Football Stats Hub

AC Milan crestAC Milan
v
Benfica crestBenfica

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

AC Milan v Benfica Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 14:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AC Milan face Benfica in UEFA Europa League on Wed 16 Sep, 20:00. Pavlidis has scored 14 goals in 11 appearances this season, including six during Benfica’s Europa League qualifying campaign. AC Milan vs Benfica: Pavlidis Threat Tests Amorim’s Unbeaten Start.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/15, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +10.8 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Those outcomes demonstrate staying power, but conceding three times across two matches is significant before facing an attack in its strongest spell of the season.

Main risk

Those outcomes demonstrate staying power, but conceding three times across two matches is significant before facing an attack in its strongest spell of the season.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AC Milan

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for AC Milan yet.

Benfica

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 1L
27 Aug 2026A Aarhus3-1
20 Aug 2026H Aarhus3-1
13 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian1-1
06 Aug 2026H Heart Of Midlothian6-1
30 Jul 2026H FC ST. Gallen5-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 77% · edge -7.5 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
AC Milan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Benfica to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
AC Milan to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Benfica Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AC Milan-
Avg goals scored
Benfica3.6
AC Milan-
Avg goals conceded
Benfica0.8
AC Milan-
BTTS rate
Benfica80%
AC Milan-
Over 2.5 goals
Benfica80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubrelated match predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
AC Milan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Benfica to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
AC Milan to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Benfica Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-AC Milan Over 2.5
80%Benfica Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Loading deeper match data…