Chicago Fire
New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Sun 13 Sep, 22:30
Chicago Fire v New England Revolution Stats
Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:08 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Chicago Fire and New England Revolution meet in a pivotal Major League Soccer clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Chicago Fire, ranked fourth, and New England Revolution, third, are separated by just one point, adding competitive edge to this fixture. Both teams have shown offensive prowess recently, with Chicago Fire scoring 2 goals in their last matches and New England Revolution matching that output while maintaining a tighter defense. This encounter promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities as both sides push for crucial points in a tightly contested league.
Over 3.5 Goals
- Chicago Fire have a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season, showing frequent high-scoring games.
- New England Revolution exceed this with an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals matches, indicating strong attacking performances.
- Head-to-head meetings average 3.2 goals per game, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals.
- Both teams average double-digit shots per game, with New England Revolution averaging 16.8 shots and Chicago Fire 12.4, highlighting offensive pressure.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 53.9% chance, supported by both teams' attacking statistics and recent form. New England Revolution's high shots on target (7.4) and Chicago Fire's consistent goal threat underpin this expectation. The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals further reinforces the potential for a high-scoring match. No price warnings apply, and the offer positive value with a 6.3% edge, making this a solid selection based on offensive dynamics and match tempo.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect an open and attacking contest between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution, with both sides possessing the firepower to push the goal tally beyond three. The recent scoring form and offensive statistics suggest a lively game where defenses may be tested repeatedly, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics and goal potential
“This fixture features two teams with aggressive attacking styles and high shot volumes, setting the stage for a goal-rich encounter. The statistical trends and player roles indicate that defenses will be under constant pressure, favoring a high-scoring outcome.”
Key Data Signals
Over 3.5 Goals evidence
Chicago Fire have a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season, showing frequent high-scoring games.
New England Revolution exceed this with an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals matches, indicating strong attacking performances.
Head-to-head meetings average 3.2 goals per game, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals.
Both teams average double-digit shots per game, with New England Revolution averaging 16.8 shots and Chicago Fire 12.4, highlighting offensive pressure.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 3.5 Goals notes
- Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3.2, indicating a trend towards open, attacking matches.
- This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a tempo favoring multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of surpassing the 2.5 goals threshold in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Load more odds for this section
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Load more odds for this section
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Chicago Fire
New England Revolution
Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
Load more odds for this section
Season team stats
Major League Soccer
Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England Revolution | 40 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 39 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
