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Portland Timbers crestPortland Timbers
v
Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders

Major League Soccer | Sun 02 Aug, 03:45

Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders Stats

Data last updated: Sat 01 Aug 2026, 06:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Portland Timbers host Seattle Sounders in a Major League Soccer clash where recent form and attacking intent set the tone. Portland has collected 7 points from their last matches, showing sharper offensive output and more control in games. Seattle, struggling to find the net with just 0.4 goals per game recently, face a Timbers side that averages nearly 18 shots per match and presses high. This fixture pits Portland's attacking against Seattle's defensive vulnerabilities, with both teams eager to climb the standings and gain momentum in a competitive Western Conference.

BT4Y best bet

Portland Timbers to Win

  • Portland Timbers have earned 7 points recently, while Seattle Sounders have none in their last outings.
  • Timbers average 17.8 shots per game with 6.2 on target, nearly double Seattle's 10.4 shots and 3.8 on target.
  • Portland's goal scoring rate is significantly higher, with 2 goals per game versus Seattle's 0.4.
  • Portland's corners average 7 per match, indicating sustained pressure and attacking territory.
  • Seattle's defensive record shows 2.4 goals conceded per game, highlighting vulnerability at the back.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Portland Timbers to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and offensive firepower. Portland's high shot volume and goal-scoring rate contrast sharply with Seattle's struggles in attack and defense. The Timbers' ability to create chances and maintain pressure through corners and shots supports this . While the price context shows no warning, the model's strong stems from clear statistical advantages in both attacking output and defensive solidity, making Portland the logical pick for victory.

Recent FormPortland 7 points vs Seattle 0 points
Strong positive
Shots and Shots on TargetPortland 17.8/6.2 vs Seattle 10.4/3.8
Strong positive
Goals Scored per GamePortland 2.0 vs Seattle 0.4
Strong positive
Corners per GamePortland 7.0 vs Seattle 3.4
Positive
Goals Conceded per GamePortland 1.8 vs Seattle 2.4
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Portland Timbers' recent attacking control and sharper form make them the clear choice for victory. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain pressure contrasts with Seattle Sounders' current offensive struggles, suggesting Portland will control the game and secure the win.

Main risk

Portland Timbers carry the stronger scoring threat, but Seattle Sounders must contribute for BTTS to land.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view

“Portland's offensive consistency and territorial control provide a strong foundation for a home win, especially against a Seattle side that has struggled to convert chances and defend effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Portland Timbers to Win evidence

Portland Timbers have earned 7 points recently, while Seattle Sounders have none in their last outings.

Timbers average 17.8 shots per game with 6.2 on target, nearly double Seattle's 10.4 shots and 3.8 on target.

Portland's goal scoring rate is significantly higher, with 2 goals per game versus Seattle's 0.4.

Portland's corners average 7 per match, indicating sustained pressure and attacking territory.

What To Watch In The Data

Portland Timbers to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, suggesting moderately open games.
  • Portland's recent matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style likely to continue.
  • This trend supports expectations of multiple goals and an active offensive encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Portland Timbers7.2
Avg corners for
Seattle Sounders3.4
Portland Timbers12
Avg total corners
Seattle Sounders8.6
Portland Timbers1.6
Avg yellow cards
Seattle Sounders1.2
Portland Timbers17.8
Avg shots
Seattle Sounders10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.8
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Portland averages 7 corners per game compared to Seattle's 3.4, showing sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Shots and shots on target also favor Portland heavily, indicating more frequent and quality attempts. Card counts are similar, with slightly higher yellows for Portland, reflecting a competitive but controlled match environment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Portland Timbers2
Avg goals scored
Seattle Sounders0.4
Portland Timbers1.8
Avg goals conceded
Seattle Sounders2.4
Portland Timbers80%
BTTS rate
Seattle Sounders40%
Portland Timbers80%
Over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.6
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.12
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Portland's matches have a high over 2.5 goals rate at 80%, with both teams to score also at 80%, indicating open games with scoring from both sides. Seattle's lower rates (40% each) reflect their scoring struggles. This suggests a likely high-scoring game favoring Portland's attacking strengths, but Seattle's defensive frailty may also contribute to goals conceded.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPortland Timbers to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
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Portland Timbers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The market for Portland Timbers to win reflects their strong recent form and attacking superiority. Although no explicit are provided, the model's 74% indicates this is a sensible selection with solid backing from performance data. The price is not flagged as short, suggesting a balanced market view aligned with the football read.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Portland Timbers

WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
26 Jul 2026H Real Salt Lake2-1
23 Jul 2026H FC Dallas2-2
17 Jul 2026A Seattle Sounders5-1
24 May 2026H San Jose Earthquakes1-3
17 May 2026A Inter Miami0-2

Seattle Sounders

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
26 Jul 2026A Philadelphia Union0-1
23 Jul 2026A Austin1-3
17 Jul 2026H Portland Timbers1-5
25 May 2026A Los Angeles FC0-1
17 May 2026H Los Angeles Galaxy0-2
Market aligned with main pickPortland Timbers to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Portland Timbers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Portland Timbers have accumulated 7 points recently, showcasing improved attacking output with 2 goals per game, while Seattle Sounders have failed to gain points and average only 0.4 goals. Portland's defensive record is better, conceding fewer goals per game, which supports their momentum and heading into this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Portland Timbers wins
4Draws
2Seattle Sounders wins
17 Jul 2026Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers1-5
05 Oct 2025Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers1-0
18 May 2025Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders1-1
20 Oct 2024Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers1-1
01 Sep 2024Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders1-0
12 May 2024Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders1-2
Market aligned with main pickPortland Timbers to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The 10 previous meetings between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders have averaged 2.7 goals per game, showing a history of relatively open contests. While the sample size is moderate, it suggests both teams have the capacity to score, but recent form heavily favors Portland's attacking efficiency and defensive solidity, making them the stronger side in this matchup.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers17
Played
Seattle Sounders16
Portland Timbers1.8
Avg goals for
Seattle Sounders1.2
Portland Timbers1.9
Avg goals against
Seattle Sounders1.3
Portland Timbers1
Clean sheets
Seattle Sounders5
Market aligned with main pickPortland Timbers to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Portland Timbers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over the season, Portland Timbers maintain a strong attacking profile with high shot volumes and goal scoring, complemented by a moderate defensive record conceding 1.8 goals per game. Seattle Sounders show weaker offensive stats and a higher goals-against average of 2.4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Portland can exploit.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Seattle Sounders2416736-1
10Portland Timbers2117638-1
Portland Timbers sit 10th with 21 points, while Seattle Sounders are 8th with 24 points, reflecting a close but competitive league position. The match carries significance for both teams aiming to improve standings, with Portland eager to close the gap and capitalize on home advantage against a struggling Seattle side.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Portland Timbers Over 2.5
40%Seattle Sounders Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, suggesting moderately open games. Portland's recent matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style likely to continue. This trend supports expectations of multiple goals and an active offensive encounter.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.