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Giana Erminio crestGiana Erminio
v
PRO Vercelli crestPRO Vercelli

Serie C - Girone A | Sat 26 Sep, 13:30

Giana Erminio v PRO Vercelli Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Giana Erminio and PRO Vercelli meet in Serie C - Girone A with both sides struggling to find consistent form early in the season. Giana Erminio sits near the bottom of the table with just 2 points and a leaky defense conceding 1.4 goals per game, while PRO Vercelli have slightly better momentum with 5 points but also concede heavily at 1.8 goals per match. Both teams have scored in 60% and 40% of their games respectively, suggesting an open contest where defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited. The fixture promises tactical battles with both sides needing points to climb the standings, adding urgency to their attacking intent.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Giana Erminio has conceded 1.4 goals per game this season, indicating defensive frailty.
  • PRO Vercelli concedes 1.8 goals per match, showing susceptibility at the back.
  • Both teams have recorded BTTS in 60% (Giana Erminio) and 40% (PRO Vercelli) of their games.
  • Recent form points: Giana Erminio 2, PRO Vercelli 4, reflecting competitive but inconsistent performances.
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.4 over the last 10 matches, supporting goal-scoring chances for both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score with a 66.7% chance, reflecting the defensive vulnerabilities and goal-scoring patterns of both teams. Giana Erminio's 60% BTTS rate combined with PRO Vercelli's 40% rate and their high goals conceded per game underline the likelihood of goals at both ends. The of 1.83 offer positive value against the implied chance of 54.6%, making this a statistically supported pick. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the home or away team stats.

BTTS Rate Home60%
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Away40%
Positive
Goals Conceded Home1.4 per game
Strong positive
Goals Conceded Away1.8 per game
Strong positive
Model Chance66.7%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses and a tendency to concede goals, which supports the likelihood of both sides scoring in this fixture. The attacking intent combined with recent form data suggests an open game where both teams can find the net, making Both Teams to Score a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS pick rationale

“Given the defensive records and BTTS percentages, this fixture is primed for goals at both ends. Both teams need points and will likely push forward, increasing the chances of a BTTS outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Giana Erminio has conceded 1.4 goals per game this season, indicating defensive frailty.

PRO Vercelli concedes 1.8 goals per match, showing susceptibility at the back.

Both teams have recorded BTTS in 60% (Giana Erminio) and 40% (PRO Vercelli) of their games.

Recent form points: Giana Erminio 2, PRO Vercelli 4, reflecting competitive but inconsistent performances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • This trend suggests that matches between these teams often feature multiple goals, supporting the possibility of an open game with both teams finding the net, consistent with Over 2.5 goals tendencies.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Giana Erminio

DDLLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 4L
20 Sep 2026A Folgore Caratese1-1
17 Sep 2026H Trento2-2
13 Sep 2026A Lecco0-1
06 Sep 2026H Dolomiti Bellunesi1-2
30 Aug 2026A Lumezzane0-1

PRO Vercelli

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
21 Sep 2026A Trento0-4
17 Sep 2026H Alcione2-2
13 Sep 2026A Treviso1-2
07 Sep 2026H Folgore Caratese1-0
30 Aug 2026A Arzignano Valchiampo0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.7 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
PRO Vercelli to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Giana Erminio Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Giana Erminio to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form shows Giana Erminio with 2 points and PRO Vercelli with 4 points, reflecting inconsistent performances but offensive efforts from both sides. Both teams average 0.8 goals scored per game, while conceding more than one goal per match, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams scoring in this encounter.

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
17PRO Vercelli56123-5
19Giana Erminio26024-4
Giana Erminio and PRO Vercelli occupy lower positions in the Serie C - Girone A standings, with 2 and 5 points respectively. While the table pressure is moderate, both teams will be motivated to secure points, likely encouraging attacking play and increasing the chances of both teams scoring.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Giana Erminio0.8
Avg goals scored
PRO Vercelli0.8
Giana Erminio1.4
Avg goals conceded
PRO Vercelli1.8
Giana Erminio60%
BTTS rate
PRO Vercelli40%
Giana Erminio40%
Over 2.5 goals
PRO Vercelli60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have shown a propensity to concede goals, with Giana Erminio and PRO Vercelli allowing 1.4 and 1.8 goals per game respectively. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 40% highlight a pattern of both sides finding the net, supported by an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last 10 head-to-head matches, suggesting an open and attacking game.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
PRO Vercelli to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Giana Erminio Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Giana Erminio to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.83 with an implied chance of 54.6%, while the model estimates a 66.7% probability, indicating clear value. This price reflects the defensive vulnerabilities and goal-scoring tendencies of both sides, making the market an attractive option without being overly short-priced.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Giana Erminio wins
2Draws
3PRO Vercelli wins
27 Feb 2026Giana Erminio v PRO Vercelli1-0
19 Oct 2025PRO Vercelli v Giana Erminio0-0
11 Jan 2025Giana Erminio v PRO Vercelli1-2
27 Nov 2024Giana Erminio v PRO Vercelli3-0
08 Sep 2024PRO Vercelli v Giana Erminio0-1
07 May 2024Giana Erminio v PRO Vercelli3-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Giana Erminio to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The last 10 meetings between Giana Erminio and PRO Vercelli have averaged 2.4 goals per game, demonstrating a history of relatively open contests. This moderate scoring average supports the BTTS pick, as both teams have previously found opportunities to score against each other, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

Giana Erminio6
Played
PRO Vercelli6
Giana Erminio0.8
Avg goals for
PRO Vercelli0.8
Giana Erminio1.5
Avg goals against
PRO Vercelli1.7
Giana Erminio0
Clean sheets
PRO Vercelli1
Best odds for this sectionPRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.8 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Giana Erminio Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Giana Erminio to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season-long statistics reveal both teams struggle defensively, conceding over 1.4 goals per game on average. Their BTTS rates (60% for Giana Erminio and 40% for PRO Vercelli) align with their tendency to allow goals, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Giana Erminio Over 2.5
60%PRO Vercelli Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. This trend suggests that matches between these teams often feature multiple goals, supporting the possibility of an open game with both teams finding the net, consistent with Over 2.5 goals tendencies.

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