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Panama crestPanama
v
England crestEngland

World Cup | Sat 27 Jun, 22:00

Panama v England Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 20:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Panama face England in World Cup on Sat 27 Jun, 22:00. Group L pressure, pride and the art of not making it weird. Panama enter the final matchday having already been eliminated from knockout contention following consecutive defeats.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Dom to make England uncomfortable

  • At 15/8, Dom to make England uncomfortable implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Panama have conceded 13 goals across five finals games historically, meaning tighter defensive scorelines represent strong analytical balance.
  • England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Panama.
  • Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Dom to make England uncomfortable angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Dom to make England uncomfortable is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 35% while the model sits nearer 27% (-7.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.75.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Dom to make England uncomfortable sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Panama. Panama have conceded 13 goals across five finals games historically, meaning tighter defensive scorelines represent strong analytical balance.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Negative
England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Panama have conceded 13 goals across five finals games.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Panama Win is the preferred angle because panama have conceded that scoring level across five finals games historically, meaning tighter defensive scorelines represent strong analytical balance. England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Panama. Panama’s World Cup is ending early, but their final match still carries emotional weight.

Main risk

Panama’s World Cup is ending early, but their final match still carries emotional weight.

Key Data Signals

Dom to make England uncomfortable evidence

Panama have conceded 13 goals across five finals games historically, meaning tighter defensive scorelines represent strong analytical balance.

England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Panama.

Panama have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Panama Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Dom to make England uncomfortable notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Panama4.5
    Avg corners for
    England8.5
    Panama6.5
    Avg total corners
    England10.5
    Panama1.5
    Avg yellow cards
    England0.5
    Panama9.5
    Avg shots
    England20.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 56% · edge +5.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Panama0
    Avg goals scored
    England2
    Panama1
    Avg goals conceded
    England1
    Panama0%
    BTTS rate
    England50%
    Panama0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    England50%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
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    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 23%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetfred guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
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    Panama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Panama to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Panama

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    24 Jun 2026H Croatia0-1
    18 Jun 2026A Ghana0-1

    England

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    23 Jun 2026H Ghana0-0
    17 Jun 2026H Croatia4-2
    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetfred guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
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    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 35%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Panama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Panama wins
    0Draws
    1England wins
    24 Jun 2018England v Panama6-1
    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetfred guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
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    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Panama to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Panama3
    Played
    England8
    Panama0
    Avg goals for
    England2.5
    Panama1.3
    Avg goals against
    England1.5
    Panama0
    Clean sheets
    England2
    Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBetfred guide price · Model 22% vs implied 7% · edge +15 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
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    Panama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Season data supports Panama to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1England732104
    4Panama03003-4
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Panama Over 2.5
    50%England Over 2.5
    7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Panama sit at 0% and England sit at 50% with the H2H average at 7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.