Atlas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Liga MX | Sun 20 Sep, 00:00

Atlas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atlas face U.N.A.M. - Pumas in Liga MX on Sun 20 Sep, 00:00. Atlas come in with 7 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 5 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Atlas to Win

At 2.45, Atlas to Win implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
Atlas have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for U.N.A.M.
- Pumas have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Atlas to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Atlas to Win sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. Atlas have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for U.N.A.M.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 41% implied

Positive

Atlas have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support

Positive

- Pumas have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Atlas Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Atlas have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for U.N.A.M. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Atlas to Win evidence

Atlas have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for U.N.A.M.

- Pumas have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Atlas Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Atlas sit 9 in the table, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Atlas to Win notes

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Atlas4.4

Avg corners for

U.N.A.M. - Pumas6.4

Atlas11.2

Avg total corners

U.N.A.M. - Pumas9.6

Atlas1.6

Avg yellow cards

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.6

Atlas11.8

Avg shots

U.N.A.M. - Pumas15.4

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 58% · edge +7.6 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price

Check odds @ 2

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atlas1.6

Avg goals scored

U.N.A.M. - Pumas0.8

Atlas2

Avg goals conceded

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.4

Atlas80%

BTTS rate

U.N.A.M. - Pumas40%

Atlas60%

Over 2.5 goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas40%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%

Check odds @ 2

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAtlas to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 41% · edge +13.6 pts

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Atlas Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Atlas to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atlas

LDLWW

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 1D 3L

13 Sep 2026A Toluca2-5

06 Sep 2026H Atlante FC1-1

30 Aug 2026H Club Queretaro1-3

23 Aug 2026A Cruz Azul2-0

16 Aug 2026H Tigres UANL2-1

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

LWLDD

Last 51W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 2D 3L

14 Sep 2026A Guadalajara Chivas0-3

11 Sep 2026H Leon3-1

29 Aug 2026A Club Tijuana0-2

24 Aug 2026H Necaxa1-1

16 Aug 2026H Club Queretaro0-0

Market aligned with main pickAtlas to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 41% · edge +13.6 pts

2.45

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Atlas Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Atlas wins

6Draws

3U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins

08 Feb 2026Atlas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-2

31 Aug 2025U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Atlas1-0

26 Jan 2025U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Atlas0-0

25 Aug 2024Atlas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-1

15 Feb 2024Atlas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas0-0

05 Nov 2023U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Atlas3-0

Market aligned with main pickAtlas to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 41% · edge +13.6 pts

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

The head-to-head sample gives context for Atlas to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

Liga MX

Atlas8

Played

U.N.A.M. - Pumas8

Atlas1.5

Avg goals for

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.4

Atlas1.8

Avg goals against

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.5

Atlas2

Clean sheets

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1

Market aligned with main pickAtlas to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 41% · edge +13.6 pts

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

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Atlas Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Season data supports Atlas to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9	Atlas	13	8	4	1	3	-2
11	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	11	8	3	2	3	-1

Atlas sit in position 9, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Atlas to Win assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Atlas Over 2.5

40%U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 2.5

1.6H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Atlas sit at 60% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Atlas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas Stats

Match Report

Atlas to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Atlas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

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Football Stats Hub

Atlas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas Stats

Match Report

Atlas to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Atlas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

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