Football Stats Hub

Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
v
Celje crestCelje

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Bayer Leverkusen v Celje Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 17:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bayer Leverkusen face Celje in UEFA Europa League on Wed 16 Sep, 20:00. Celje have lost four of their last five matches, while conceding 11 goals across their opening eight domestic league games. Leverkusen’s home form and shot volume suggest they will outscore Celje, making a home win with both teams scoring a strong pick.

BT4Y best bet

Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score

  • Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score is rated around 42% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Celje’s European scoring record despite defensive issues supports them scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score around 42% on the latest available numbers. Celje’s European scoring record despite defensive issues supports them scoring.

Celje’s European scoring record despite defensive issues supports them.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bayer Leverkusen Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because celje’s European scoring record despite defensive issues supports them scoring. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score evidence

Celje’s European scoring record despite defensive issues supports them scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Bayer Leverkusen to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bayer Leverkusen

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bayer Leverkusen yet.

Celje

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Celje yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 98% · edge -12 pts
1.02
Check odds @ 1.02
Load more odds for this section
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 90% · edge -10.2 pts
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Load more odds for this section
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Bayer Leverkusen to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bayer Leverkusen-
Avg goals scored
Celje-
Bayer Leverkusen-
Avg goals conceded
Celje-
Bayer Leverkusen-
BTTS rate
Celje-
Bayer Leverkusen-
Over 2.5 goals
Celje-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
-Celje Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Celje’s European scoring record despite defensive issues supports them scoring.

Loading deeper match data…