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Preston crestPreston
v
Lincoln crestLincoln

Championship | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

Preston v Lincoln Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Preston North End host Lincoln City at Deepdale in a Championship clash marked by contrasting trajectories. Preston, bottom of the table, have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in 23 competitive matches, yet maintain a consistent attacking threat led by Callum Lang. Lincoln arrive unbeaten in their last three league games, showcasing defensive resilience despite limited possession and scoring. This tactical contrast sets up a fixture where both sides have clear routes to goal, with Preston's defensive vulnerabilities and Lincoln's efficient low-possession attacking style shaping the contest's dynamic.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Preston have scored in five of six league games but have a 23-match clean-sheet drought.
  • Lincoln are unbeaten in three league matches, conceding only once in that span.
  • Preston average 12.7 shots per game, while Lincoln average 12.6 attempts with 34.4% possession.
  • Both teams have recent BTTS rates of 80% (Preston) and 60% (Lincoln).

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Preston's persistent defensive frailty, having conceded 12 goals in six league matches and no clean sheets since February. Lincoln's recent defensive solidity contrasts with their low possession but efficient chance conversion, making goals at both ends likely. The model assigns a 76% chance to BTTS, reflecting strong bolstered by attacking volumes and defensive vulnerabilities. Data quality is solid, with no limitations noted, reinforcing the reliability of this selection.

Preston Defensive Record23 consecutive matches without a clean sheet
Strong positive
Lincoln Defensive SolidityOnly 1 goal conceded in last 3 league matches
Positive
Attacking VolumePreston 12.7 shots/game, Lincoln 12.6 shots/game
Positive
BTTS Recent RatesPreston 80%, Lincoln 60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Both Teams to Score selection fits the tactical and form narrative, with Preston's attacking consistency offset by defensive lapses and Lincoln's efficient low-possession offense. This balance suggests goals at both ends, making BTTS a logical pick supported by recent performances and player contributions.

Main risk

Preston have found ways to score, but almost none to shut opponents out.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Preston's inability to keep clean sheets combined with Lincoln's knack for converting limited chances creates a compelling case for both teams finding the net in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Lincoln are unbeaten in three league matches, conceding only once in that span.

Preston average 12.7 shots per game, while Lincoln average 12.6 attempts with 34.4% possession.

Both teams have recent BTTS rates of 80% (Preston) and 60% (Lincoln).

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends over the last five matches show Preston have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals games, while Lincoln's rate is 40%.
  • The single previous meeting averaged only 1 goal, but current attacking and defensive patterns suggest a higher tempo and more goal-scoring opportunities, indicating potential for a lively, goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Preston1
Avg goals scored
Lincoln0.8
Preston2
Avg goals conceded
Lincoln1.2
Preston80%
BTTS rate
Lincoln60%
Preston80%
Over 2.5 goals
Lincoln40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Preston's frequent scoring yet defensive fragility, combined with Lincoln's recent defensive improvement and modest scoring, create a scenario where goals at both ends are probable. The teams' recent BTTS rates and goal averages align with this expectation, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Lincoln to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Lincoln Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Preston Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at around 1.67 with an implied chance of 60%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. The price reflects bookmaker caution given Preston's poor form, but the football context supports BTTS as a strong selection without price sensitivity.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Preston4.2
Avg corners for
Lincoln4.8
Preston9.4
Avg total corners
Lincoln11.8
Preston2.6
Avg yellow cards
Lincoln2.4
Preston13.8
Avg shots
Lincoln14
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +10.6 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams generate similar shot volumes, with Preston averaging 13.8 shots and Lincoln 14 per game, indicating active attacking play. Corner counts are balanced, and disciplinary records show moderate card averages, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment conducive to sustained pressure and goal attempts.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Preston

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 5L
08 Sep 2026A Watford1-2
05 Sep 2026H Blackburn2-1
01 Sep 2026H Bristol City1-3
29 Aug 2026A Charlton0-1
22 Aug 2026H Wolves1-3

Lincoln

DDWLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
05 Sep 2026H Southampton1-1
01 Sep 2026H Blackburn0-0
29 Aug 2026A Bolton1-0
22 Aug 2026H Portsmouth1-3
15 Aug 2026A Middlesbrough1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 79% vs implied 64% · edge +14.8 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Lincoln to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Lincoln Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Preston Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Preston to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Preston have scored in five of six league matches but conceded heavily, reflecting their defensive struggles. Lincoln's unbeaten three-match run with only one goal conceded shows improved defensive organization. These contrasting recent forms underpin the expectation of goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Preston wins
0Draws
1Lincoln wins
12 Jul 2024Preston v Lincoln0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Lincoln to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Preston to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The head-to-head sample is limited to one match with an average of one goal scored, offering minimal direct support for BTTS. However, current form and tactical setups provide stronger evidence for both teams scoring, making the historical data less relevant in this context.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Preston6
Played
Lincoln5
Preston1
Avg goals for
Lincoln0.8
Preston2
Avg goals against
Lincoln1.2
Preston0
Clean sheets
Lincoln2
Best odds for this sectionLincoln to WinBetUK guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Lincoln Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Preston Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Preston to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season-long data shows Preston's attack is productive but undermined by a porous defense with no clean sheets in 23 games. Lincoln's defensive numbers have improved recently, but their low scoring rate and possession suggest reliance on efficient finishing. This balance supports a match with goals from both sides rather than a shutout.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
19Lincoln55122-2
24Preston36105-6
Preston sit bottom of the Championship with just three points, while Lincoln are slightly higher with five points. The table positions reflect Preston's struggles and Lincoln's steadier form, adding pressure on Preston to attack and Lincoln to capitalize on defensive solidity, shaping a contest likely to feature goals from both teams.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Preston Over 2.5
40%Lincoln Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last five matches show Preston have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals games, while Lincoln's rate is 40%. The single previous meeting averaged only 1 goal, but current attacking and defensive patterns suggest a higher tempo and more goal-scoring opportunities, indicating potential for a lively, goal-rich encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Preston v Lincoln prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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