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Rizespor crestRizespor
v
Alanyaspor crestAlanyaspor

Süper Lig | Mon 07 Sep, 18:00

Rizespor v Alanyaspor Stats

Data last updated: Sun 06 Sep 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rizespor and Alanyaspor meet in a Süper Lig fixture where both teams have shown a cautious approach in recent matches. Rizespor sits 7th with 6 points, while Alanyaspor is 13th with 4 points. Both sides have scored and conceded just one goal each in their last outings, reflecting a defensive solidity and low-scoring trend. The tactical setup suggests a balanced contest with neither side pushing aggressively for goals early in the season, making a tight, low-scoring game likely.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams average only 1 goal scored and conceded in recent matches.
  • Rizespor and Alanyaspor have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate of 33%.
  • Average shots per game are moderate, with Rizespor at 17.33 and Alanyaspor at 9.
  • Head-to-head matches average just 2.1 goals, indicating tight encounters.
  • Both teams show disciplined defensive records with low BTTS rates, especially Rizespor at 33%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, reflecting the defensive nature of both teams and their recent low-scoring matches. Both sides have limited goal output and concede sparingly, supported by moderate shot volumes and cautious attacking patterns. The at 1.85 offer positive value compared to the implied 54.1% chance, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible selection. No data limitations affect , and the consistent low BTTS rates reinforce the likelihood of a tight scoreline.

Model Chance66%
Strong positive
Implied Chance54.1%
Positive
Value Edge11.9%
Strong positive
Recent Goals Scored1 per team
Positive
BTTS RatesRizespor 33%, Alanyaspor 67%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical pick given both teams' defensive discipline and low scoring in recent matches. The data shows limited attacking threat and a tendency for tight scorelines, making a low-goal outcome plausible. The tactical balance and early-season form support a cautious game with few clear chances.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match tempo and scoring likelihood

“This fixture's early-season form and tactical setups suggest a controlled tempo with limited goal-scoring opportunities, making Under 2.5 Goals a prudent choice.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams average only 1 goal scored and conceded in recent matches.

Rizespor and Alanyaspor have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate of 33%.

Average shots per game are moderate, with Rizespor at 17.33 and Alanyaspor at 9.

Head-to-head matches average just 2.1 goals, indicating tight encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, indicating a history of relatively low-scoring games.
  • This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals, reflecting a tempo and defensive solidity consistent with the current form and tactical setups.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rizespor5.67
Avg corners for
Alanyaspor4.33
Rizespor9
Avg total corners
Alanyaspor7
Rizespor2.33
Avg yellow cards
Alanyaspor1.33
Rizespor17.33
Avg shots
Alanyaspor9
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 50% · edge -5.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Rizespor averages 5.67 corners and 2.33 yellow cards per game, while Alanyaspor averages 4.33 corners and 1.33 yellows. Rizespor's higher shot volume (17.33) compared to Alanyaspor's 9 indicates more attacking intent, but the moderate shot on target numbers and disciplined fouling suggest controlled pressure rather than open play.

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Useful next reads

Rizespor v Alanyaspor predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rizespor1
Avg goals scored
Alanyaspor1
Rizespor1
Avg goals conceded
Alanyaspor1
Rizespor33%
BTTS rate
Alanyaspor67%
Rizespor33%
Over 2.5 goals
Alanyaspor33%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +11.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Both teams have scored and conceded just one goal in recent matches, with Rizespor's BTTS rate at 33% and Alanyaspor's at 67%. This mixed BTTS profile suggests some risk but overall supports a low-scoring game, as both sides tend to keep matches tight and defensively disciplined.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Alanyaspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Rizespor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Rizespor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.85 with a of 66%, indicating positive value. The reflect a market expectation of a tighter game than the implied 54.1% chance suggests, making this a price-sensitive but attractive bet without major warning signs.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rizespor

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
29 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK2-1
22 Aug 2026H Samsunspor0-2
15 Aug 2026A Konyaspor1-0

Alanyaspor

LWD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
30 Aug 2026A Eyüpspor1-2
23 Aug 2026H Beşiktaş1-0
15 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Alanyaspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Rizespor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Rizespor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form data shows both teams scoring and conceding just one goal in their last matches, with low Over 2.5 Goals rates at 33%. This reflects a pattern of tight, low-scoring games consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals pick, reinforcing the expectation of a cautious encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Rizespor wins
3Draws
5Alanyaspor wins
25 Jan 2026Rizespor v Alanyaspor1-1
16 Aug 2025Alanyaspor v Rizespor0-0
02 Mar 2025Rizespor v Alanyaspor3-1
28 Sep 2024Alanyaspor v Rizespor1-0
20 Jan 2024Alanyaspor v Rizespor2-1
19 Aug 2023Rizespor v Alanyaspor0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Alanyaspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Rizespor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, indicating a pattern of relatively tight contests between Rizespor and Alanyaspor. This historical data weakly supports the Under 2.5 Goals pick, suggesting both teams have traditionally limited goal-scoring opportunities in their encounters.
Season team stats

Süper Lig

Rizespor3
Played
Alanyaspor3
Rizespor1
Avg goals for
Alanyaspor1
Rizespor1
Avg goals against
Alanyaspor1
Rizespor1
Clean sheets
Alanyaspor1
Best odds for this sectionAlanyaspor to WinBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 24% · edge +8.8 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Alanyaspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Rizespor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Rizespor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long stats reveal both teams maintain strong defensive records with low goals conceded and moderate attacking output. The low Over 2.5 Goals rate (33%) for both sides highlights a consistent trend towards fewer goals, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Rizespor632010
12Alanyaspor431110
Rizespor's 7th place and Alanyaspor's 13th position in the Süper Lig show a moderate gap but both teams have similar points and defensive records. The standings suggest neither side is under intense pressure to attack aggressively, favoring a balanced and low-scoring match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Rizespor Over 2.5
33%Alanyaspor Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, indicating a history of relatively low-scoring games. This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals, reflecting a tempo and defensive solidity consistent with the current form and tactical setups.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Rizespor v Alanyaspor prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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