Pergolettese

Trento

Serie C - Girone A | Sat 26 Sep, 13:30

Pergolettese v Trento Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C - Girone A fixture features Pergolettese hosting Trento in a contest where both teams have shown cautious attacking output so far this season. Pergolettese has struggled offensively, scoring just 0.2 goals per game, while Trento has been more productive but still conservative, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Defensively, both sides are relatively solid, with Pergolettese conceding only 0.2 goals and Trento 0.4 per game. Trento’s higher league standing and recent form suggest a controlled game likely to focus on defensive organization and tactical discipline, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Pergolettese averages just 0.2 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating tight matches.
Trento has a better attack but still averages only 1.4 goals per game with a strong defense conceding 0.4 goals.
Neither team has a strong history of high-scoring games; their head-to-head average is 1.8 goals per match.
Pergolettese has a 0% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season, reinforcing a defensive pattern.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting both teams' low scoring and strong defensive records. Pergolettese’s extremely low goals for and against per game, combined with Trento’s disciplined defense, suggest limited goal-scoring opportunities. The head-to-head average of 1.8 goals supports a trend of tight matches between these sides. The current of 1.62 offer a small positive , making this a sensible selection based on tactical caution and statistical evidence.

Pergolettese low scoring and conceding0.2 goals per game

Strong positive

Trento solid defense0.4 goals conceded per game

Positive

Head-to-head average goals1.8 goals per match

Positive

Over 2.5 goals rate for Pergolettese0%

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Under 2.5 Goals pick fits the tactical and statistical profile of this Serie C clash. Pergolettese’s defensive solidity and limited attack, combined with Trento’s controlled approach, suggest a match where goals will be scarce. The data supports a cautious game with few clear-cut chances, making a low-scoring outcome the most probable scenario.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical rationale for Under 2.5 Goals

“This fixture’s low-scoring pattern is driven by Pergolettese’s defensive resilience and Trento’s measured offensive style, which together create a tactical environment favoring Under 2.5 Goals.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Pergolettese averages just 0.2 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating tight matches.

Trento has a better attack but still averages only 1.4 goals per game with a strong defense conceding 0.4 goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a consistent trend toward fewer goals.
This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup favoring defensive solidity and limited attacking risk, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pergolettese0.2

Avg goals scored

Trento1.4

Pergolettese0.2

Avg goals conceded

Trento0.4

Pergolettese0%

BTTS rate

Trento20%

Pergolettese0%

Over 2.5 goals

Trento40%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 68%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 4

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%

Check odds @ 2

Both teams show low scoring and limited goal concession rates, with Pergolettese scoring and conceding only 0.2 goals per game, and Trento maintaining a solid defense conceding 0.4 goals. The head-to-head average of 1.8 goals further confirms a trend toward low-scoring matches, making BTTS less likely and supporting an Under 2.5 Goals outcome.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionTrento to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Pergolettese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

Trento Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Pergolettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 4

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%

Check odds @ 2

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.62 with a of 66%, indicating a small positive . This price reflects market recognition of the defensive strengths and low scoring trends, though the margin is modest, suggesting the are fairly efficient with limited upside for higher returns.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pergolettese

DDWDL

Last 51W 3D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 3D 2L

20 Sep 2026A Lecco0-0

17 Sep 2026H Folgore Caratese0-0

13 Sep 2026A Novara1-0

06 Sep 2026A Juventus U230-0

30 Aug 2026H Union Brescia0-1

Trento

WDDWD

Last 52W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 3D 0L

21 Sep 2026H PRO Vercelli4-0

17 Sep 2026A Giana Erminio2-2

13 Sep 2026H Union Brescia0-0

07 Sep 2026H Lecco1-0

31 Aug 2026A Desenzano Calvina0-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 84% vs implied 86% · edge -1.5 pts

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

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Trento to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Pergolettese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

Trento Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Pergolettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 4

DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Pergolettese has earned 6 points with a very low goals for and against rate, reflecting tight, low-scoring games. Trento’s 9 points and slightly higher scoring rate still align with a cautious approach. Recent form data supports a match where defensive organization dominates and goal-scoring chances remain limited, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Pergolettese wins

4Draws

1Trento wins

07 Feb 2026Pergolettese v Trento1-2

25 Sep 2025Trento v Pergolettese0-0

21 Feb 2025Trento v Pergolettese1-1

13 Oct 2024Pergolettese v Trento0-0

18 Feb 2024Trento v Pergolettese1-3

14 Oct 2023Pergolettese v Trento2-0

Best odds for this sectionTrento to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Pergolettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 4

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%

Check odds @ 2

The ten previous meetings between these teams have averaged 1.8 goals per game, demonstrating a history of tight, low-scoring encounters. This historical trend supports the expectation of a cautious match with limited goal-scoring opportunities, aligning well with the Under 2.5 Goals selection.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

Pergolettese6

Played

Trento6

Pergolettese0.2

Avg goals for

Trento1.5

Pergolettese0.5

Avg goals against

Trento0.5

Pergolettese4

Clean sheets

Trento4

Best odds for this sectionTrento to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Pergolettese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

Trento Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Pergolettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 4

Season-long statistics show Pergolettese’s attack and defense both averaging 0.2 goals per game, highlighting extreme defensive caution. Trento’s better attack at 1.4 goals per game is balanced by a strong defense conceding only 0.4 goals. These profiles underpin a low-scoring match dynamic consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals market.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	Trento	12	6	3	3	0	6
15	Pergolettese	6	6	1	3	2	-2

Trento’s higher league position (3rd) compared to Pergolettese (15th) suggests a stronger overall team but does not imply an open game. The standings reflect Trento’s ability to control matches and maintain defensive discipline, which supports a cautious game plan and aligns with the low-scoring prediction.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Pergolettese Over 2.5

40%Trento Over 2.5

1.8H2H avg goals

Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a consistent trend toward fewer goals. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup favoring defensive solidity and limited attacking risk, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Pergolettese v Trento Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Pergolettese v Trento Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Pergolettese

Trento

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