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RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino
v
Gremio crestGremio

Serie A | Sun 23 Aug, 20:00

RB Bragantino v Gremio Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 14:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino face Gremio in Serie A on Sun 23 Aug, 20:00. RB Bragantino come in with 6 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Gremio have 4 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.83, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • Gremio lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with RB Bragantino lower at 5.2.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: RB Bragantino average 14 and Gremio average 10.4.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Gremio lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with RB Bragantino lower at 5.2.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Positive
Gremio lead the corner sample at 6 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Gremio lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with RB Bragantino lower at 5.2. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Gremio lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with RB Bragantino lower at 5.2.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: RB Bragantino average 14 and Gremio average 10.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RB Bragantino1
Avg goals scored
Gremio1
RB Bragantino1
Avg goals conceded
Gremio2
RB Bragantino60%
BTTS rate
Gremio80%
RB Bragantino20%
Over 2.5 goals
Gremio80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Serie A analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Gremio to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

RB Bragantino5.2
Avg corners for
Gremio6
RB Bragantino9.8
Avg total corners
Gremio12
RB Bragantino2.2
Avg yellow cards
Gremio3
RB Bragantino14
Avg shots
Gremio10.4
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RB Bragantino

DLDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
15 Aug 2026A Atletico Paranaense1-1
09 Aug 2026H Corinthians0-2
26 Jul 2026H Coritiba0-0
18 Jul 2026A Fluminense1-1
31 May 2026H Internacional3-1

Gremio

LWDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
16 Aug 2026A Atletico-MG0-3
08 Aug 2026H Sao Paulo2-1
26 Jul 2026H Fluminense1-1
18 Jul 2026A Mirassol1-2
30 May 2026H Corinthians1-3
Best odds for this sectionRB Bragantino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Gremio to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Gremio Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5RB Bragantino wins
4Draws
1Gremio wins
13 Mar 2026Gremio v RB Bragantino1-1
04 Oct 2025RB Bragantino v Gremio1-0
10 May 2025Gremio v RB Bragantino1-1
15 Sep 2024RB Bragantino v Gremio2-2
01 Jun 2024Gremio v RB Bragantino0-2
15 Sep 2023RB Bragantino v Gremio2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Gremio to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

RB Bragantino26
Played
Gremio27
RB Bragantino1.2
Avg goals for
Gremio1.1
RB Bragantino1.1
Avg goals against
Gremio1.4
RB Bragantino8
Clean sheets
Gremio5
Best odds for this sectionRB Bragantino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Gremio to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Gremio Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season data supports RB Bragantino Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9RB Bragantino3626106103
16Gremio28277713-8
RB Bragantino sit in position 9, while Gremio sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
80%Gremio Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: RB Bragantino sit at 20% and Gremio sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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