Red Bull Salzburg

Mjallby AIF

UEFA Europa League | Thu 27 Aug, 18:00

Red Bull Salzburg v Mjallby AIF Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa League first-leg qualifier sees Red Bull Salzburg visit Mjallby AIF at Strandvallen. Salzburg arrive unbeaten in seven matches, boasting an average of 2.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded over their last six games, reflecting strong attacking form and defensive solidity. Mjallby, despite recent struggles with four losses in six matches, demonstrated scoring ability with a 4-3 win over Sirius, averaging one goal scored and 1.67 conceded in their last six. Salzburg's European away difficulties and squad absences add intrigue, while Mjallby's home scoring threat suggests an open contest with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score

Red Bull Salzburg unbeaten in seven matches, averaging 2.67 goals scored per game.
Mjallby AIF scored 4 goals in recent 4-3 win but concede 1.67 goals per match on average.
Salzburg’s European away form includes six matches without a win, including two 3-0 losses in Sweden.
Both teams have shown scoring ability recently, supporting a BTTS outcome alongside a Salzburg win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model sees a 31.1% chance for Red Bull Salzburg to win with both teams scoring, closely aligned with the implied of 32.3%. Salzburg's strong recent scoring rate contrasts with Mjallby's defensive vulnerabilities, while Mjallby’s capacity to score at home supports the BTTS element. The price is slightly short, suggesting cautious staking. The model is moderate at 48%, reflecting some uncertainty due to Salzburg's European away struggles and squad changes. This combination of attacking strength and defensive openness underpins the bet's appeal.

Salzburg recent scoring2.67 goals per game

Strong positive

Mjallby defensive record1.67 goals conceded per game

Positive

Mjallby home scoringConsistent goal threat at home

Positive

Salzburg European away formWinless in last six away European matches

Neutral

Price sensitivitySlightly short odds, reduce stake

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Red Bull Salzburg’s recent attacking form and unbeaten streak make them strong favorites to win, while Mjallby’s home scoring ability suggests they will find the net. The combination of Salzburg’s firepower and Mjallby’s defensive lapses points to a high-scoring game with Salzburg prevailing. This bet captures the tactical and form dynamics shaping the fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goals

“Salzburg’s potent attack meets a Mjallby defense that concedes regularly, setting the stage for a competitive match with goals at both ends. Despite Salzburg’s European away challenges, their current momentum and Mjallby’s scoring threat justify backing a Salzburg win with both teams scoring.”

Key Data Signals

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Red Bull Salzburg unbeaten in seven matches, averaging 2.67 goals scored per game.

Mjallby AIF scored 4 goals in recent 4-3 win but concede 1.67 goals per match on average.

Salzburg’s European away form includes six matches without a win, including two 3-0 losses in Sweden.

Both teams have shown scoring ability recently, supporting a BTTS outcome alongside a Salzburg win.

What To Watch In The Data

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

In the last six matches, Salzburg’s Over 2.5 Goals rate is 33%, while Mjallby’s is 0%, reflecting Salzburg’s higher scoring tempo.
Historical European away matches show Salzburg’s vulnerability to conceding, with recent 3-3 draws and losses in Sweden, suggesting a match likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Red Bull Salzburg1.67

Avg goals scored

Mjallby AIF0

Red Bull Salzburg1

Avg goals conceded

Mjallby AIF1

Red Bull Salzburg33%

BTTS rate

Mjallby AIF0%

Red Bull Salzburg33%

Over 2.5 goals

Mjallby AIF0%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 60%

1.8

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Both teams have shown recent scoring ability: Salzburg averaging 2.67 goals per game and Mjallby scoring consistently at home despite defensive issues. Mjallby’s 4-3 win and Salzburg’s 3-3 draw away highlight an open game with goals likely at both ends, supporting the BTTS component of the bet.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRed Bull Salzburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

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Red Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.13

Check odds @ 1.13

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

The for Red Bull Salzburg to win and both teams to score are slightly short compared to the model’s 31.1% chance, implying cautious staking. The price reflects Salzburg’s strong form but also accounts for their recent European away struggles and squad absences, making this a watchful value angle rather than a clear-cut value bet.

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Useful next reads

more UEFA Europa League analysis full betting preview for Red Bull Salzburg v Mjallby AIF corners trends hub player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Red Bull Salzburg9.5

Avg corners for

Mjallby AIF2

Red Bull Salzburg10.5

Avg total corners

Mjallby AIF8

Red Bull Salzburg0.5

Avg yellow cards

Mjallby AIF1

Red Bull Salzburg0

Avg shots

Mjallby AIF0

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 58% · edge -18.9 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Salzburg averages 9.5 corners per game compared to Mjallby’s 2, indicating territorial control and attacking pressure. Salzburg’s lower yellow card average (0.5) versus Mjallby’s (1) suggests disciplined play from Salzburg, while Mjallby’s higher fouling may lead to set-piece opportunities, increasing chances for shots and goals.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Red Bull Salzburg

WDW

Last 52W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 0L

20 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF1-0

13 Aug 2026A Pafos3-3

06 Aug 2026H Pafos1-0

Mjallby AIF

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

20 Aug 2026H Red Bull Salzburg0-1

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 97% · edge -11.1 pts

1.03

Check odds @ 1.03

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Red Bull Salzburg to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Red Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.13

Check odds @ 1.13

Salzburg’s unbeaten run of seven matches with an average of 2.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded contrasts with Mjallby’s four losses in six matches despite a recent high-scoring win. Salzburg’s form suggests control and scoring reliability, while Mjallby’s recent results indicate vulnerability but also scoring potential, aligning with the bet’s dual outcome.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Red Bull Salzburg wins

0Draws

0Mjallby AIF wins

20 Aug 2026Mjallby AIF v Red Bull Salzburg0-1

Market aligned with main pickRed Bull Salzburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Only one previous meeting exists with an average of 1 goal per match, offering limited direct historical insight. This thin head-to-head sample means current form and tactical context carry more weight in predicting outcomes for this fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Red Bull Salzburg3

Played

Mjallby AIF1

Red Bull Salzburg1.7

Avg goals for

Mjallby AIF0

Red Bull Salzburg1

Avg goals against

Mjallby AIF1

Red Bull Salzburg2

Clean sheets

Mjallby AIF0

Market aligned with main pickRed Bull Salzburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

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Red Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.13

Check odds @ 1.13

Over the season, Salzburg’s attack has been prolific with 2.67 goals per game, while their defense concedes less than one goal on average. Mjallby’s season stats show a weaker defense conceding 1.67 goals per game but a steady scoring rate at home. This statistical contrast supports Salzburg’s win alongside goals from both sides.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Red Bull Salzburg Over 2.5

0%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5

1H2H avg goals

In the last six matches, Salzburg’s Over 2.5 Goals rate is 33%, while Mjallby’s is 0%, reflecting Salzburg’s higher scoring tempo. Historical European away matches show Salzburg’s vulnerability to conceding, with recent 3-3 draws and losses in Sweden, suggesting a match likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Red Bull Salzburg v Mjallby AIF Stats

Match Report

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Red Bull Salzburg

Mjallby AIF

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Red Bull Salzburg v Mjallby AIF Stats

Match Report

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Red Bull Salzburg

Mjallby AIF

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