Real Madrid
AlavesLa Liga | Sun 29 Nov, 16:00
Real Madrid v Alaves Stats
Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 11:02 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Real Madrid face Alaves in La Liga on Sun 29 Nov, 16:00. Real Madrid have won 13 of their 16 home fixtures, scoring freely with 65 league goals. Real Madrid's dominance at the Bernabéu, with 13 wins from 16 home matches, makes them overwhelming favorites in the 1X2 market against Alavés.
Real Madrid Win
- At 13/2, Real Madrid Win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
- Alavés have conceded three goals recently against Sociedad and struggle against elite attackers.
- Real Madrid have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves.
- Real Madrid have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Real Madrid Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Real Madrid sit 3 in the table, while Alaves sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 28% for Real Madrid Win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Real Madrid have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves. Alavés have conceded three goals recently against Sociedad and struggle against elite attackers.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Real Madrid Win is the preferred angle because alavés have conceded three goals recently against Sociedad and struggle against elite attackers. Real Madrid have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves. For Alavés, the risk is obvious and severe.
For Alavés, the risk is obvious and severe.
Key Data Signals
Real Madrid Win evidence
Alavés have conceded three goals recently against Sociedad and struggle against elite attackers.
Real Madrid have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves.
Real Madrid have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Real Madrid Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Real Madrid sit 3 in the table, while Alaves sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Real Madrid Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Real Madrid
Alaves
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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