Plzen

FK Crvena Zvezda

UEFA Europa League | Thu 27 Aug, 18:00

Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Plzen host FK Crvena Zvezda in a UEFA Europa League clash where attacking intent and goal-scoring prowess are expected to shape the contest. FK Crvena Zvezda arrives off a strong recent win, while Plzen look to bounce back after a defeat, setting up a dynamic encounter. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with Plzen's home advantage and FK Crvena Zvezda's sharp midfield creativity promising an open game with multiple goal opportunities. Tactical setups suggest an emphasis on forward momentum and exploiting defensive gaps, making goal-scoring a key feature of this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda scored 3 goals and kept a clean sheet in their last game.
Plzen have conceded 3 goals recently and have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate.
Midfielders like D. Katai from FK Crvena Zvezda show high shot volume and goal threat.
The only recent head-to-head match featured 3 goals, supporting a high-scoring outlook.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, well above the implied 61.7% from current , indicating positive value. Both teams have consistently participated in high-scoring games recently, with Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda each showing a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in their latest matches. Key attacking players such as D. Katai contribute significant shot volume and goal threat, reinforcing the expectation of multiple goals. The recent head-to-head match also featured three goals, aligning with the model's in a goal-rich encounter. No data limitations affect the assessment, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model chance78% chance of Over 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

Recent Over 2.5 Goals rate100% for both teams

Strong positive

Key player attacking statsHigh shots and goal threat from FK Crvena Zvezda midfielders

Strong positive

Recent head-to-head goals3 goals in last meeting

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as both Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda have shown strong offensive form recently. The midfield creativity and finishing ability of FK Crvena Zvezda, combined with Plzen's home motivation, suggest multiple goals are likely. This match should provide plenty of goal-scoring opportunities and an entertaining contest.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking threat and defensive openness

“The attacking profiles of FK Crvena Zvezda’s key midfielders and Plzen’s recent defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a high-scoring game in this Europa League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Plzen have conceded 3 goals recently and have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate.

Midfielders like D. Katai from FK Crvena Zvezda show high shot volume and goal threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

The Over 2.5 Goals trend over recent matches and the sole head-to-head meeting shows a consistent pattern of three or more goals.
This sample suggests a tempo favoring open play and attacking transitions, with both teams capable of exploiting defensive gaps.
The trend supports a match scenario where goal opportunities arise frequently, increasing the likelihood of surpassing the 2.5 goal threshold.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Plzen0

Avg goals scored

FK Crvena Zvezda3

Plzen3

Avg goals conceded

FK Crvena Zvezda0

Plzen0%

BTTS rate

FK Crvena Zvezda0%

Plzen100%

Over 2.5 goals

FK Crvena Zvezda100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 59%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Both teams have demonstrated a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, with recent games featuring multiple goals but no Both Teams To Score outcomes, indicating one-sided scoring bursts. FK Crvena Zvezda’s midfielders generate numerous shots on target, while Plzen’s defense has conceded multiple goals recently, supporting a route to Over 2.5 Goals through dominant attacking phases rather than balanced scoring.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Plzen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Plzen to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.62, reflecting an implied chance of 61.7%, which is notably lower than the model's 78% probability. This discrepancy indicates positive value in backing Over 2.5 Goals. The pricing suggests the market may be underestimating the attacking potential and recent scoring trends of both teams, making this a favorable opportunity for bettors.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Plzen2

Avg corners for

FK Crvena Zvezda1

Plzen3

Avg total corners

FK Crvena Zvezda3

Plzen4

Avg yellow cards

FK Crvena Zvezda2

Plzen0

Avg shots

FK Crvena Zvezda0

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 29% vs implied 55% · edge -25.6 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

The match is likely to feature moderate corner counts, with Plzen averaging 2 corners and FK Crvena Zvezda 1 per game recently. Shot volumes are higher for FK Crvena Zvezda, especially on target, reflecting sustained attacking pressure. Card counts suggest FK Crvena Zvezda plays with more discipline, while Plzen’s higher fouling rate could lead to set-piece opportunities, contributing to attacking rhythm and shot creation.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Plzen

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

20 Aug 2026A FK Crvena Zvezda0-3

FK Crvena Zvezda

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

20 Aug 2026H Plzen3-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Plzen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Plzen to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Recent form data shows both teams have been involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Plzen conceding 3 goals and FK Crvena Zvezda scoring 3 in their latest outings. This trend highlights offensive efficiency and defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting the continuation of high-scoring games. Both teams’ 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches supports the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Plzen wins

0Draws

1FK Crvena Zvezda wins

20 Aug 2026FK Crvena Zvezda v Plzen3-0

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Load more odds for this section

FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Plzen to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The single recent head-to-head match featured 3 goals, indicating a precedent for a goal-rich encounter between these teams. While the sample is limited, this meeting aligns with the attacking tendencies observed in their recent form, providing a relevant context that supports expectations for multiple goals in the upcoming fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Plzen1

Played

FK Crvena Zvezda1

Plzen0

Avg goals for

FK Crvena Zvezda3

Plzen3

Avg goals against

FK Crvena Zvezda0

Plzen0

Clean sheets

FK Crvena Zvezda1

Best odds for this sectionFK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Load more odds for this section

FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Plzen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Plzen to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Season-long statistics reinforce the high-scoring outlook, with both teams maintaining strong attacking outputs and relatively porous defenses. FK Crvena Zvezda’s midfielders lead in shots and goal contributions, while Plzen’s attackers maintain solid shot volumes despite defensive concessions. These profiles align with a match environment conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting consistent offensive pressure and goal-scoring opportunities.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Plzen Over 2.5

100%FK Crvena Zvezda Over 2.5

3H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 Goals trend over recent matches and the sole head-to-head meeting shows a consistent pattern of three or more goals. This sample suggests a tempo favoring open play and attacking transitions, with both teams capable of exploiting defensive gaps. The trend supports a match scenario where goal opportunities arise frequently, increasing the likelihood of surpassing the 2.5 goal threshold.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Plzen

FK Crvena Zvezda

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Football Stats Hub

Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Plzen

FK Crvena Zvezda

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