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Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake
v
New York City FC crestNew York City FC

Major League Soccer | Sun 13 Sep, 02:30

Real Salt Lake v New York City FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Real Salt Lake and New York City FC meet in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown contrasting defensive records and attacking intent. Real Salt Lake concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game but scores 1.4, while New York City FC concedes fewer goals at 1.2 per game but has a lower scoring rate of 0.8. Recent form data highlights Real Salt Lake's high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals at 80%, suggesting an open game environment. Both sides are level on points in the league, adding competitive edge to this fixture with potential for multiple goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Real Salt Lake has an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
  • New York City FC concedes only 1.2 goals per game, indicating some defensive solidity.
  • The head-to-head average goals per match is 3.56, supporting a high-scoring encounter.
  • Both teams average around 11-12 shots per game, reflecting attacking activity.
  • Key attackers like N. Fernández Mercau and Luighi Hanri provide goal threat and shot volume for New York City FC.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 65.4% chance for over 2.5 goals, supported by Real Salt Lake's high over 2.5 rate of 80% and the historically high-scoring head-to-head average of 3.56 goals per game. Both teams generate a similar volume of shots, with Real Salt Lake conceding more goals on average, which increases the likelihood of multiple goals. The price offers a small positive edge, making this a sound selection based on attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities.

Real Salt Lake Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.56 goals per match
Strong positive
New York City FC Goals Against1.2 per game
Positive
Shot Volume Both Teams~11-12 shots per game
Positive
Value Edge+2.9%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game given Real Salt Lake's tendency to concede goals and New York City FC's offensive players who create chances regularly. The data points to a fixture with multiple goal opportunities, making over 2.5 goals a logical choice based on both tactical outlook and recent scoring trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking and defensive dynamics

“This matchup features teams with contrasting defensive records but similar attacking intent, setting the stage for a high-scoring contest. Real Salt Lake's porous defense combined with New York City's key attackers suggests goals are likely at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Real Salt Lake has an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.

New York City FC concedes only 1.2 goals per game, indicating some defensive solidity.

The head-to-head average goals per match is 3.56, supporting a high-scoring encounter.

Both teams average around 11-12 shots per game, reflecting attacking activity.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last nine head-to-head matches average 3.56 goals, a strong indicator of high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form and season data, suggests a tempo and attacking openness conducive to over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Salt Lake1.4
Avg goals scored
New York City FC0.8
Real Salt Lake2.2
Avg goals conceded
New York City FC1.2
Real Salt Lake80%
BTTS rate
New York City FC80%
Real Salt Lake80%
Over 2.5 goals
New York City FC40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 63% · edge +2.9 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have shown a propensity for goals in their matches, with Real Salt Lake's 80% over 2.5 rate and New York City FC's 80% BTTS rate indicating frequent goal exchanges. The head-to-head average of 3.56 goals per game further supports expectations of multiple goals and both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 63% · edge +2.9 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
New York City FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
New York City FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Real Salt Lake Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Real Salt Lake to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The for over 2.5 goals reflect a slightly undervalued market with a 65.4% versus a 62.5% implied chance, offering a small positive . This pricing aligns well with the attacking profiles and historical goal trends, making it a sensible selection rather than a speculative pick.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Real Salt Lake4
Avg corners for
New York City FC5.2
Real Salt Lake8.8
Avg total corners
New York City FC9.6
Real Salt Lake3.6
Avg yellow cards
New York City FC1.8
Real Salt Lake11.4
Avg shots
New York City FC11.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 58% · edge -1.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams average around 11-12 shots per game with similar shots on target, indicating active offensive play. New York City FC tends to earn more corners, reflecting attacking pressure, while Real Salt Lake accumulates more yellow cards, suggesting a physical approach that could disrupt rhythm and create set-piece chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Salt Lake

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
10 Sep 2026A Houston Dynamo1-2
06 Sep 2026H Los Angeles FC2-2
30 Aug 2026A Colorado Rapids0-1
23 Aug 2026A Orlando City SC1-2
20 Aug 2026H FC Dallas3-4

New York City FC

LDDDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
10 Sep 2026H New England Revolution1-2
05 Sep 2026H Nashville SC0-0
30 Aug 2026A Toronto FC1-1
23 Aug 2026A New England Revolution1-1
20 Aug 2026A FC Cincinnati1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
New York City FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
New York City FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Real Salt Lake Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Real Salt Lake to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Recent form data shows Real Salt Lake has scored 1.4 goals per game but concedes 2.2, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that favor a higher goal count. New York City FC scores less but maintains a solid defense, with an over 2.5 goals rate of 40%, indicating a more cautious approach but still capable of contributing to a high-scoring game.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Real Salt Lake wins
3Draws
2New York City FC wins
24 Jan 2025Real Salt Lake v New York City FC2-2
24 Jan 2025Real Salt Lake v New York City FC2-2
11 Jun 2023Real Salt Lake v New York City FC0-0
17 Apr 2022New York City FC v Real Salt Lake6-0
04 Aug 2019Real Salt Lake v New York City FC3-1
12 Apr 2018New York City FC v Real Salt Lake4-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 63% · edge +2.9 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
New York City FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Real Salt Lake to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The head-to-head sample of nine matches shows an average of 3.56 goals per game, indicating historically open and goal-rich encounters between these teams. This supports the expectation of multiple goals but should be balanced with current defensive form and tactical setups.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake23
Played
New York City FC24
Real Salt Lake1.6
Avg goals for
New York City FC1.5
Real Salt Lake1.6
Avg goals against
New York City FC1.4
Real Salt Lake2
Clean sheets
New York City FC4
Best odds for this sectionNew York City FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
New York City FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Real Salt Lake Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Real Salt Lake to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Season-long statistics reveal Real Salt Lake's matches frequently surpass 2.5 goals, driven by their leaky defense and moderate scoring. New York City FC's defensive solidity contrasts with their lower scoring rate, but their involvement in high-scoring matches remains notable, supporting the over 2.5 goals market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Real Salt Lake292385100
9New York City FC29247894
Both teams sit close in the league standings with 29 points each, reflecting a competitive fixture where both sides will seek points. This parity suggests an open contest with motivation to attack, increasing the likelihood of goals rather than a cautious stalemate.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Real Salt Lake Over 2.5
40%New York City FC Over 2.5
3.56H2H avg goals
The last nine head-to-head matches average 3.56 goals, a strong indicator of high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent form and season data, suggests a tempo and attacking openness conducive to over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

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