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Paris FC crestParis FC
v
Nice crestNice

Ligue 1 | Sun 30 Aug, 14:00

Paris FC v Nice Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 20:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris FC face Nice in Ligue 1 on Sun 30 Aug, 14:00. Combined with two opening-weekend 0-0 draws, that points towards a fixture in which attacking efficiency may matter more than sheer volume. Paris FC's unbeaten start and Nice's struggles frame the likely match outcome.

BT4Y best bet

On Paris FC 1-0 Nice wins exclusively if Paris FC score once and Nice score zero

  • At 8/11, On Paris FC 1-0 Nice wins exclusively if Paris FC score once and Nice score zero implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Other opportunities in this market: Over 2.5 Goals (11/10) requires at least three total goals, trading lower settlement probability for a higher potential payout.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Paris FC and 0% for Nice, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Paris FC are carrying more of the scoring load at 0 goals per match, with Nice at 0.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Paris FC and 0% for Nice show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for On Paris FC 1-0 Nice wins exclusively if Paris FC score once and Nice score zero sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Paris FC and 0% for Nice, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Other opportunities in this market: Over 2.5 Goals (11/10) requires at least three total goals, trading lower settlement probability for a higher potential payout.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Paris FC.Visible data support
Positive
Paris FC are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Other opportunities in this market: Over 2.5 Goals (11/10).Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because under 2.5 Goals is supported by both teams' goalless opening matches and Nice's six of seven recent low-scoring games. Paris FC are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Nice at 0. There is a contrast there: their summer defence looked fragile, but their first competitive outing was secure and scoreless.

Main risk

There is a contrast there: their summer defence looked fragile, but their first competitive outing was secure and scoreless.

Key Data Signals

On Paris FC 1-0 Nice wins exclusively if Paris FC score once and Nice score zero evidence

Under 2.5 Goals is supported by both teams' goalless opening matches and Nice's six of seven recent low-scoring.

Paris FC are carrying more of the scoring load at 0 goals per match, with Nice at 0.

BTTS rates of 0% for Paris FC and 0% for Nice show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

On Paris FC 1-0 Nice wins exclusively if Paris FC score once and Nice score zero notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paris FC0
Avg goals scored
Nice0
Paris FC0
Avg goals conceded
Nice0
Paris FC0%
BTTS rate
Nice0%
Paris FC0%
Over 2.5 goals
Nice0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paris FC

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Estac Troyes0-0

Nice

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026H Lorient0-0
Best odds for this sectionParis FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +3.2 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Nice Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Paris FC1153205
14Nice55122-3
Paris FC sit in position 3, while Nice sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the On Paris FC 1-0 Nice wins exclusively if Paris FC score once and Nice score zero assessment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionParis FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +3.2 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Nice Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Paris FC Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Paris FC2
Avg corners for
Nice9
Paris FC8
Avg total corners
Nice12
Paris FC1
Avg yellow cards
Nice1
Paris FC10
Avg shots
Nice14
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
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Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Paris FC wins
1Draws
0Nice wins
01 Mar 2026Paris FC v Nice1-0
28 Sep 2025Nice v Paris FC1-1
Best odds for this sectionParis FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 49% · edge -4.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for Paris FC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Paris FC5
Played
Nice4
Paris FC1.6
Avg goals for
Nice0.3
Paris FC0.6
Avg goals against
Nice1.3
Paris FC3
Clean sheets
Nice1
Best odds for this sectionParis FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +3.2 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Nice Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Paris FC Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Paris FC Over 2.5
0%Nice Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris FC sit at 0% and Nice sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Paris FC v Nice prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Ligue 1 hubLigue 1 fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Paris FC v Nicecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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