Football Stats Hub

Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
v
Celje crestCelje

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Bayer Leverkusen v Celje Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bayer Leverkusen open their Europa League campaign at the BayArena against Celje, a side facing instability after the recent departure of their manager. Leverkusen have demonstrated potent attacking form, scoring 12 goals in four competitive matches this season and generating a Bundesliga-high 30 shots in a single game. Celje arrive on the back of four defeats in five matches domestically but have maintained a consistent scoring record in European qualifiers, netting in all six games. This clash presents a tactical contrast between Leverkusen's high shot volume and Celje's defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for an open contest with both teams likely to find the net.

BT4Y match pick

Bayer Leverkusen to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Leverkusen scored 12 goals in four matches, showing strong attacking consistency.
  • Celje scored in all six Champions League qualifiers despite recent domestic struggles.
  • Leverkusen produced 30 shots in a Bundesliga game, highlighting offensive pressure.
  • Celje conceded 11 goals in eight domestic matches, indicating defensive weaknesses.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model recognizes Bayer Leverkusen's strong attacking output and Celje's consistent scoring in European qualifiers as key factors supporting a home win with both teams scoring. However, the current imply a higher chance than the model estimates, making this a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet. Reduced staking or waiting for better is advised. The absence of limited data concerns strengthens in the statistical signals.

Leverkusen's attacking form12 goals in 4 matches
Strong positive
Celje's European scoring consistencyscored in all 6 qualifiers
Positive
Price vs model chanceImplied chance 43.5% vs model 20.4%
Negative
Data qualityNo limited data issues
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bayer Leverkusen's dynamic attack and home advantage make them strong favorites to win, while Celje's ability to score in European matches suggests they will find the net despite defensive issues. This combination of offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities supports a bet on Leverkusen to win with both teams scoring.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome and scoring

“Leverkusen's relentless shot creation meets Celje's fragile defense, making a home win with both teams scoring a compelling tactical and statistical proposition in this Europa League opener.”

Key Data Signals

Bayer Leverkusen to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Leverkusen scored 12 goals in four matches, showing strong attacking consistency.

Celje scored in all six Champions League qualifiers despite recent domestic struggles.

Leverkusen produced 30 shots in a Bundesliga game, highlighting offensive pressure.

Celje conceded 11 goals in eight domestic matches, indicating defensive weaknesses.

What To Watch In The Data

Bayer Leverkusen to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends show Leverkusen averaging three goals per game this season and Celje conceding over one goal per domestic match, with Celje scoring consistently in European qualifiers.
  • This combination points to a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, driven by Leverkusen's attacking tempo and Celje's defensive gaps.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Celje000000
18Bayer Leverkusen000000
While Bayer Leverkusen's current league position is low, their strong home form and attacking statistics mitigate concerns. Celje sit mid-table in their domestic league but face instability after managerial changes, suggesting limited impact from standings on this Europa League fixture's outcome.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Europa League analysisfull betting preview for Bayer Leverkusen v Celjeplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bayer Leverkusen

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bayer Leverkusen yet.

Celje

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Celje yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 98% · edge -12 pts
1.02
Check odds @ 1.02
Load more odds for this section
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Leverkusen's recent form shows potent attacking output but some defensive lapses, as seen in conceding goals despite high shot counts. Celje have struggled domestically with four losses in five matches but maintain scoring consistency in European qualifiers, indicating a potential for goals despite poor results.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 90% · edge -10.2 pts
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Load more odds for this section
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The current for Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score are shorter than the model's estimated probability, indicating a price-sensitive market. While the football read remains strong due to Leverkusen's attacking control and Celje's scoring record, the high implied chance suggests caution and reduced stake until improve or further team news emerges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bayer Leverkusen-
Avg goals scored
Celje-
Bayer Leverkusen-
Avg goals conceded
Celje-
Bayer Leverkusen-
BTTS rate
Celje-
Bayer Leverkusen-
Over 2.5 goals
Celje-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Leverkusen have scored at least two goals in every competitive match this season, totaling 12 goals in four games, while Celje have scored in all six of their Champions League qualifiers despite defensive struggles. This attacking consistency on both sides supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bayer Leverkusen wins
0Draws
0Celje wins
Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 90% · edge -10.2 pts
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Bayer Leverkusen and Celje, so historical data offers limited insight. The focus remains on current form, tactical matchups, and recent team performances to assess the likely outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen0
Played
Celje0
Bayer Leverkusen0
Avg goals for
Celje0
Bayer Leverkusen0
Avg goals against
Celje0
Bayer Leverkusen0
Clean sheets
Celje0
Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 90% · edge -10.2 pts
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Load more odds for this section
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Leverkusen's season stats reveal a high-scoring team with consistent goal production, while Celje's defensive record includes 11 goals conceded in eight league games, highlighting vulnerabilities. Celje's ability to score in European competition contrasts with their domestic defensive struggles, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
-Celje Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Leverkusen averaging three goals per game this season and Celje conceding over one goal per domestic match, with Celje scoring consistently in European qualifiers. This combination points to a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, driven by Leverkusen's attacking tempo and Celje's defensive gaps.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Bayer Leverkusen v Celje prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Omonia Nicosia v Celta VigoUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 17:45Ararat-Armenia v Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 17:45AC Milan v BenficaUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 20:00Olympiakos Piraeus v JagielloniaUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 20:00

Competition and hubs

UEFA Europa League hubmore UEFA Europa League analysisfull betting preview for Bayer Leverkusen v Celjeplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre