring bet a logical choice.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Reims averages 2.4 goals per game but concedes only 1.4, indicating balanced matches.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.17 goals, supporting a lower-scoring trend.

Nancy's defensive solidity is reflected in conceding just 0.4 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.17, indicating a trend towards matches with fewer than three goals.
  • This trend, combined with recent team defensive solidity and tactical caution, suggests the match tempo will favor Under 2.5 Goals rather than a high-scoring encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nancy0.6
Avg goals scored
Reims2.4
Nancy0.4
Avg goals conceded
Reims1.4
Nancy0%
BTTS rate
Reims80%
Nancy0%
Over 2.5 goals
Reims80%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +9.1 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Nancy has not recorded any matches over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring recently, while Reims has an 80% rate for both over 2.5 goals and BTTS. However, the clash of Nancy's defensive solidity and Reims' attack suggests goals may be limited, with BTTS less certain due to Nancy's scoring struggles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionReims Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.5 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Reims to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Nancy Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Nancy to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2
Check odds @ 2
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.9 with a of 61.7%, indicating positive value. The reflect the likelihood of a cautious game given Nancy's low scoring and Reims' balanced defensive record. This price offers a good opportunity to back a low-scoring match without major price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Nancy3
Avg corners for
Reims2
Nancy6.25
Avg total corners
Reims6.8
Nancy1.25
Avg yellow cards
Reims1.6
Nancy10.5
Avg shots
Reims11.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 50% · edge -10.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Nancy averages 3.6 corners and 1.4 yellow cards per game, indicating moderate pressure and discipline. Reims shows fewer corners (2) but slightly higher card counts (1.75 yellows). Shot data shows Nancy averages 10.8 shots with 2.6 on target, while Reims has 12.25 shots and 6.25 on target, reflecting Reims' more aggressive attacking approach but also a controlled tempo.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nancy

LWWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
07 Sep 2026A Nantes0-1
28 Aug 2026H Dunkerque2-0
21 Aug 2026A PAU1-0
14 Aug 2026H Montpellier0-1
08 Aug 2026A Boulogne0-0

Reims

DWWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Guingamp2-2
29 Aug 2026A RED Star FC 934-1
24 Aug 2026H Annecy3-1
14 Aug 2026H Dunkerque3-3
08 Aug 2026A Clermont Foot0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 75% · edge +7.5 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Reims Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Reims to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Nancy Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Nancy to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Nancy's recent form shows 7 points with a very low goal output (0.6 per game) and no over 2.5 goals matches, indicating a defensive mindset. Reims has 9 points, scoring 2.4 goals per game but with an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting more open matches. The contrast in form supports a cautious game where Nancy aims to contain Reims' attack, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Nancy wins
1Draws
5Reims wins
25 Apr 2026Reims v Nancy1-1
26 Sep 2025Nancy v Reims0-1
31 Mar 2018Nancy v Reims0-2
28 Oct 2017Reims v Nancy3-0
09 Feb 2013Nancy v Reims1-2
22 Sep 2012Reims v Nancy2-0
Best odds for this sectionReims to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 47% · edge +11.5 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Nancy to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The six previous meetings between Nancy and Reims have averaged 2.17 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate that aligns with a low to medium goal expectation. This historical data supports the likelihood of a match staying under 2.5 goals, reinforcing the defensive and tactical patterns seen in recent form.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 2

Nancy5
Played
Reims5
Nancy0.6
Avg goals for
Reims2.4
Nancy0.4
Avg goals against
Reims1.4
Nancy3
Clean sheets
Reims1
Best odds for this sectionReims Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.5 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Reims to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Nancy Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Nancy to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Season stats reveal Nancy's strong defensive record conceding only 0.4 goals per game, while Reims balances a potent attack with a solid defense conceding 1.4 goals per game. Nancy's inability to score frequently and Reims' controlled scoring pattern underpin the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Reims952305
7Nancy752121
Nancy sits 7th with 7 points, while Reims is 3rd with 9 points, reflecting competitive but not runaway form. The standings suggest both teams are motivated but cautious, with no urgent need for high-risk attacking play, supporting a low-scoring outcome in this Ligue 2 fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Nancy Over 2.5
80%Reims Over 2.5
2.17H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.17, indicating a trend towards matches with fewer than three goals. This trend, combined with recent team defensive solidity and tactical caution, suggests the match tempo will favor Under 2.5 Goals rather than a high-scoring encounter.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.