FC Cincinnati

Charlotte

Major League Soccer | Sun 13 Sep, 00:30

FC Cincinnati v Charlotte Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Charlotte arrives at FC Cincinnati with strong recent form, having secured 11 points in their last fixtures compared to Cincinnati's 5. Charlotte's attack is notably more potent, averaging 2 goals per game, while Cincinnati struggles defensively, conceding 2.4 goals on average. This contrast in offensive and defensive capabilities sets a tactical stage favoring Charlotte's dynamic playstyle. Both teams have a 60% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating an open game likely to favor the visitors' attacking edge. The stakes are high as Charlotte aims to consolidate their higher league position and extend their points advantage.

BT4Y best bet

Charlotte to Win

Charlotte has earned 11 points recently versus Cincinnati's 5, showing better momentum.
Charlotte averages 2 goals per game, significantly higher than Cincinnati's 0.8.
Cincinnati concedes 2.4 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerability.
Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals match rate, suggesting an open, attacking game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Charlotte to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking efficiency. Charlotte's ability to generate more shots on target and goals per game contrasts with Cincinnati's defensive struggles, reinforcing the likelihood of an away victory. The at 3.0 offer positive value given the model's . The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting a confident prediction without major reservations.

Model Win Probability70%

Strong positive

Recent Form PointsCharlotte 11 vs Cincinnati 5

Strong positive

Goals Per GameCharlotte 2.0 vs Cincinnati 0.8

Strong positive

Defensive ConcessionCincinnati concedes 2.4 goals per game

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Charlotte's superior attacking output and recent form make them the logical choice for victory. Their ability to create and convert chances contrasts with Cincinnati's defensive frailties, suggesting Charlotte can capitalize and secure the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Charlotte's offensive prowess and consistent form position them well to overcome Cincinnati's defensive weaknesses in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Charlotte to Win evidence

Charlotte has earned 11 points recently versus Cincinnati's 5, showing better momentum.

Charlotte averages 2 goals per game, significantly higher than Cincinnati's 0.8.

Cincinnati concedes 2.4 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals match rate, suggesting an open, attacking game.

What To Watch In The Data

Charlotte to Win notes

In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, aligning with both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season.
This trend suggests a match with multiple goals, driven by open play and attacking intent from both sides.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Cincinnati0.8

Avg goals scored

Charlotte2

FC Cincinnati2.4

Avg goals conceded

Charlotte1

FC Cincinnati60%

BTTS rate

Charlotte60%

FC Cincinnati60%

Over 2.5 goals

Charlotte60%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.6 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 81%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%

Check odds @ 3

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating open games with attacking intent. Charlotte's higher goals scored and Cincinnati's defensive concessions support a scenario where goals are likely, reinforcing the potential for a decisive result.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

The current of 3.0 for Charlotte to win represent strong value compared to the model's 70% win probability. This positive suggests the market underestimates Charlotte's chances, making the bet attractive without price sensitivity concerns.

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Useful next reads

Major League Soccer hub corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Cincinnati4.2

Avg corners for

Charlotte5.4

FC Cincinnati10.6

Avg total corners

Charlotte14

FC Cincinnati2

Avg yellow cards

Charlotte1.8

FC Cincinnati11.6

Avg shots

Charlotte12.2

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Cincinnati

LLDWD

Last 51W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 3D 3L

10 Sep 2026A Philadelphia Union0-5

30 Aug 2026A Nashville SC0-4

23 Aug 2026H Seattle Sounders1-1

20 Aug 2026H New York City FC2-1

16 Aug 2026A Orlando City SC1-1

Charlotte

WDWWD

Last 53W 2D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 3D 1L

10 Sep 2026A CF Montreal2-1

06 Sep 2026H Houston Dynamo0-0

30 Aug 2026A Atlanta United FC2-0

23 Aug 2026H DC United3-1

20 Aug 2026A Toronto FC3-3

Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Charlotte's recent accumulation of 11 points compared to Cincinnati's 5 highlights a clear momentum advantage. Charlotte's consistent scoring and defensive solidity contrast with Cincinnati's struggles, suggesting the visitors are better prepared and in superior form heading into this fixture.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2FC Cincinnati wins

3Draws

4Charlotte wins

10 May 2026Charlotte v FC Cincinnati2-2

10 Aug 2025FC Cincinnati v Charlotte0-1

15 Mar 2025Charlotte v FC Cincinnati2-0

14 Jul 2024FC Cincinnati v Charlotte1-3

30 Mar 2024Charlotte v FC Cincinnati1-1

24 Sep 2023FC Cincinnati v Charlotte3-0

Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

The nine previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.67 goals per game, indicating a history of relatively open contests. While the sample size is moderate, it supports expectations of a lively game with scoring opportunities, complementing Charlotte's attacking strengths.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati23

Played

Charlotte24

FC Cincinnati2.1

Avg goals for

Charlotte1.8

FC Cincinnati2.4

Avg goals against

Charlotte1.4

FC Cincinnati2

Clean sheets

Charlotte5

Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Charlotte's season-long offensive output of 2 goals per game and defensive concession of 1 goal per game demonstrate a balanced and effective team. Cincinnati's lower scoring rate and higher goals conceded underscore their defensive vulnerabilities, supporting Charlotte's chances to exploit these weaknesses.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5	Charlotte	39	24	11	6	7	9
7	FC Cincinnati	31	23	8	7	8	-7

Charlotte sits 5th in the league with 39 points, ahead of Cincinnati's 7th place and 31 points. This points gap reflects Charlotte's stronger campaign and adds pressure on Cincinnati to respond, favoring the visitors psychologically and competitively.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5

60%Charlotte Over 2.5

2.67H2H avg goals

In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, aligning with both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season. This trend suggests a match with multiple goals, driven by open play and attacking intent from both sides.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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FC Cincinnati v Charlotte Stats

Match Report

Charlotte to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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FC Cincinnati v Charlotte Stats

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Why The Model Likes This Bet

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