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Poland crestPoland
v
Ukraine crestUkraine

Friendlies | Sun 31 May, 16:30

Poland v Ukraine Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 16:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Poland face Ukraine in Friendlies on Sun 31 May, 16:30. Poland enters the fixture as the priced favourite under Jan Urban, while Ukraine looks to begin a new era.

BT4Y lean · price warning

S to score a minimum of one goal during regulation time

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 54%, above the 33% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 20/23, S to score a minimum of one goal during regulation time implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • ⚔️ Pick 1: Both Teams To Score - Yes
Price warning

S to score a minimum of one goal during regulation time is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 54% while the model sits nearer 33% (-20.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Ukraine Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.38.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 33% for S to score a minimum of one goal during regulation time sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. ⚔️ Pick 1: Both Teams To Score - Yes

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Negative
⚔️ Pick 1: Both Teams To Score - YesArticle support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -20.2 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because ⚔️ Pick 1: Both Teams To Score - Yes At 37, he still commands attention whenever he steps onto the pitch, but Poland know they cannot rely on him forever.

Main risk

At 37, he still commands attention whenever he steps onto the pitch, but Poland know they cannot rely on him forever.

Key Data Signals

S to score a minimum of one goal during regulation time evidence

⚔️ Pick 1: Both Teams To Score - Yes

What To Watch In The Data

S to score a minimum of one goal during regulation time notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Poland-
Avg goals scored
Ukraine1
Poland-
Avg goals conceded
Ukraine0
Poland-
BTTS rate
Ukraine0%
Poland-
Over 2.5 goals
Ukraine0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 33% vs implied 55% · edge -21.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 33% vs implied 55% · edge -21.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Ukraine Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Ukraine to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Poland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Poland

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Poland yet.

Ukraine

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
31 Mar 2026H Albania1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.64
Check odds @ 1.64
Load more odds for this section
Ukraine Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Ukraine to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Poland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Poland to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2
Check odds @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Poland wins
0Draws
0Ukraine wins
07 Jun 2024Poland v Ukraine3-1
11 Nov 2020Poland v Ukraine2-0
21 Jun 2016Ukraine v Poland0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 33% vs implied 55% · edge -21.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Ukraine to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Poland to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Poland2
Played
Ukraine3
Poland1
Avg goals for
Ukraine1.3
Poland2
Avg goals against
Ukraine0.7
Poland0
Clean sheets
Ukraine2
Best odds for this sectionUkraine Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Ukraine to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Poland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Poland to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2
Check odds @ 2
Season data supports Ukraine Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Poland Over 2.5
0%Ukraine Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
⚔️ Pick 1: Both Teams To Score - Yes

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Poland v Ukraine prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre