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DC United crestDC United
v
Atlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FC

Major League Soccer | Sun 13 Sep, 00:30

DC United v Atlanta United FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 17:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

DC United hosts Atlanta United FC in a Major League Soccer clash where attacking intent and goal-scoring opportunities are expected to shape the contest. DC United has struggled offensively with an average of 0.8 goals per game recently, while Atlanta United FC has been more productive, averaging 1.6 goals. Both teams have shown tendencies towards open play, with Atlanta United FC's recent matches featuring a higher frequency of goals. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where multiple goals are likely, setting the stage for an engaging encounter with attacking players eager to make an impact.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • DC United and Atlanta United FC have combined for a 66.2% chance of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.
  • Atlanta United FC averages 1.6 goals per game and has an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating strong attacking form.
  • DC United's matches have featured 60% Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting openness despite lower scoring.
  • Both teams average over 10 shots per game, with Atlanta United FC taking 13 shots and DC United 10.67, supporting attacking opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 66.2% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' attacking tendencies and recent goal-scoring rates. Atlanta United FC's high Over 2.5 rate of 80% and DC United's 60% rate confirm a pattern of open games with multiple goals. Shot volumes and shots on target averages further reinforce the likelihood of a goal-rich match. No price warning is necessary as the fairly reflect the model's , making this a solid standard stake opportunity.

Model Chance66.2%
Strong positive
Atlanta United FC Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
DC United Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Average Shots per GameDC United 10.67, Atlanta United FC 13
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both DC United and Atlanta United FC have shown tendencies to concede and score goals. Atlanta United FC's stronger offensive output combined with DC United's willingness to push forward suggests multiple goal opportunities, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This matchup features two teams with attacking intent but defensive lapses, creating a fertile ground for goals. Atlanta United FC's offensive players, supported by DC United's openness, make Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

DC United and Atlanta United FC have combined for a 66.2% chance of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.

Atlanta United FC averages 1.6 goals per game and has an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating strong attacking form.

DC United's matches have featured 60% Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting openness despite lower scoring.

Both teams average over 10 shots per game, with Atlanta United FC taking 13 shots and DC United 10.67, supporting attacking opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.6, supporting the Over 2.5 trend.
  • Recent matches have featured open play and goal-scoring opportunities for both sides, indicating a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

DC United0.8
Avg goals scored
Atlanta United FC1.6
DC United1.6
Avg goals conceded
Atlanta United FC1.8
DC United60%
BTTS rate
Atlanta United FC80%
DC United60%
Over 2.5 goals
Atlanta United FC80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have shown a propensity for matches with multiple goals and both teams to score. Atlanta United FC's 80% Over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS rate indicate frequent high-scoring encounters, while DC United's 60% rates also support an open game with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Atlanta United FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Atlanta United FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DC United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.62 with an implied chance of 61.7%, slightly below the model's 66.2% probability. This small positive suggests the market fairly reflects the likelihood of multiple goals, making it a reasonable betting option without significant price sensitivity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

DC United4
Avg corners for
Atlanta United FC5
DC United10
Avg total corners
Atlanta United FC10.67
DC United1.33
Avg yellow cards
Atlanta United FC2
DC United13
Avg shots
Atlanta United FC12.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Atlanta United FC averages 5.67 corners per game compared to DC United's 3.33, reflecting more attacking pressure and territory. Both teams average around two yellow cards per match, indicating a moderately physical contest. Shot volumes are healthy, with both sides averaging over 10 shots, supporting an active attacking rhythm.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

DC United

WDLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
10 Sep 2026H Columbus Crew2-1
30 Aug 2026H Los Angeles FC0-0
23 Aug 2026A Charlotte1-3
20 Aug 2026H New England Revolution0-3
16 Aug 2026A CF Montreal1-1

Atlanta United FC

LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
10 Sep 2026H Orlando City SC2-3
06 Sep 2026A Inter Miami2-2
30 Aug 2026H Charlotte0-2
24 Aug 2026H Sporting Kansas City2-1
20 Aug 2026A Minnesota United FC2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Atlanta United FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Atlanta United FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DC United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Recent form shows Atlanta United FC scoring 1.6 goals per game with an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating consistent attacking output. DC United has scored less frequently at 0.8 goals per game but their matches still reach Over 2.5 goals 60% of the time, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities and open play in recent fixtures.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1DC United wins
5Draws
4Atlanta United FC wins
21 Mar 2026Atlanta United FC v DC United0-0
18 Oct 2025Atlanta United FC v DC United1-1
06 Jul 2025DC United v Atlanta United FC0-0
27 Jul 2024Atlanta United FC v DC United3-3
20 Jun 2024DC United v Atlanta United FC0-1
12 May 2024Atlanta United FC v DC United2-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Atlanta United FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, suggesting a history of moderately high-scoring encounters. While not overwhelmingly high, this supports the expectation of multiple goals, though current form and attacking trends provide stronger signals for this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

DC United24
Played
Atlanta United FC25
DC United1.3
Avg goals for
Atlanta United FC1.2
DC United1.5
Avg goals against
Atlanta United FC1.7
DC United6
Clean sheets
Atlanta United FC2
Best odds for this sectionAtlanta United FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Atlanta United FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
DC United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DC United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Season-long data reveals both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals. Atlanta United FC's higher goals for and against averages contribute to a strong Over 2.5 trend, while DC United's defensive record also supports the likelihood of conceding goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11DC United29246117-7
14Atlanta United FC23256514-14
DC United sits 11th and Atlanta United FC 14th in the standings, both under pressure to improve results. This competitive context may encourage attacking approaches to secure vital points, increasing the chance of goals as both teams seek to climb the table.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%DC United Over 2.5
80%Atlanta United FC Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.6, supporting the Over 2.5 trend. Recent matches have featured open play and goal-scoring opportunities for both sides, indicating a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

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