Plzen

Union St. Gilloise

UEFA Europa League | Thu 17 Sep, 20:00

Plzen v Union St. Gilloise Stats

Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa League clash features Plzen hosting Union St. Gilloise in a fixture poised for open play and attacking intent. Plzen have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring matches recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game and boasting a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals. Gilloise, while lacking extensive recent data, bring attacking threats led by key players known for high shot volumes. The match promises tactical openness with both sides likely to seek early control and goal-scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a potentially goal-rich encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Plzen have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
Plzen average 2.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game recently.
Hurtevent from Union St. Gilloise averages 7.5 shots and 5 shots on target per 90 minutes.
Plzen average 3.5 corners and 2.5 yellow cards per game, indicating active attacking and physical play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating strong value. Plzen's recent matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, supported by their attacking output and defensive concessions. Gilloise's attacking players, especially I. Hurtevent, contribute high shot volumes, suggesting goal opportunities from both sides. The combination of offensive pressure, shot frequency, and historical scoring patterns underpins the in a high-scoring game. No price warnings apply, allowing for standard stake .

Plzen Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches

Strong positive

Model Probability78% chance of Over 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

I. Hurtevent Shots7.5 shots and 5 SOT per 90

Positive

Market Implied Chance55.6%

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open match with both teams pushing forward, especially Plzen who have shown consistent goal-scoring form. The attacking threat from Union St. Gilloise’s key players adds to the likelihood of multiple goals. This combination of offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities makes Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“Plzen’s aggressive attacking style combined with Union St. Gilloise’s active shot creation sets the stage for a high-scoring game. The data clearly points to a match where goals are likely to flow from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Plzen have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Plzen average 2.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game recently.

Hurtevent from Union St. Gilloise averages 7.5 shots and 5 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Plzen average 3.5 corners and 2.5 yellow cards per game, indicating active attacking and physical play.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Recent match trends show Plzen’s last five games all exceeding 2.5 goals, highlighting a consistent pattern of open, high-tempo play.
The absence of head-to-head history means current attacking and defensive form is more relevant.
The tempo and shot volume from both teams suggest this fixture will continue the trend of multiple goals.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Plzen

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

27 Aug 2026H FK Crvena Zvezda5-1

20 Aug 2026A FK Crvena Zvezda0-3

Union St. Gilloise

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Union St. Gilloise yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 67% · edge -1.8 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Plzen to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Plzen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Union St. Gilloise Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Plzen’s recent form strongly favors Over 2.5 Goals, with all recent matches surpassing this threshold and an average of 2.5 goals scored per game. Gilloise’s limited recent data is less conclusive but their attacking player stats suggest potential to add to the goal count. Overall, recent form data supports an expectation of a high-scoring encounter.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
35	Union St. Gilloise	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Plzen	0	0	0	0	0	0

Both teams are positioned closely in the UEFA Europa League rankings, with Plzen at 36th and Union St. Gilloise at 35th, reflecting similar competitive levels. While standings offer limited direct insight into goal expectations, the proximity suggests a balanced contest where both sides will seek to assert themselves offensively to gain advantage.

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more UEFA Europa League analysis football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Plzen2.5

Avg goals scored

Union St. Gilloise-

Plzen2

Avg goals conceded

Union St. Gilloise-

Plzen50%

BTTS rate

Union St. Gilloise-

Plzen100%

Over 2.5 goals

Union St. Gilloise-

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%

Check odds @ 3

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 2

Plzen’s recent matches have consistently featured high goal totals, with a 100% Over 2.5 rate and 50% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges. Gilloise’s attacking players generate numerous shots, suggesting they can contribute to the goal tally. This combination points to a game likely to see multiple goals and potential scoring from both sides.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Plzen to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Plzen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Union St. Gilloise Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 1.8, reflecting a 55.6% implied chance. The model’s 78% probability suggests a significant , making this a positive-value bet. The pricing aligns well with the football context of attacking teams and recent goal trends, supporting a confident stance on this market.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Plzen wins

0Draws

0Union St. Gilloise wins

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Plzen to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

No previous meetings exist between Plzen and Union St. Gilloise, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. The focus should remain on current form, player attacking metrics, and tactical approaches to assess goal potential rather than historical matchups.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Plzen3.5

Avg corners for

Union St. Gilloise-

Plzen5.5

Avg total corners

Union St. Gilloise-

Plzen2.5

Avg yellow cards

Union St. Gilloise-

Plzen0

Avg shots

Union St. Gilloise-

Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 52% · edge +11.1 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Plzen averages 3.5 corners and 2.5 yellow cards per match, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and physical engagement. The shot data for Plzen shows 8 shots on target per game, indicating quality chances created. These factors suggest an open game with active territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, conducive to goal-scoring chances.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Plzen2

Played

Union St. Gilloise0

Plzen2.5

Avg goals for

Union St. Gilloise0

Plzen2

Avg goals against

Union St. Gilloise0

Plzen0

Clean sheets

Union St. Gilloise0

Best odds for this sectionPlzen to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 38% · edge -0.2 pts

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

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Plzen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.55

Check odds @ 2.55

Union St. Gilloise Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Plzen’s season statistics reveal a potent attack averaging 2.5 goals per game and a defense conceding 2 goals per match, indicating open games with multiple goals. Gilloise’s player-level attacking stats show high shot volumes, suggesting offensive intent. These season-long trends reinforce the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Plzen Over 2.5

-Union St. Gilloise Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Recent match trends show Plzen’s last five games all exceeding 2.5 goals, highlighting a consistent pattern of open, high-tempo play. The absence of head-to-head history means current attacking and defensive form is more relevant. The tempo and shot volume from both teams suggest this fixture will continue the trend of multiple goals.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Plzen v Union St. Gilloise Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Plzen

Union St. Gilloise

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Football Stats Hub

Plzen v Union St. Gilloise Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Plzen

Union St. Gilloise

Continue the research

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